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Short Trade on XPL

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02 Nov 2026 at 16:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2352.58 XPL at 0.0665$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06993 (5.11 %)

XPL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 16:15 → 19:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.06653$

Qty 2352.5814 XPL

Size 156.5102$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 156.52$

SL 0.06993 (-5.11%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.39% / -0.61$ MAE -1.31% MFE +0.57% 0.1R expires 02 Nov 19:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241752)
#59 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0381

Quality Score
0.403
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#59 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near -0.29×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.60
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
18.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 16:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/11 15:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7660
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 15.0%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.034
Δ 4h
▼-0.232
Δ 12h
→-0.022
Δ 24h
→-0.001

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 67.4%
1h 20.4%
4h 8.2%
24h 10.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 69.4% +0.05%
4h 26.5% -1.60%
24h 16.3% -4.10%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
32.7%
Expansion
34.7%
Tail ↑
+0.83
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion : 0.165
Universe : 49 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 16:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4017
Score SMA
0.3571
Rank
#18 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6600
Rank Norm SMA
0.4829
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2395 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.60% · r3d: -2.00% · ema21_slope: -0.5980% · dist_ema21: -9.628%
Force Relative 25% 0.2790 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -13.62% · rs_3d: -2.49% · beta_24h: 1.599
Volume 20% 0.9734 rvol_20: 4.93× · zscore_50: 2.600 · trend: 100.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4360 ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 62.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.819% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4028
Score SMA
0.5483
Rank
#59 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0381
Rank Norm SMA
0.6026
Calculé le
02/11/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1145 r1h: -1.308% · r4h: -3.804% · r1d: -6.88% · r3d: -17.67% · ema21_slope: -0.2623% · dist_ema21: -4.836%
Force Relative 25% 0.2077 rs_1h: -0.918% · rs_4h: -2.907% · rs_1d: -5.48% · rs_3d: -17.51% · beta_24h: 2.035
Volume 20% 0.3740 rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: -0.192 · trend: -11.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7807 ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 48.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.997% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3065
Score SMA
0.5339
Rank
#61 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0641
Rank Norm SMA
0.6548
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1188 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.651% · r1d: -6.22% · r3d: -17.72% · ema21_slope: -0.4832% · dist_ema21: -9.180%
Force Relative 25% 0.2168 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.107% · rs_1d: -5.32% · rs_3d: -17.91% · beta_24h: 1.150
Volume 20% 0.3179 rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: 0.157 · trend: -8.97%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7484 ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 31.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4087 ATR%: 4.774% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.111% (0.0034)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.457% 0.1R -1.309% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.457% 0.1R -1.309% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.573% 0.1R -1.309% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +0.573% 0.1R -1.309% 0.3R 0.4× 48
8h +6.523% 1.3R -1.309% 0.3R 5.0× 96
12h +6.523% 1.3R -1.309% 0.3R 5.0× 144
24h +6.523% 1.3R -1.309% 0.3R 5.0× 288
48h +9.633% 1.9R -1.309% 0.3R 7.4× 576
72h +13.468% 2.6R -1.309% 0.3R 10.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 384 min MAE in 39 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.32
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 35% late near -0.3ATR — 0.53 range_high +0.70% -0.66 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 40% late — — 0.54 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.81 02/11 11:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition weak grind normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.49 bear_medium_confirmed -1.78% -0.37 02/11 15:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.16 bear_low -1.19% -0.36 02/11 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482046
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.391 expansion_after_compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 35% late 37b -1.1ATR near -0.3ATR — 4.93 99% ↑ +0.22 value -1.57 — #227351 0.53 range_high +0.70% -0.66
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
4h
#488074
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.386 normal bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 40% late 9b -1.9ATR — — 0.83 89% ↔ +0.13 below_value -5.56 inside #229835 0.54 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.81
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:17
1h anchor
#488411
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition weak grind 0.536 normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 44% late 5b -2.8ATR — — 1.34 84% ↑ +0.54 below_value -5.11 inside #230030 0.49 bear_medium_confirmed -1.78% -0.37
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 16:10
15m
#488345
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.407 expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 42% mid 3b -1.5ATR — — 0.14 13% ↔ +0.06 below_value -5.56 — #229835 0.16 bear_low -1.19% -0.36
02/11 15:45
upd 02/11 16:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 37b — 7.073×ATR p92 -1.1×ATR p68
4h ↓ down late 9b — 6.001×ATR p80 -1.868×ATR p93
1h ↓ down late 5b — 3.593×ATR p74 -2.794×ATR p98
15m ↑ up mid 3b — 0.634×ATR p4 -1.54×ATR p71

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.06992752
  2. atr: 0.00113351
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T00:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 62
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.1609
  4. confidence: 0.968

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06653 0.06993 0.04786
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06653
  • Stop Loss: 0.06993
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06993 - 0.06653 = 0.0034

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06653 - = 0.06653

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.06653 / 0.0034 = 19.5676

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
156.5102 100 2352.5814 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0034

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0034 = 2352.94

Taille de position USD = 2352.94 x 0.06653 = 156.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 2352.94 avec un stoploss a 0.06993

Avec un position size USD de 156.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2352.94 x 0.0034 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2352.94 x 0.06653 = 156.54

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 156.54$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2352.94
  • Taille de position USD 156.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 156.54
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 19.5676

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 156.52 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.11 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.61 $ -0.39
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3092 % 25.62 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06653 0.06993 0.04786
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06653
  • Stop Loss: 0.06993
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06993 - 0.06653 = 0.0034

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06653 - = 0.06653

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.06653 / 0.0034 = 19.5676

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.111% (0.0034)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.457% 0.1R -1.309% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.457% 0.1R -1.309% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.573% 0.1R -1.309% 0.3R 0.4× 36
4h +0.573% 0.1R -1.309% 0.3R 0.4× 48
8h +6.523% 1.3R -1.309% 0.3R 5.0× 96
12h +6.523% 1.3R -1.309% 0.3R 5.0× 144
24h +6.523% 1.3R -1.309% 0.3R 5.0× 288
48h +9.633% 1.9R -1.309% 0.3R 7.4× 576
72h +13.468% 2.6R -1.309% 0.3R 10.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 384 min MAE in 39 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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