Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 14269.92 MON at 0.0176$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01718 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01818 (3.18 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 19:15:19
hyperliquid
MON
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 19:15
→ 23:20
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.01762$
Qty 14269.9155 MON
Size 251.4502$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01718 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.28$
SL 0.01818 (-3.18%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.79
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +6.28$
MAE -0.74%
MFE +4.09%
1.3R
expires
03 Nov 01:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241952)
#52 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 19:00
score du 02/11/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4531
Quality Score
0.445
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#52 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#52 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -2.27×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.70×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 19:02
02/11 19:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7672
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
52.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.181
Δ 4h
▲+0.405
Δ 12h
▲+0.264
Δ 24h
→-0.035
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 60.4% |
| 1h | 20.8% |
| 4h | 58.3% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 56.3% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 81.3% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 27.1% | -3.37% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.33
Dispersion :
0.084
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 19:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2307
Score SMA
0.2531
Rank
#51
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1253
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1828 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.49% · r3d: 1.09% · ema21_slope: -0.9420% · dist_ema21: -11.864% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3072 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.51% · rs_3d: 0.61% · beta_24h: 2.029 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1384 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.924 · trend: -69.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4758 | ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 66.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.430% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4450
Score SMA
0.4926
Rank
#52
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4531
Rank Norm SMA
0.3644
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2415 | r1h: -0.402% · r4h: -1.120% · r1d: -8.50% · r3d: -10.71% · ema21_slope: -0.3035% · dist_ema21: -3.756% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3087 | rs_1h: -0.237% · rs_4h: -0.767% · rs_1d: -6.56% · rs_3d: -10.02% · beta_24h: 1.503 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4036 | rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: 0.190 · trend: 44.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8915 | ADX: 47.0 (trend) · Chop: 36.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.321% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3890
Score SMA
0.4401
Rank
#53
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1968
Rank Norm SMA
0.3310
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1408 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.120% · r1d: -8.50% · r3d: -10.71% · ema21_slope: -0.3547% · dist_ema21: -7.781% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2233 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.767% · rs_1d: -6.56% · rs_3d: -10.02% · beta_24h: 1.667 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4694 | rvol_20: 1.86× · zscore_50: 0.017 · trend: -11.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7050 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.989% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.178%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.556% | 0.2R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.566% | 0.5R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.378% | 0.8R | -0.744% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.086% | 1.3R | -0.744% | 0.2R | 5.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.938% | 1.6R | -0.744% | 0.2R | 6.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.938% | 1.6R | -0.744% | 0.2R | 6.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.938% | 1.6R | -3.859% | 1.2R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.938% | 1.6R | -8.110% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.005% | 1.9R | -8.110% | 2.6R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 409 min
MAE in 1279 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.63
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.59 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -2.3ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.75 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | 0.69 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.52% | -0.57 | 02/11 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_low | -0.92% | -0.19 | 02/11 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482058
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.537 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 30b -1.8ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.31 | 13% | ↓ -0.65 | below_value | -14.06 | — | #227355 | 0.59 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.96 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#488088
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.389 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 21b -3.5ATR | near -2.3ATR | — | 2.13 | 45% | ↔ -0.01 | below_value | -17.80 | inside | #229840 | 0.60 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -0.75 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:18
|
|
1h
anchor #489093
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.487 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
choppy 51% | late 3b -2.6ATR | — | — | 1.58 | 76% | ↑ +0.81 | below_value | -16.49 | inside | #230299 | 0.69 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.52% | -0.57 |
02/11 17:00
upd 02/11 18:11
|
|
15m
#489372
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.462 | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 8b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.03 | 4% | ↓ -0.68 | below_value | -16.49 | — | #230299 | 0.67 | bear_low | -0.92% | -0.19 |
02/11 18:45
upd 02/11 19:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 30b | — | 9.232×ATR | p100 | -1.801×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 4.797×ATR | p75 | -3.525×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 0.356×ATR | p0 | -2.643×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.919×ATR | p83 | -1.982×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.01818162
- tp_price: 0.01718048
- atr: 0.00022425
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T06:15:19+00:00
Details
- rank: 61
- total: 66
- score: 0.2346
- delta_2h: -0.0661
- extension_atr: -2.48
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4414
- confidence: 0.923
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01762 | 0.01818 | 0.01718 | 0.79 | 0.0156 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01762
- Stop Loss: 0.01818
- Take Profit: 0.01718
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01818 - 0.01762 = 0.00056
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01762 - 0.01718 = 0.00044
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00044 / 0.00056 = 0.7857
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 251.4502 | 100 | 14269.9155 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00056
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00056 = 14285.71
Taille de position USD = 14285.71 x 0.01762 = 251.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 14285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.01818
Avec un position size USD de 251.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14285.71 x 0.00056 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14285.71 x 0.00044 = 6.29
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.29$
Résumé
- Taille de position 14285.71
- Taille de position USD 251.71
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.29
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7857
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.28 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.18 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.28 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7435 % | 23.39 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01762 | 0.01818 | 0.01718 | 0.79 | 0.0156 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01762
- Stop Loss: 0.01818
- Take Profit: 0.01718
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01818 - 0.01762 = 0.00056
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01762 - 0.01718 = 0.00044
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00044 / 0.00056 = 0.7857
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.178%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.556% | 0.2R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.566% | 0.5R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.378% | 0.8R | -0.744% | 0.2R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.086% | 1.3R | -0.744% | 0.2R | 5.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.938% | 1.6R | -0.744% | 0.2R | 6.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.938% | 1.6R | -0.744% | 0.2R | 6.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.938% | 1.6R | -3.859% | 1.2R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.938% | 1.6R | -8.110% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.005% | 1.9R | -8.110% | 2.6R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 409 min
MAE in 1279 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.