02 Nov 2026 at 18:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on USELESS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1112.59 USELESS at 0.12$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1174 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1276 (5.98 %)

USELESS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 18:15 → 00:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1204$

Qty 1112.5899 USELESS

Size 133.9558$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1174 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.34$

SL 0.1276 (-5.98%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.42

Status loss PnL -1.94% / -2.6$ MAE -3.92% MFE +0.48% 0.1R expires 03 Nov 00:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241896)
#64 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1101

Quality Score
0.352
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#64 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.05×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.13
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 18:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/11 17:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7668
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 34.0%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.007
Δ 1h
▲+0.053
Δ 4h
▲+0.236
Δ 12h
→+0.041
Δ 24h
▲+0.093

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 42.9%
1h 6.1%
4h 40.8%
24h 12.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 49.0% -0.04%
4h 51.0% -0.13%
24h 24.5% -2.60%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.45
Tail ↓
+0.23
Dispersion : 0.091
Universe : 49 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 18:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2566
Score SMA
0.2362
Rank
#49 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0400
Rank Norm SMA
0.0595
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2152 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.37% · r3d: 2.43% · ema21_slope: -1.2271% · dist_ema21: -18.088%
Force Relative 25% 0.2995 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.35% · rs_3d: 1.94% · beta_24h: 4.296
Volume 20% 0.2427 rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.669 · trend: -25.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4576 ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 18.395% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.3523
Score SMA
0.4582
Rank
#64 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1101
Rank Norm SMA
0.2611
Calculé le
02/11/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1769 r1h: -2.505% · r4h: -2.069% · r1d: -6.98% · r3d: -9.90% · ema21_slope: -0.1973% · dist_ema21: -4.031%
Force Relative 25% 0.1933 rs_1h: -2.624% · rs_4h: -1.986% · rs_1d: -5.89% · rs_3d: -9.90% · beta_24h: 3.210
Volume 20% 0.2000 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.315 · trend: -34.91%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5910 ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 44.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.510% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.2589
Score SMA
0.3377
Rank
#63 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0160
Rank Norm SMA
0.0881
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1469 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.394% · r1d: -4.53% · r3d: -8.03% · ema21_slope: -0.4899% · dist_ema21: -6.878%
Force Relative 25% 0.2243 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.850% · rs_1d: -3.63% · rs_3d: -8.22% · beta_24h: 4.188
Volume 20% 0.4185 rvol_20: 1.48× · zscore_50: 0.143 · trend: -10.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4116 ADX: 19.2 (weak) · Chop: 68.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.1333 ATR%: 5.600% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.980% (0.0072)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.482% 0.1R -1.611% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.482% 0.1R -1.686% 0.3R 0.3× 24
4h +0.482% 0.1R -1.753% 0.3R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +0.482% 0.1R -3.920% 0.7R 0.1× 72
8h +0.689% 0.1R -3.920% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +1.229% 0.2R -3.920% 0.7R 0.3× 144
24h +1.229% 0.2R -8.447% 1.4R 0.2× 288
48h +1.229% 0.2R -24.585% 4.1R 0.1× 576
72h +1.229% 0.2R -24.585% 4.1R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 559 min MAE in 1324 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.34
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — — range_high +0.70% -0.98 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.62 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.68 02/11 11:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -1.1ATR — 0.66 bear_medium_confirmed -1.52% -0.48 02/11 17:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 38% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.68 bear_low -0.83% -0.09 02/11 17:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482073
↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 38% mid 39b -1.4ATR — — 0.84 20% ↑ +0.15 above_value -0.56 — #227360 — range_high +0.70% -0.98
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:22
4h
#488106
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.492 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 39% late 19b -1.7ATR — — 1.48 72% ↔ +0.03 value -3.90 inside #229846 0.62 bear_high_confirmed -3.73% -0.68
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:19
1h anchor
#489099
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive 0.401 expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 43% mid 5b -1.5ATR near -1.1ATR — 0.51 36% ↔ +0.06 value -4.06 — #230305 0.66 bear_medium_confirmed -1.52% -0.48
02/11 17:00
upd 02/11 18:11
15m
#489031
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.522 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 38% mid 10b -1.6ATR near 0.1ATR — 0.25 26% ↓ -0.64 above_value -3.21 — #230173 0.68 bear_low -0.83% -0.09
02/11 17:45
upd 02/11 18:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 39b — 9.328×ATR — -1.378×ATR p62
4h ↓ down late 19b — 2.843×ATR p36 -1.669×ATR p82
1h ↑ up mid 5b — 0.404×ATR p0 -1.538×ATR p73
15m ↓ down mid 10b — 2.69×ATR p31 -1.61×ATR p76

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.12759043
  2. tp_price: 0.11739
  3. atr: 0.00287617
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-03T05:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 61
  2. total: 66
  3. score: 0.2041
  4. delta_2h: -0.0496
  5. extension_atr: -1.5
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.112
  9. confidence: 0.923

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1204 0.1276 0.1174 0.42 0.1123
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1204
  • Stop Loss: 0.1276
  • Take Profit: 0.1174

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1276 - 0.1204 = 0.0072

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1204 - 0.1174 = 0.003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.003 / 0.0072 = 0.4167

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
133.9558 100 1112.5899 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0072

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0072 = 1111.11

Taille de position USD = 1111.11 x 0.1204 = 133.78

Donc, tu peux acheter 1111.11 avec un stoploss a 0.1276

Avec un position size USD de 133.78$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1111.11 x 0.0072 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1111.11 x 0.003 = 3.33

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.33$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1111.11
  • Taille de position USD 133.78
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.33
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4167

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 3.34 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.98 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-2.6 $ -1.94
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.9203 % 65.56 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1204 0.1276 0.1174 0.42 0.1123
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1204
  • Stop Loss: 0.1276
  • Take Profit: 0.1174

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1276 - 0.1204 = 0.0072

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1204 - 0.1174 = 0.003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.003 / 0.0072 = 0.4167

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.980% (0.0072)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.482% 0.1R -1.611% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.482% 0.1R -1.686% 0.3R 0.3× 24
4h +0.482% 0.1R -1.753% 0.3R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +0.482% 0.1R -3.920% 0.7R 0.1× 72
8h +0.689% 0.1R -3.920% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +1.229% 0.2R -3.920% 0.7R 0.3× 144
24h +1.229% 0.2R -8.447% 1.4R 0.2× 288
48h +1.229% 0.2R -24.585% 4.1R 0.1× 576
72h +1.229% 0.2R -24.585% 4.1R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 559 min MAE in 1324 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.