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Short Trade on PONS

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02 Nov 2026 at 16:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_score)

With 507.82 PONS at 0.205$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2207 (7.71 %)

PONS SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 16:15 → 19:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2049$

Qty 507.8195 PONS

Size 104.0522$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 104.05$

SL 0.2207 (-7.71%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.18% / -1.23$ MAE -2.13% MFE +0.81% 0.1R expires 02 Nov 19:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241765)
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2832

Quality Score
0.328
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.60
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 16:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/11 15:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7660
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 15.0%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.034
Δ 4h
▼-0.232
Δ 12h
→-0.022
Δ 24h
→-0.001

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 67.4%
1h 20.4%
4h 8.2%
24h 10.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 69.4% +0.05%
4h 26.5% -1.60%
24h 16.3% -4.10%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
32.7%
Expansion
34.7%
Tail ↑
+0.83
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion : 0.165
Universe : 49 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 16:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2783
Score SMA
0.2681
Rank
#46 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1000
Rank Norm SMA
0.2038
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2842 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.07% · r3d: 4.54% · ema21_slope: -1.8059% · dist_ema21: -15.681%
Force Relative 25% 0.4462 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.05% · rs_3d: 4.06% · beta_24h: 3.982
Volume 20% 0.1285 rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -1.073 · trend: -71.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3718 ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 78.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 18.542% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3280
Score SMA
0.5253
Rank
#63 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2832
Rank Norm SMA
0.4757
Calculé le
02/11/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1004 r1h: -1.386% · r4h: -9.829% · r1d: -14.15% · r3d: -12.59% · ema21_slope: -0.3834% · dist_ema21: -9.158%
Force Relative 25% 0.1049 rs_1h: -0.996% · rs_4h: -8.931% · rs_1d: -12.75% · rs_3d: -12.43% · beta_24h: 4.394
Volume 20% 0.3253 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.306 · trend: 59.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7079 ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 21.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.744% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.2713
Score SMA
0.4428
Rank
#62 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0643
Rank Norm SMA
0.3449
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0815 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -9.698% · r1d: -12.37% · r3d: -11.78% · ema21_slope: -0.2408% · dist_ema21: -11.711%
Force Relative 25% 0.0795 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -9.153% · rs_1d: -11.47% · rs_3d: -11.97% · beta_24h: 3.429
Volume 20% 0.6361 rvol_20: 2.54× · zscore_50: 0.656 · trend: -0.75%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5366 ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 47.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.1927 ATR%: 5.422% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.711% (0.0158)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.805% 0.1R -2.133% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.805% 0.1R -2.133% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.805% 0.1R -2.133% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +0.805% 0.1R -3.002% 0.4R 0.3× 48
8h +2.060% 0.3R -3.002% 0.4R 0.7× 96
12h +8.736% 1.1R -3.002% 0.4R 2.9× 144
24h +8.736% 1.1R -3.002% 0.4R 2.9× 288
48h +8.736% 1.1R -13.338% 1.7R 0.7× 576
72h +9.517% 1.2R -13.538% 1.8R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 624 min MAE in 199 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.62
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
38%
noisy_chop 41% — — — — range_high +0.70% -0.84 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong fading compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.41 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.82 02/11 11:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
choppy 56% late — — 0.61 bear_medium_confirmed -1.78% -0.85 02/11 15:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion bear_high
56%
choppy 48% late — — 0.61 bear_low -1.19% -0.79 02/11 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482078
 ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
38%
noisy_chop 41% — — — 0.35 2% ↓ -0.45 above_value +0.12 inside #227361 — range_high +0.70% -0.84
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:22
4h
#488112
 ↓ down range range strong fading 0.715 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% late 19b -2.9ATR — — 2.54 67% ↓ -0.17 below_value -5.25 inside #229848 0.41 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.82
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:19
1h anchor
#488424
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.480 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
46%
choppy 56% late 7b -3.5ATR — — 0.49 33% ↑ +0.65 below_value -5.61 inside #230043 0.61 bear_medium_confirmed -1.78% -0.85
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 16:11
15m
#488358
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.717 expansion bear_high
56%
choppy 48% late 6b -2.3ATR — — 0.29 67% ↓ -0.45 below_value -5.25 — #229848 0.61 bear_low -1.19% -0.79
02/11 15:45
upd 02/11 16:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↓ down late 19b — 3.539×ATR p46 -2.865×ATR p95
1h ↓ down late 7b — 6.013×ATR p94 -3.537×ATR p97
15m ↓ down late 6b — 1.591×ATR p0 -2.327×ATR p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.22065363
  2. atr: 0.00525121
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T00:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 64
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.1092
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2049 0.2207 0.1327
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2049
  • Stop Loss: 0.2207
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2207 - 0.2049 = 0.0158

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2049 - = 0.2049

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2049 / 0.0158 = 12.9684

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
104.0522 100 507.8195 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0158

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0158 = 506.33

Taille de position USD = 506.33 x 0.2049 = 103.75

Donc, tu peux acheter 506.33 avec un stoploss a 0.2207

Avec un position size USD de 103.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 506.33 x 0.0158 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 506.33 x 0.2049 = 103.75

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 103.75$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 506.33
  • Taille de position USD 103.75
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 103.75
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 12.9684

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 104.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.71 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-1.23 $ -1.18
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1327 % 27.66 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2049 0.2207 0.1327
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2049
  • Stop Loss: 0.2207
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2207 - 0.2049 = 0.0158

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2049 - = 0.2049

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2049 / 0.0158 = 12.9684

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.711% (0.0158)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.805% 0.1R -2.133% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.805% 0.1R -2.133% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.805% 0.1R -2.133% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +0.805% 0.1R -3.002% 0.4R 0.3× 48
8h +2.060% 0.3R -3.002% 0.4R 0.7× 96
12h +8.736% 1.1R -3.002% 0.4R 2.9× 144
24h +8.736% 1.1R -3.002% 0.4R 2.9× 288
48h +8.736% 1.1R -13.338% 1.7R 0.7× 576
72h +9.517% 1.2R -13.538% 1.8R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 624 min MAE in 199 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.