Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 4742.09 CHIP at 0.0395$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03851 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04118 (4.25 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 19:15:18
hyperliquid
CHIP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 19:15
→ 01:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.0395$
Qty 4742.0896 CHIP
Size 187.2983$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03851 (+2.51%)
TP $ 4.69$
SL 0.04118 (-4.25%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.59
Status
win
PnL
+0.71%
/ +1.32$
MAE -0.40%
MFE +2.01%
0.5R
expires
03 Nov 01:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241957)
#62 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 19:00
score du 02/11/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2620
Quality Score
0.395
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#62 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#62 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.74×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.65×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.11×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 19:03
02/11 19:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 17:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7672
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
52.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.181
Δ 4h
▲+0.405
Δ 12h
▲+0.264
Δ 24h
→-0.035
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 60.4% |
| 1h | 20.8% |
| 4h | 58.3% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 56.3% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 81.3% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 27.1% | -3.37% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.33
Dispersion :
0.084
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 19:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3407
Score SMA
0.4565
Rank
#29
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4400
Rank Norm SMA
0.7096
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3652 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.28% · r3d: 0.72% · ema21_slope: -0.2833% · dist_ema21: -6.928% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5483 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.26% · rs_3d: 0.23% · beta_24h: 3.373 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1621 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.879 · trend: -34.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4107 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 64.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.827% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3951
Score SMA
0.5278
Rank
#62
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2620
Rank Norm SMA
0.4509
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2455 | r1h: -0.315% · r4h: -0.397% · r1d: -8.82% · r3d: -10.71% · ema21_slope: -0.3410% · dist_ema21: -2.516% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3233 | rs_1h: -0.150% · rs_4h: -0.044% · rs_1d: -6.88% · rs_3d: -10.02% · beta_24h: 1.366 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2626 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.205 · trend: -10.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7315 | ADX: 36.5 (trend) · Chop: 47.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.792% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2868
Score SMA
0.4865
Rank
#62
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0552
Rank Norm SMA
0.4530
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1730 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.397% · r1d: -8.82% · r3d: -10.71% · ema21_slope: -0.4417% · dist_ema21: -7.275% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2147 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.044% · rs_1d: -6.88% · rs_3d: -10.02% · beta_24h: 0.597 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2608 | rvol_20: 1.08× · zscore_50: -0.488 · trend: -58.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5153 | ADX: 18.9 (weak) · Chop: 55.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5722 | ATR%: 4.283% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.253%
(0.0017)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.851% | 0.2R | -0.258% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.152% | 0.3R | -0.258% | 0.1R | 4.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.008% | 0.5R | -0.258% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.008% | 0.5R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.008% | 0.5R | -1.167% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.008% | 0.5R | -5.157% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.008% | 0.5R | -9.154% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.904% | 0.7R | -12.046% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.228% | 2.2R | -12.046% | 2.8R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 194 min
MAE in 804 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
29%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_high | +0.70% | -0.99 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.74 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.52% | -0.54 | 02/11 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.52 | bear_low | -0.92% | +0.12 | 02/11 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482070
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.633 | compression | range_high |
29%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 14b -0.5ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.26 | 29% | ↓ -0.20 | below_value | -12.75 | — | #227359 | — | range_high | +0.70% | -0.99 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#488103
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.771 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 7b -2.4ATR | — | — | 1.81 | 46% | ↔ -0.10 | below_value | -18.49 | inside | #229845 | 0.49 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.74 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:18
|
|
1h
anchor #489098
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.737 | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid 3b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.18 | 4% | ↑ +0.63 | below_value | -15.65 | inside | #230304 | 0.53 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.52% | -0.54 |
02/11 17:00
upd 02/11 18:11
|
|
15m
#489377
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.573 | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 8b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.34 | 37% | ↓ -0.57 | below_value | -15.65 | — | #230304 | 0.52 | bear_low | -0.92% | +0.12 |
02/11 18:45
upd 02/11 19:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 0.724×ATR | p0 | -0.519×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 2.766×ATR | p22 | -2.414×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.475×ATR | p0 | -1.301×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.134×ATR | p33 | -0.357×ATR | p23 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04118402
- tp_price: 0.03850957
- atr: 0.00067481
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T06:15:18+00:00
Details
- rank: 62
- total: 66
- score: 0.2316
- delta_2h: -0.0951
- extension_atr: -1.45
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.262
- confidence: 0.938
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:15 | 0.03949700 | -0.008% |
| 2 | 21:15 | 0.03913100 | -0.934% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0395 | 0.04118 | 0.03851 | 0.59 | 0.02973 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0395
- Stop Loss: 0.04118
- Take Profit: 0.03851
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04118 - 0.0395 = 0.00168
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0395 - 0.03851 = 0.00099
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00099 / 0.00168 = 0.5893
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187.2983 | 100 | 4742.0896 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00168
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00168 = 4761.9
Taille de position USD = 4761.9 x 0.0395 = 188.1
Donc, tu peux acheter 4761.9 avec un stoploss a 0.04118
Avec un position size USD de 188.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4761.9 x 0.00168 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4761.9 x 0.00099 = 4.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position 4761.9
- Taille de position USD 188.1
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5893
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 4.69 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.25 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.32 $ | 0.71 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4025 % | 9.46 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0395 | 0.04118 | 0.03851 | 0.59 | 0.02973 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0395
- Stop Loss: 0.04118
- Take Profit: 0.03851
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04118 - 0.0395 = 0.00168
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0395 - 0.03851 = 0.00099
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00099 / 0.00168 = 0.5893
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.253%
(0.0017)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.851% | 0.2R | -0.258% | 0.1R | 3.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.152% | 0.3R | -0.258% | 0.1R | 4.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.008% | 0.5R | -0.258% | 0.1R | 7.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.008% | 0.5R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.008% | 0.5R | -1.167% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.008% | 0.5R | -5.157% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.008% | 0.5R | -9.154% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.904% | 0.7R | -12.046% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.228% | 2.2R | -12.046% | 2.8R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 194 min
MAE in 804 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.