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Short Trade on MON

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02 Nov 2026 at 16:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_score)

With 12170.45 MON at 0.0177$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01834 (3.67 %)

MON SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 16:15 → 19:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.01769$

Qty 12170.4471 MON

Size 215.2465$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 215.3$

SL 0.01834 (-3.67%)

SL $ 7.91$

RR

Status win PnL +0.28% / +0.6$ MAE -1.59% MFE +1.07% 0.3R expires 02 Nov 19:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241757)
#50 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3500

Quality Score
0.448
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#50 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#50 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -2.27×ATR
1d near -0.70×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.60
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 16:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/11 15:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7660
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 15.0%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.034
Δ 4h
▼-0.232
Δ 12h
→-0.022
Δ 24h
→-0.001

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 67.4%
1h 20.4%
4h 8.2%
24h 10.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 69.4% +0.05%
4h 26.5% -1.60%
24h 16.3% -4.10%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
32.7%
Expansion
34.7%
Tail ↑
+0.83
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion : 0.165
Universe : 49 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 16:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2307
Score SMA
0.2531
Rank
#51 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1253
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1828 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.49% · r3d: 1.09% · ema21_slope: -0.9420% · dist_ema21: -11.864%
Force Relative 25% 0.3072 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.51% · rs_3d: 0.61% · beta_24h: 2.029
Volume 20% 0.1384 rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.924 · trend: -69.97%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4758 ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 66.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.430% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4479
Score SMA
0.4920
Rank
#50 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3500
Rank Norm SMA
0.3595
Calculé le
02/11/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2027 r1h: -0.540% · r4h: -2.927% · r1d: -7.34% · r3d: -8.96% · ema21_slope: -0.2795% · dist_ema21: -4.168%
Force Relative 25% 0.3039 rs_1h: -0.150% · rs_4h: -2.030% · rs_1d: -5.94% · rs_3d: -8.80% · beta_24h: 1.547
Volume 20% 0.6647 rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 1.160 · trend: 90.82%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8610 ADX: 43.3 (trend) · Chop: 31.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.287% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3998
Score SMA
0.4420
Rank
#52 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1598
Rank Norm SMA
0.3361
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1403 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.102% · r1d: -6.61% · r3d: -8.60% · ema21_slope: -0.3168% · dist_ema21: -7.457%
Force Relative 25% 0.2138 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.557% · rs_1d: -5.71% · rs_3d: -8.79% · beta_24h: 1.787
Volume 20% 0.5142 rvol_20: 2.13× · zscore_50: 0.199 · trend: -20.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6760 ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 47.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.979% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.674% (0.0007)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.260% 0.1R -1.589% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +0.972% 0.3R -1.589% 0.4R 0.6× 24
3h ★ +1.074% 0.3R -1.589% 0.4R 0.7× 36
4h +1.074% 0.3R -1.589% 0.4R 0.7× 48
8h +3.867% 1.1R -1.589% 0.4R 2.4× 96
12h +5.314% 1.5R -1.589% 0.4R 3.4× 144
24h +5.314% 1.5R -3.171% 0.9R 1.7× 288
48h +5.314% 1.5R -7.682% 2.1R 0.7× 576
72h +6.377% 1.7R -7.682% 2.1R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 589 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.58
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 38% late near -0.7ATR — 0.59 range_high +0.70% -0.96 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 46% late near -2.3ATR — 0.60 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.75 02/11 11:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 51% late — — 0.70 bear_medium_confirmed -1.78% -0.52 02/11 15:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_medium
61%
noisy_chop 45% mid near 0.2ATR — 0.67 bear_low -1.19% -0.27 02/11 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482058
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.537 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 38% late 30b -1.8ATR near -0.7ATR — 0.31 13% ↓ -0.65 below_value -14.06 — #227355 0.59 range_high +0.70% -0.96
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
4h
#488088
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.389 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 46% late 21b -3.5ATR near -2.3ATR — 2.13 45% ↔ -0.01 below_value -17.80 inside #229840 0.60 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.75
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:18
1h anchor
#488416
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.746 expansion bear_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 51% late 17b -3.3ATR — — 1.75 76% ↑ +0.72 below_value -17.58 inside #230035 0.70 bear_medium_confirmed -1.78% -0.52
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 16:11
15m
#488350
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.503 expansion_after_compression bear_medium
61%
noisy_chop 45% mid 4b -2.0ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.04 4% ↔ +0.04 below_value -17.80 — #229840 0.67 bear_low -1.19% -0.27
02/11 15:45
upd 02/11 16:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 30b — 9.232×ATR p100 -1.801×ATR p89
4h ↓ down late 21b — 4.797×ATR p75 -3.525×ATR p100
1h ↓ down late 17b — 7.367×ATR p100 -3.326×ATR p100
15m ↑ up mid 4b — 0.926×ATR p7 -2.022×ATR p77

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.01834333
  2. atr: 0.00021911
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T00:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 60
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.2011
  4. confidence: 0.937

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01769 0.01834 0.01621
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01769
  • Stop Loss: 0.01834
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01834 - 0.01769 = 0.00065

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01769 - = 0.01769

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01769 / 0.00065 = 27.2154

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
215.2465 100 12170.4471 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00065

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00065 = 12307.69

Taille de position USD = 12307.69 x 0.01769 = 217.72

Donc, tu peux acheter 12307.69 avec un stoploss a 0.01834

Avec un position size USD de 217.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 12307.69 x 0.00065 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 12307.69 x 0.01769 = 217.72

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 217.72$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 12307.69
  • Taille de position USD 217.72
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 217.72
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 27.2154

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 215.3 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.67 % 7.91 $
PNL PNL %
0.6 $ 0.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5885 % 43.23 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01769 0.01834 0.01621
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01769
  • Stop Loss: 0.01834
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01834 - 0.01769 = 0.00065

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01769 - = 0.01769

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01769 / 0.00065 = 27.2154

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.674% (0.0007)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.260% 0.1R -1.589% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +0.972% 0.3R -1.589% 0.4R 0.6× 24
3h ★ +1.074% 0.3R -1.589% 0.4R 0.7× 36
4h +1.074% 0.3R -1.589% 0.4R 0.7× 48
8h +3.867% 1.1R -1.589% 0.4R 2.4× 96
12h +5.314% 1.5R -1.589% 0.4R 3.4× 144
24h +5.314% 1.5R -3.171% 0.9R 1.7× 288
48h +5.314% 1.5R -7.682% 2.1R 0.7× 576
72h +6.377% 1.7R -7.682% 2.1R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 589 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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