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Short Trade on INIT

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02 Nov 2026 at 16:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 454.28 INIT at 0.134$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1514 (13.24 %)

INIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 16:15 → 19:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1337$

Qty 454.2765 INIT

Size 60.7549$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 60.74$

SL 0.1514 (-13.24%)

SL $ 8.04$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.69% / -0.42$ MAE -1.96% MFE +0.77% 0.1R expires 02 Nov 19:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241750)
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.298
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
13.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
13.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.97×ATR
4h clear 0.60×ATR
1d clear 2.18×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.60
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 16:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/11 15:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7660
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 15.0%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.034
Δ 4h
▼-0.232
Δ 12h
→-0.022
Δ 24h
→-0.001

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 67.4%
1h 20.4%
4h 8.2%
24h 10.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 69.4% +0.05%
4h 26.5% -1.60%
24h 16.3% -4.10%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
32.7%
Expansion
34.7%
Tail ↑
+0.83
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion : 0.165
Universe : 49 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 16:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6456
Score SMA
0.7819
Rank
#1 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8086 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.87% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: 3.2422% · dist_ema21: 18.230%
Force Relative 25% 0.6374 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -14.79% · beta_24h: 1.177
Volume 20% 0.4859 rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.429 · trend: 102.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9764 ADX: 57.2 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.2977
Score SMA
0.5177
Rank
#64 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4949
Calculé le
02/11/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0492 r1h: -1.397% · r4h: -2.059% · r1d: -27.78% · r3d: -27.09% · ema21_slope: -1.1182% · dist_ema21: -12.675%
Force Relative 25% 0.1839 rs_1h: -1.006% · rs_4h: -1.162% · rs_1d: -26.38% · rs_3d: -26.93% · beta_24h: 0.127
Volume 20% 0.2099 rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.341 · trend: -25.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7078 ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3836 ATR%: 4.849% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.2412
Score SMA
0.5464
Rank
#64 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6484
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1568 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.014% · r1d: -27.53% · r3d: -28.69% · ema21_slope: -0.6738% · dist_ema21: -21.615%
Force Relative 25% 0.1483 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.470% · rs_1d: -26.63% · rs_3d: -28.88% · beta_24h: -0.544
Volume 20% 0.3242 rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.404 · trend: 12.13%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6153 ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 47.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.868% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -13.239% (0.0177)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.576% 0.0R -0.875% 0.1R 0.7× 12
2h +0.770% 0.1R -1.960% 0.2R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.770% 0.1R -1.960% 0.2R 0.4× 36
4h +0.770% 0.1R -1.960% 0.2R 0.4× 48
8h +2.700% 0.2R -1.960% 0.2R 1.4× 96
12h +4.316% 0.3R -3.515% 0.3R 1.2× 144
24h +6.619% 0.5R -3.515% 0.3R 1.9× 288
48h +9.417% 0.7R -11.100% 0.8R 0.9× 576
72h +9.417% 0.7R -13.912% 1.1R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1429 min MAE in 694 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.89
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.35 range_high +0.70% +1.00 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.18 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -1.00 02/11 11:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive normal bear_high
60%
ranging_calm 60% late — — 0.13 bear_medium_confirmed -1.78% -1.00 02/11 15:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 48% mid — — 0.06 bear_low -1.19% -0.40 02/11 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482040
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.711 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 37% early 4b 0.9ATR — — 0.86 97% ↑ +0.87 value -4.83 — #227349 0.35 range_high +0.70% +1.00
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
4h
#488068
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.475 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 44% late 7b -2.6ATR — — 0.93 83% ↑ +0.42 below_value -12.39 — #229833 0.18 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -1.00
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:17
1h anchor
#488409
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.376 normal bear_high
60%
ranging_calm 60% late 9b -2.8ATR — — 0.37 39% ↔ +0.03 below_value -12.62 — #230028 0.13 bear_medium_confirmed -1.78% -1.00
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 16:10
15m
#488343
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.753 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 48% mid 12b -2.6ATR — — 0.18 11% ↓ -0.66 below_value -12.39 — #229833 0.06 bear_low -1.19% -0.40
02/11 15:45
upd 02/11 16:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 2.635×ATR p14 +0.893×ATR p54
4h ↓ down late 7b — 4.122×ATR p64 -2.591×ATR p93
1h ↓ down late 9b — 4.461×ATR p77 -2.843×ATR p94
15m ↓ down mid 12b — 3.39×ATR p64 -2.642×ATR p79

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.15135042
  2. atr: 0.00587014
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T00:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 63
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.1224
  4. confidence: 0.984

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1337 0.1514 0.1039
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1337
  • Stop Loss: 0.1514
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1514 - 0.1337 = 0.0177

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1337 - = 0.1337

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1337 / 0.0177 = 7.5537

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
60.7549 60.7549 454.2765 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0177

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0177 = 451.98

Taille de position USD = 451.98 x 0.1337 = 60.43

Donc, tu peux acheter 451.98 avec un stoploss a 0.1514

Avec un position size USD de 60.43$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 451.98 x 0.0177 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 451.98 x 0.1337 = 60.43

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 60.43$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 451.98
  • Taille de position USD 60.43
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 60.43
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 7.5537

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 60.74 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
13.24 % 8.04 $
PNL PNL %
-0.42 $ -0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9596 % 14.8 % 16
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1337 0.1514 0.1039
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1337
  • Stop Loss: 0.1514
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1514 - 0.1337 = 0.0177

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1337 - = 0.1337

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1337 / 0.0177 = 7.5537

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -13.239% (0.0177)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.576% 0.0R -0.875% 0.1R 0.7× 12
2h +0.770% 0.1R -1.960% 0.2R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.770% 0.1R -1.960% 0.2R 0.4× 36
4h +0.770% 0.1R -1.960% 0.2R 0.4× 48
8h +2.700% 0.2R -1.960% 0.2R 1.4× 96
12h +4.316% 0.3R -3.515% 0.3R 1.2× 144
24h +6.619% 0.5R -3.515% 0.3R 1.9× 288
48h +9.417% 0.7R -11.100% 0.8R 0.9× 576
72h +9.417% 0.7R -13.912% 1.1R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1429 min MAE in 694 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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