Short Trade on CHIP

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02 Nov 2026 at 17:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 4608.06 CHIP at 0.0399$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03893 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04166 (4.33 %)

CHIP SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 17:15 → 22:00 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.03993$

Qty 4608.056 CHIP

Size 183.9905$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03893 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.61$

SL 0.04166 (-4.33%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.58

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.61$ MAE -0.23% MFE +3.06% 0.7R expires 02 Nov 23:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241826)

#25 / 64

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2879

Quality Score

0.502

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#25 / 64

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

87 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.33 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#25 / 64

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

87 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.33 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.56×ATR
4h	clear	0.65×ATR
1d	near	-0.11×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

balanced

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

recovering

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

WOULD SKIP

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

bearish

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-0.42

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

WOULD SKIP

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 17:03

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 15:00 Score : +3 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/11 15:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7664

Voir snapshot →

bear developing bear_expansion

Strategic	bear 0.55	expansion +2
Operational	bear 0.55	expansion +1
Tactical	bear 0.55	expansion +1
Micro	bear 0.55	transition

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.63

Transition risk : 0.37

Score contribution (this trade) +4

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 28.7%

Macro broad_risk_off

Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state recovering

Δ 15m

→+0.000

Δ 1h

▲+0.137

Δ 4h

▲+0.176

Δ 12h

▲+0.146

Δ 24h

▼-0.057

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	48.0%
1h	78.0%
4h	26.0%
24h	10.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	48.0%	+0.00%
4h	46.0%	-0.42%
24h	20.0%	-3.36%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

2.0%

Down ≥1σ

0.0%

Expansion

2.0%

Tail ↑

+0.61

Tail ↓

+0.44

Dispersion : 0.122

Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M

+0 added · -0 removed

Regime confidence : 0.78

Snapshot évalué : 02/11 17:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00

Score brut

0.3407

Score SMA

0.4565

Rank

#29 / 51

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4400

Rank Norm SMA

0.7096

Calculé le

01/11/2026 19:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3652	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.28% · r3d: 0.72% · ema21_slope: -0.2833% · dist_ema21: -6.928%
Force Relative	25%	0.5483	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.26% · rs_3d: 0.23% · beta_24h: 3.373
Volume	20%	0.1621	rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.879 · trend: -34.43%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4107	ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 64.6 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 14.827% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/11/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.5020

Score SMA

0.5286

Rank

#25 / 64

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2879

Rank Norm SMA

0.4522

Calculé le

02/11/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3267	r1h: 1.343% · r4h: 1.131% · r1d: -6.99% · r3d: -9.85% · ema21_slope: -0.3580% · dist_ema21: -1.713%
Force Relative	25%	0.4289	rs_1h: 1.259% · rs_4h: 1.506% · rs_1d: -5.69% · rs_3d: -10.06% · beta_24h: 1.462
Volume	20%	0.5923	rvol_20: 1.78× · zscore_50: 1.119 · trend: 35.11%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7957	ADX: 35.5 (trend) · Chop: 35.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.819% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/11/2026 15:00

Score brut

0.3068

Score SMA

0.4896

Rank

#60 / 64

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0606

Rank Norm SMA

0.4563

Calculé le

02/11/2026 15:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1674	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.929% · r1d: -8.04% · r3d: -8.92% · ema21_slope: -0.4304% · dist_ema21: -7.577%
Force Relative	25%	0.2018	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.385% · rs_1d: -7.14% · rs_3d: -9.11% · beta_24h: 2.506
Volume	20%	0.3856	rvol_20: 1.81× · zscore_50: -0.372 · trend: -55.86%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4982	ADX: 17.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.5424	ATR%: 4.373% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.333% (0.0017)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.362%	0.3R	-0.225%	0.1R	6.0×	12
2h	+1.535%	0.4R	-0.225%	0.1R	6.8×	24
4h	+2.216%	0.5R	-0.225%	0.1R	9.8×	48
6h ★	+3.063%	0.7R	-0.225%	0.1R	13.6×	72
8h	+3.063%	0.7R	-0.225%	0.1R	13.6×	96
12h	+3.063%	0.7R	-0.225%	0.1R	13.6×	144
24h	+3.063%	0.7R	-7.979%	1.8R	0.4×	288
48h	+3.949%	0.9R	-10.488%	2.4R	0.4×	576
72h	+8.292%	1.9R	-10.839%	2.5R	0.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 314 min MAE in 924 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 6.28

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	compression	range_high	29%	noisy_chop 40%	early	near -0.1ATR	—	—	range_high	+0.70%	-0.99	31/10 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	late	—	—	0.49	bear_high_confirmed	-3.73%	-0.74	02/11 11:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 49%	late	—	—	0.53	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.78%	-0.60	02/11 15:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	expansion	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	near -0.8ATR	0.53	bear_low	-1.03%	+0.07	02/11 16:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #482070	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.633	compression	range_high	29%	noisy_chop 40%	early 14b -0.5ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.26	29%	↓ -0.20	below_value	-12.75	—	#227359	—	range_high	+0.70%	-0.99	31/10 20:00 upd 01/11 19:21
4h #488103	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.771	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	late 7b -2.4ATR	—	—	1.81	46%	↔ -0.10	below_value	-18.49	inside	#229845	0.49	bear_high_confirmed	-3.73%	-0.74	02/11 11:00 upd 02/11 15:18
1h anchor #488421	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.738	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 49%	late 1b -1.8ATR	—	—	0.70	32%	↑ +0.77	below_value	-15.32	inside	#230040	0.53	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.78%	-0.60	02/11 15:00 upd 02/11 16:11
15m #488696	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.361	expansion	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 37%	early 5b 0.9ATR	—	near -0.8ATR	0.08	11%	↓ -0.59	below_value	-15.71	—	#230172	0.53	bear_low	-1.03%	+0.07	02/11 16:45 upd 02/11 17:11
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	14b	—	0.724×ATR	p0	-0.519×ATR	p28
4h	↓ down	late	7b	—	2.766×ATR	p22	-2.414×ATR	p92
1h	↑ up	late	1b	—	1.29×ATR	p0	-1.756×ATR	p83
15m	↑ up	early	5b	—	1.436×ATR	p3	+0.854×ATR	p51

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.04166409
tp_price: 0.0389298
atr: 0.00069444
expires_at: 2026-11-03T04:15:08+00:00

Details

rank: 56
total: 64
score: 0.2792
delta_2h: -0.0183
extension_atr: -1.11
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2899
confidence: 0.873

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	17:15	0.03992800	-0.005%
2	18:15	0.03957800	-0.882%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03993	0.04166	0.03893	0.58	0.03005

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03993
Stop Loss: 0.04166
Take Profit: 0.03893

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04166 - 0.03993 = 0.00173
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03993 - 0.03893 = 0.001
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001 / 0.00173 = 0.578

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
183.9905	100	4608.056	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00173

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00173 = 4624.28

Taille de position USD = 4624.28 x 0.03993 = 184.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 4624.28 avec un stoploss a 0.04166

Avec un position size USD de 184.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4624.28 x 0.00173 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4624.28 x 0.001 = 4.62

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.62$

Résumé

Taille de position 4624.28
Taille de position USD 184.65
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.62
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.578

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.61 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.33 %	7.97 $

PNL	PNL %
4.61 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.2254 %	5.2 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03993	0.04166	0.03893	0.58	0.03005

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03993
Stop Loss: 0.04166
Take Profit: 0.03893

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04166 - 0.03993 = 0.00173
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03993 - 0.03893 = 0.001
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001 / 0.00173 = 0.578

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.333% (0.0017)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.362%	0.3R	-0.225%	0.1R	6.0×	12
2h	+1.535%	0.4R	-0.225%	0.1R	6.8×	24
4h	+2.216%	0.5R	-0.225%	0.1R	9.8×	48
6h ★	+3.063%	0.7R	-0.225%	0.1R	13.6×	72
8h	+3.063%	0.7R	-0.225%	0.1R	13.6×	96
12h	+3.063%	0.7R	-0.225%	0.1R	13.6×	144
24h	+3.063%	0.7R	-7.979%	1.8R	0.4×	288
48h	+3.949%	0.9R	-10.488%	2.4R	0.4×	576
72h	+8.292%	1.9R	-10.839%	2.5R	0.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 314 min MAE in 924 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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