02 Nov 2026 at 16:15:14 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.14 ZEC at 1147.7$ per unit. Take profit: 1119.0075 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1205.0043 (4.99 %)

ZEC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 16:15 → 22:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 1147.7$

Qty 0.1396 ZEC

Size 160.2252$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1119.0075 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.01$

SL 1205.0043 (-4.99%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.5

Status win PnL +0.76% / +1.21$ MAE -1.32% MFE +1.42% 0.3R expires 02 Nov 22:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241756)
#56 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5683

Quality Score
0.431
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#56 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#56 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.15×ATR
4h near -0.76×ATR
1d clear 1.00×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.60
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
610.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 16:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

02/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/11 15:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7660
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 15.0%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.034
Δ 4h
▼-0.232
Δ 12h
→-0.022
Δ 24h
→-0.001

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 67.4%
1h 20.4%
4h 8.2%
24h 10.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 69.4% +0.05%
4h 26.5% -1.60%
24h 16.3% -4.10%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
32.7%
Expansion
34.7%
Tail ↑
+0.83
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion : 0.165
Universe : 49 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 16:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4055
Score SMA
0.4425
Rank
#17 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6800
Rank Norm SMA
0.7403
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6012 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.33% · r3d: 0.89% · ema21_slope: 0.0317% · dist_ema21: -0.852%
Force Relative 25% 0.5075 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.35% · rs_3d: 0.40% · beta_24h: 2.535
Volume 20% 0.1797 rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -1.111 · trend: -12.73%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4152 ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 65.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.703% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4307
Score SMA
0.5467
Rank
#56 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5683
Rank Norm SMA
0.6511
Calculé le
02/11/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2136 r1h: -1.042% · r4h: -7.498% · r1d: -6.59% · r3d: -7.74% · ema21_slope: -0.2092% · dist_ema21: -6.713%
Force Relative 25% 0.2198 rs_1h: -0.651% · rs_4h: -6.601% · rs_1d: -5.19% · rs_3d: -7.58% · beta_24h: 3.207
Volume 20% 0.5091 rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: 0.448 · trend: 113.09%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7124 ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.101% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4930
Score SMA
0.5420
Rank
#21 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7203
Rank Norm SMA
0.7503
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2629 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -8.171% · r1d: -5.45% · r3d: -6.36% · ema21_slope: -0.1411% · dist_ema21: -7.574%
Force Relative 25% 0.2477 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -7.626% · rs_1d: -4.55% · rs_3d: -6.55% · beta_24h: 2.344
Volume 20% 0.9955 rvol_20: 4.79× · zscore_50: 3.196 · trend: 96.63%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5301 ADX: 11.3 (weak) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7359 ATR%: 3.792% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.993% (57.3043)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.706% 0.1R -1.324% 0.3R 0.5× 12
2h +1.028% 0.2R -1.324% 0.3R 0.8× 24
4h +1.420% 0.3R -1.324% 0.3R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +1.420% 0.3R -1.324% 0.3R 1.1× 72
8h +1.690% 0.3R -1.324% 0.3R 1.3× 96
12h +2.396% 0.5R -1.324% 0.3R 1.8× 144
24h +2.396% 0.5R -8.243% 1.7R 0.3× 288
48h +2.396% 0.5R -17.940% 3.6R 0.1× 576
72h +2.396% 0.5R -17.940% 3.6R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 494 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.25
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.58 range_high +0.70% +0.76 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 39% late near -0.8ATR — 0.63 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.61 02/11 11:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 51% late near 0.2ATR — 0.72 bear_medium_confirmed -1.78% -0.52 02/11 15:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion bear_high
60%
choppy 49% late near 0.2ATR — 0.75 bear_low -1.19% -0.70 02/11 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482055
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.564 compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 34% early 14b -0.1ATR — — 0.53 50% ↔ -0.00 above_value -0.35 — #227354 0.58 range_high +0.70% +0.76
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
4h
#488085
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.493 compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 39% late 3b -2.7ATR near -0.8ATR — 4.79 100% ↑ +0.29 below_value -4.04 — #229839 0.63 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.61
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:18
1h anchor
#488415
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.397 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 51% late 1b -3.2ATR near 0.2ATR — 1.00 84% ↑ +0.54 below_value -4.00 inside #230034 0.72 bear_medium_confirmed -1.78% -0.52
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 16:11
15m
#488349
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.547 expansion bear_high
60%
choppy 49% late 2b -2.4ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.16 60% ↓ -0.23 below_value -4.04 — #229839 0.75 bear_low -1.19% -0.70
02/11 15:45
upd 02/11 16:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 14b — 1.736×ATR p0 -0.102×ATR p7
4h ↓ down late 3b — 3.077×ATR p44 -2.651×ATR p97
1h ↑ up late 1b — 0.589×ATR p2 -3.167×ATR p99
15m ↓ down late 2b — 1.666×ATR p13 -2.44×ATR p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1205.00434725
  2. tp_price: 1119.0075
  3. atr: 22.9217389
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-03T03:15:14+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 58
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.229
  4. delta_2h: -0.105
  5. extension_atr: -2.88
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5683
  9. confidence: 0.905

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1147.7 1205.0043 1119.0075 0.5 901.63
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1147.7
  • Stop Loss: 1205.0043
  • Take Profit: 1119.0075

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1205.0043 - 1147.7 = 57.3043

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1147.7 - 1119.0075 = 28.6925

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 28.6925 / 57.3043 = 0.5007

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
160.2252 100 0.1396 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 57.3043

Taille de position = 8 / 57.3043 = 0.14

Taille de position USD = 0.14 x 1147.7 = 160.68

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.14 avec un stoploss a 1205.0043

Avec un position size USD de 160.68$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.14 x 57.3043 = 8.02

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.14 x 28.6925 = 4.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.14
  • Taille de position USD 160.68
  • Perte potentielle 8.02
  • Gain potentiel 4.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5007

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.99 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1.21 $ 0.76
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3244 % 26.53 % 15
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1147.7 1205.0043 1119.0075 0.5 901.63
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1147.7
  • Stop Loss: 1205.0043
  • Take Profit: 1119.0075

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1205.0043 - 1147.7 = 57.3043

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1147.7 - 1119.0075 = 28.6925

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 28.6925 / 57.3043 = 0.5007

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.993% (57.3043)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.706% 0.1R -1.324% 0.3R 0.5× 12
2h +1.028% 0.2R -1.324% 0.3R 0.8× 24
4h +1.420% 0.3R -1.324% 0.3R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +1.420% 0.3R -1.324% 0.3R 1.1× 72
8h +1.690% 0.3R -1.324% 0.3R 1.3× 96
12h +2.396% 0.5R -1.324% 0.3R 1.8× 144
24h +2.396% 0.5R -8.243% 1.7R 0.3× 288
48h +2.396% 0.5R -17.940% 3.6R 0.1× 576
72h +2.396% 0.5R -17.940% 3.6R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 494 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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