Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 196.32 RUNE at 0.547$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5334 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5878 (7.44 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 16:15:13
hyperliquid
RUNE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 16:15
→ 22:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.5471$
Qty 196.3201 RUNE
Size 107.4028$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5334 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.69$
SL 0.5878 (-7.44%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.34
Status
loss
PnL
-0.49%
/ -0.52$
MAE -3.80%
MFE +1.78%
0.2R
expires
02 Nov 22:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241726)
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 16:00
score du 02/11/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1310
Quality Score
0.352
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.14×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.58×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.60
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 16:00
02/11 16:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7660
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
15.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.034
Δ 4h
▼-0.232
Δ 12h
→-0.022
Δ 24h
→-0.001
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 67.4% |
| 1h | 20.4% |
| 4h | 8.2% |
| 24h | 10.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 69.4% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 26.5% | -1.60% |
| 24h | 16.3% | -4.10% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
32.7%
Expansion
34.7%
Tail ↑
+0.83
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion :
0.165
Universe :
49
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 16:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3091
Score SMA
0.4976
Rank
#38
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2600
Rank Norm SMA
0.7593
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1589 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.91% · r3d: -10.45% · ema21_slope: -0.4554% · dist_ema21: -13.010% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1523 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.93% · rs_3d: -10.94% · beta_24h: 0.836 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6890 | rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 0.729 · trend: 104.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5704 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.767% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3519
Score SMA
0.5169
Rank
#62
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1310
Rank Norm SMA
0.5101
Calculé le
02/11/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2214 | r1h: -1.258% · r4h: -1.169% · r1d: -4.87% · r3d: -15.46% · ema21_slope: -0.0528% · dist_ema21: -0.163% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2898 | rs_1h: -0.868% · rs_4h: -0.272% · rs_1d: -3.47% · rs_3d: -15.30% · beta_24h: 0.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1507 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.739 · trend: -50.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5876 | ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9471 | ATR%: 3.159% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3171
Score SMA
0.5301
Rank
#58
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1363
Rank Norm SMA
0.6517
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2330 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.359% · r1d: -3.57% · r3d: -13.48% · ema21_slope: -0.7597% · dist_ema21: -6.675% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2859 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.814% · rs_1d: -2.67% · rs_3d: -13.67% · beta_24h: -0.457 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3435 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.061 · trend: 44.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6707 | ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 21.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0641 | ATR%: 5.808% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.439%
(0.0407)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -0.364% | 0.1R | 4.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -0.996% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -3.802% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.777% | 0.2R | -3.802% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -3.802% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -9.457% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -22.400% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -22.400% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -23.347% | 3.1R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 9 min
MAE in 1199 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.71
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.84 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.93 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.33 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.78% | +0.63 | 02/11 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.04 | bear_low | -1.19% | -0.17 | 02/11 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481985
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.588 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 1b -1.6ATR | — | — | 2.00 | 94% | ↑ +0.72 | below_value | -5.37 | — | #227332 | 0.66 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.84 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:18
|
|
4h
#488008
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.301 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early 3b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.63 | 86% | ↑ +0.56 | below_value | -4.29 | inside | #229808 | 0.50 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.93 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:13
|
|
1h
anchor #488384
|
↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.441 | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 3b -0.1ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.15 | 54% | ↓ -0.62 | below_value | -4.83 | — | #230003 | 0.33 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.78% | +0.63 |
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 16:09
|
|
15m
#488318
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.660 | compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 6b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.22 | 17% | ↓ -0.29 | below_value | -4.29 | — | #229808 | 0.04 | bear_low | -1.19% | -0.17 |
02/11 15:45
upd 02/11 16:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 3.278×ATR | p14 | -1.566×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.854×ATR | p0 | -1.033×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.124×ATR | p2 | -0.05×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.662×ATR | p43 | -0.593×ATR | p21 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.58782978
- tp_price: 0.533403
- atr: 0.01629991
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T03:15:13+00:00
Details
- rank: 59
- total: 64
- score: 0.2214
- delta_2h: -0.0769
- extension_atr: -0.01
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.131
- confidence: 0.921
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:15 | 0.54708000 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 17:15 | 0.54846000 | +0.249% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5471 | 0.5878 | 0.5334 | 0.34 | 0.5439 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5471
- Stop Loss: 0.5878
- Take Profit: 0.5334
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5878 - 0.5471 = 0.0407
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5471 - 0.5334 = 0.0137
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0137 / 0.0407 = 0.3366
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 107.4028 | 100 | 196.3201 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0407
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0407 = 196.56
Taille de position USD = 196.56 x 0.5471 = 107.54
Donc, tu peux acheter 196.56 avec un stoploss a 0.5878
Avec un position size USD de 107.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 196.56 x 0.0407 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 196.56 x 0.0137 = 2.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.69$
Résumé
- Taille de position 196.56
- Taille de position USD 107.54
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.69
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3366
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.69 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.44 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.52 $ | -0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8019 % | 51.11 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5471 | 0.5878 | 0.5334 | 0.34 | 0.5439 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5471
- Stop Loss: 0.5878
- Take Profit: 0.5334
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5878 - 0.5471 = 0.0407
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5471 - 0.5334 = 0.0137
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0137 / 0.0407 = 0.3366
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.439%
(0.0407)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -0.364% | 0.1R | 4.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -0.996% | 0.1R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -3.802% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.777% | 0.2R | -3.802% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -3.802% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -9.457% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -22.400% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -22.400% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.777% | 0.2R | -23.347% | 3.1R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 9 min
MAE in 1199 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.