Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 11145.17 2Z at 0.0235$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02289 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0242 (3.07 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 18:15:05
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 18:15
→ 22:00
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.02348$
Qty 11145.1658 2Z
Size 261.6885$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02289 (+2.51%)
TP $ 6.58$
SL 0.0242 (-3.07%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.82
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +6.58$
MAE -0.05%
MFE +6.30%
2.1R
expires
03 Nov 00:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241885)
#51 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 18:00
score du 02/11/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4277
Quality Score
0.428
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#51 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.07 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#51 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.07 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.13
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 18:02
02/11 18:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7668
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
34.0%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.007
Δ 1h
▲+0.053
Δ 4h
▲+0.236
Δ 12h
→+0.041
Δ 24h
▲+0.093
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 42.9% |
| 1h | 6.1% |
| 4h | 40.8% |
| 24h | 12.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 49.0% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 51.0% | -0.13% |
| 24h | 24.5% | -2.60% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.45
Tail ↓
+0.23
Dispersion :
0.091
Universe :
49
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 18:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.4280
Score SMA
0.4488
Rank
#51
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4277
Rank Norm SMA
0.2499
Calculé le
02/11/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2402 | r1h: -0.583% · r4h: -0.009% · r1d: -6.43% · r3d: -12.96% · ema21_slope: -0.2677% · dist_ema21: -2.684% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2977 | rs_1h: -0.701% · rs_4h: 0.075% · rs_1d: -5.33% · rs_3d: -12.96% · beta_24h: 1.063 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2798 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.574 · trend: 38.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8891 | ADX: 46.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.271% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4717
Score SMA
0.4172
Rank
#29
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4875
Rank Norm SMA
0.2747
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1088 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.504% · r1d: -6.37% · r3d: -12.22% · ema21_slope: -0.4831% · dist_ema21: -7.923% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2135 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.960% · rs_1d: -5.47% · rs_3d: -12.41% · beta_24h: 1.382 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8935 | rvol_20: 2.50× · zscore_50: 2.610 · trend: 104.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7135 | ADX: 28.6 (trend) · Chop: 41.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.778% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.066%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.894% | 0.3R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 17.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.329% | 0.4R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 26.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.303% | 2.1R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 123.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.303% | 2.1R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 123.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.303% | 2.1R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 123.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.303% | 2.1R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 123.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.908% | 2.3R | -3.978% | 1.3R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.908% | 2.3R | -6.503% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.912% | 3.9R | -6.503% | 2.1R | 1.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1089 min
MAE in 1414 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 6.82
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.53 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.99 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.84 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.52% | -0.45 | 02/11 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_low | -0.83% | -0.06 | 02/11 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#487417
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.444 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 36b -2.7ATR | — | — | 1.08 | 85% | ↔ +0.00 | below_value | -5.56 | — | #229580 | 0.53 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.99 |
31/10 20:00
upd 02/11 13:20
|
|
4h
#488082
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.509 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 16b -4.0ATR | — | — | 2.50 | 90% | ↑ +0.62 | below_value | -6.92 | — | #229838 | 0.53 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.84 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:17
|
|
1h
anchor #489091
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.516 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 3b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.39 | 72% | ↔ +0.10 | below_value | -5.74 | — | #230297 | 0.65 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.52% | -0.45 |
02/11 17:00
upd 02/11 18:10
|
|
15m
#489023
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.525 | compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 5b -0.4ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.01 | 1% | ↓ -0.91 | below_value | -5.57 | — | #230165 | 0.58 | bear_low | -0.83% | -0.06 |
02/11 17:45
upd 02/11 18:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 19.984×ATR | p100 | -2.667×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 6.011×ATR | p83 | -3.964×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 1.053×ATR | p0 | -2.018×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.231×ATR | p4 | -0.42×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.0241978
- tp_price: 0.022893
- atr: 0.00028712
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T05:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 59
- total: 66
- score: 0.2289
- delta_2h: -0.0159
- extension_atr: -2.14
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4296
- confidence: 0.892
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02348 | 0.0242 | 0.02289 | 0.82 | 0.01744 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02348
- Stop Loss: 0.0242
- Take Profit: 0.02289
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0242 - 0.02348 = 0.00072
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02348 - 0.02289 = 0.00059
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00059 / 0.00072 = 0.8194
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 261.6885 | 100 | 11145.1658 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00072
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00072 = 11111.11
Taille de position USD = 11111.11 x 0.02348 = 260.89
Donc, tu peux acheter 11111.11 avec un stoploss a 0.0242
Avec un position size USD de 260.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 11111.11 x 0.00072 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 11111.11 x 0.00059 = 6.56
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.56$
Résumé
- Taille de position 11111.11
- Taille de position USD 260.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.56
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8194
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 6.58 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.07 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.58 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0511 % | 1.67 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02348 | 0.0242 | 0.02289 | 0.82 | 0.01744 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02348
- Stop Loss: 0.0242
- Take Profit: 0.02289
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0242 - 0.02348 = 0.00072
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02348 - 0.02289 = 0.00059
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00059 / 0.00072 = 0.8194
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02204
[stop_loss] => 0.0242
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 03:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.066%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.894% | 0.3R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 17.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.329% | 0.4R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 26.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.303% | 2.1R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 123.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.303% | 2.1R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 123.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.303% | 2.1R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 123.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.303% | 2.1R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 123.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.908% | 2.3R | -3.978% | 1.3R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.908% | 2.3R | -6.503% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.912% | 3.9R | -6.503% | 2.1R | 1.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1089 min
MAE in 1414 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.