Short Trade on XRP (BosPullback)
With 651.6 XRP at 1.247$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2167 (2.46 %) & Stop Loss: 1.2597 (0.99 %)
Short Trade on XRP (BosPullback)
With 651.6 XRP at 1.247$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2167 (2.46 %) & Stop Loss: 1.2597 (0.99 %)
Position
Entry 1.2474$
Qty 651.5979 XRP
Size 812.8032$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2167 (+2.46%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.2597 (-0.99%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7110
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.25×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.78×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 02/11 16:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 42.9% |
| 1h | 6.1% |
| 4h | 40.8% |
| 24h | 12.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 49.0% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 51.0% | -0.13% |
| 24h | 24.5% | -2.60% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2550 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.06% · r3d: 1.05% · ema21_slope: -0.4003% · dist_ema21: -4.824% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4476 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.08% · rs_3d: 0.56% · beta_24h: 1.421 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1261 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -1.253 · trend: -42.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5327 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 54.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5471 | ATR%: 4.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5235 | r1h: 0.530% · r4h: 0.878% · r1d: 0.17% · r3d: 0.14% · ema21_slope: -0.0153% · dist_ema21: 0.219% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5625 | rs_1h: 0.445% · rs_4h: 1.253% · rs_1d: 1.47% · rs_3d: -0.07% · beta_24h: 1.159 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4574 | rvol_20: 0.98× · zscore_50: 0.367 · trend: 66.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4974 | ADX: 11.7 (weak) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4410 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.072% · r1d: 0.28% · r3d: -0.03% · ema21_slope: -0.0752% · dist_ema21: -0.532% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5275 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.617% · rs_1d: 1.18% · rs_3d: -0.22% · beta_24h: 0.905 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7228 | rvol_20: 3.23× · zscore_50: 0.513 · trend: 16.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3271 | ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 78.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.287% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.353% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.577% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.152% | 0.2R | -0.609% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.233% | 0.2R | -0.850% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.233% | 0.2R | -0.994% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.233% | 0.2R | -3.527% | 3.6R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.505% | 0.5R | -7.600% | 7.7R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.774% | 2.8R | -7.600% | 7.7R | 0.4× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.88 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.26 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | — | — | 0.77 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | +0.06 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early | near 0.2ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.84 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.66% | +0.17 | 02/11 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.79 | bear_low | -0.83% | +0.09 | 02/11 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481967
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.545 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late 39b -1.3ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.26 | 10% | ↓ -0.32 | above_value | -13.23 | — | #227326 | 0.88 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.26 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:17
|
|
4h
#487992
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.513 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early 21b -0.6ATR | — | — | 3.23 | 82% | ↑ +0.32 | above_value | -0.16 | — | #229800 | 0.77 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | +0.06 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:13
|
|
1h
anchor #488713
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.637 | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early 4b 0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.98 | 68% | ↑ +0.78 | above_value | +0.12 | — | #230127 | 0.84 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.66% | +0.17 |
02/11 16:00
upd 02/11 17:13
|
|
15m
#488985
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.506 | compression | range_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 8b 0.3ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.03 | 6% | ↓ -0.78 | above_value | +0.12 | — | #230127 | 0.79 | bear_low | -0.83% | +0.09 |
02/11 17:45
upd 02/11 18:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 39b | — | 7.539×ATR | p83 | -1.277×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 21b | — | 1.449×ATR | p0 | -0.559×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.946×ATR | p33 | +0.282×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.23×ATR | p3 | +0.25×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
1.2347
144
0.2933
0.5342
0.2766
0.1971
0.3417
1
0.0921
0.4647
0.3413
0.9134
0.5596
0.3816
-0.0189
-0.0162
0
-0.0389
-0.239
0.5
0.5
-1
5
1
0.6059
0.5084
2.8221
0.55
1.6507
3.2308
-0.239
0
0.2848
0.88
0.2781
0.4224
0.4563
0.6109
0.3816
-8.503
5.2474
1
1
0
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-30 01:00:00
[price] => 1.2
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-30 06:00:00
[price] => 1.273
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-30 14:00:00
[price] => 1.2281
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-30 15:00:00
[price] => 1.2616
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-30 18:00:00
[price] => 1.233
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-31 01:00:00
[price] => 1.2614
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-31 04:00:00
[price] => 1.2417
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-31 17:00:00
[price] => 1.2566
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 02:00:00
[price] => 1.2469
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 10:00:00
[price] => 1.2598
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00
[price] => 1.2456
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 14:00:00
[price] => 1.2548
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 19:00:00
[price] => 1.243
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 21:00:00
[price] => 1.2521
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 22:00:00
[price] => 1.2424
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 01:00:00
[price] => 1.2613
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 02:00:00
[price] => 1.2514
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 13:00:00
[price] => 1.2442
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 14:00:00
[price] => 1.2588
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 17:00:00
[price] => 1.2347
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 23:30:00
[price] => 1.2535
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 00:15:00
[price] => 1.2419
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 01:15:00
[price] => 1.2613
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 02:45:00
[price] => 1.2514
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 03:45:00
[price] => 1.2647
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 06:45:00
[price] => 1.2469
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 08:30:00
[price] => 1.2562
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 10:00:00
[price] => 1.2469
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 12:15:00
[price] => 1.2558
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 13:15:00
[price] => 1.2442
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 13:30:00
[price] => 1.263
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 14:15:00
[price] => 1.2504
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 14:30:00
[price] => 1.2588
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 17:45:00
[price] => 1.2347
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 18:00:00
[price] => 1.2452
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 20:15:00
[price] => 1.2549
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 20:45:00
[price] => 1.244
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 21:45:00
[price] => 1.2548
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
1.2347
1.2588
1.2588
1.2347
1.25
1.2281
1.23905
1.0036
1.2647
1.2611
1.2629
0.744
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:01 | 1.24740000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:20 | 1.24930000 | +0.152% |
| 3 | 20:34 | 1.24920000 | +0.144% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2474 | 1.2597 | 1.2167 | 2.5 | 0.9902 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2597 - 1.2474 = 0.0123
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2474 - 1.2167 = 0.0307
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0307 / 0.0123 = 2.4959
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 812.8032 | 100 | 651.5979 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0123 = 650.41
Taille de position USD = 650.41 x 1.2474 = 811.32
Donc, tu peux acheter 650.41 avec un stoploss a 1.2597
Avec un position size USD de 811.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 650.41 x 0.0123 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 650.41 x 0.0307 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.46 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.99 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.99 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9941 % | 100.81 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2474 | 1.2597 | 1.2167 | 2.5 | 0.9902 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2597 - 1.2474 = 0.0123
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2474 - 1.2167 = 0.0307
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0307 / 0.0123 = 2.4959
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.353% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.577% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.152% | 0.2R | -0.609% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.233% | 0.2R | -0.850% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.233% | 0.2R | -0.994% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.233% | 0.2R | -3.527% | 3.6R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.505% | 0.5R | -7.600% | 7.7R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.774% | 2.8R | -7.600% | 7.7R | 0.4× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.