Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 623.18 INIT at 0.132$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1286 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1447 (9.7 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 21:15:07
hyperliquid
INIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 21:15
→ 02:20
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.1319$
Qty 623.1835 INIT
Size 82.173$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1286 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.06$
SL 0.1447 (-9.7%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.26
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.06$
MAE -2.30%
MFE +3.01%
0.3R
expires
03 Nov 03:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242205)
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 21:00
score du 02/11/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000
Quality Score
0.282
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.68×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.51×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.31
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 21:02
02/11 21:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7680
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
17.4%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.389
Δ 4h
▼-0.113
Δ 12h
▼-0.137
Δ 24h
▼-0.398
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 29.2% |
| 1h | 47.9% |
| 4h | 25.0% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 31.3% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -0.31% |
| 24h | 22.9% | -3.50% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.1%
Expansion
2.1%
Tail ↑
+0.20
Tail ↓
+0.53
Dispersion :
0.094
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 21:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5082
Score SMA
0.7476
Rank
#6
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9219
Rank Norm SMA
0.9872
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5642 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -28.10% · r3d: -28.81% · ema21_slope: 2.7666% · dist_ema21: -13.815% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3037 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -26.16% · rs_3d: -28.12% · beta_24h: 2.459 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5990 | rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: 1.031 · trend: 95.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9549 | ADX: 54.6 (trend) · Chop: 22.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.925% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.2816
Score SMA
0.5062
Rank
#65
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4666
Calculé le
02/11/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0708 | r1h: -3.044% · r4h: -2.084% · r1d: -30.46% · r3d: -29.04% · ema21_slope: -1.0787% · dist_ema21: -10.033% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0743 | rs_1h: -3.042% · rs_4h: -2.433% · rs_1d: -28.84% · rs_3d: -28.69% · beta_24h: -0.105 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1607 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.589 · trend: -55.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7338 | ADX: 31.5 (trend) · Chop: 41.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6349 | ATR%: 4.095% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2319
Score SMA
0.5359
Rank
#64
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0078
Rank Norm SMA
0.6257
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1718 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.382% · r1d: -28.10% · r3d: -28.81% · ema21_slope: -0.8114% · dist_ema21: -21.070% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1655 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.029% · rs_1d: -26.16% · rs_3d: -28.12% · beta_24h: -0.859 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2158 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.634 · trend: -11.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6387 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.437% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.704%
(0.0128)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.864% | 0.1R | -1.903% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.372% | 0.1R | -1.903% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.372% | 0.1R | -1.903% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.010% | 0.3R | -2.305% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.010% | 0.3R | -4.928% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.177% | 0.3R | -4.928% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.180% | 0.8R | -4.928% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.180% | 0.8R | -12.616% | 1.3R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.180% | 0.8R | -15.466% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1344 min
MAE in 394 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.94
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.34 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.92 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.18 | bear_high | -4.00% | -0.99 | 02/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.13 | bear_medium | -1.21% | -0.98 | 02/11 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.06 | range_low | -0.45% | -0.24 | 02/11 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489630
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.682 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid 5b -0.6ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 1.35 | 97% | ↑ +0.88 | below_value | -14.68 | — | #230426 | 0.34 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.92 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#489502
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.477 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 8b -2.6ATR | — | — | 0.54 | 73% | ↑ +0.49 | below_value | -14.68 | — | #230426 | 0.18 | bear_high | -4.00% | -0.99 |
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 19:17
|
|
1h
anchor #490263
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.510 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 14b -2.9ATR | — | — | 0.19 | 12% | ↓ -0.63 | below_value | -16.03 | — | #230757 | 0.13 | bear_medium | -1.21% | -0.98 |
02/11 20:00
upd 02/11 21:11
|
|
15m
#490196
|
↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | 0.782 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 4b -1.9ATR | — | — | 1.13 | 45% | ↓ -0.18 | below_value | -15.36 | — | #230625 | 0.06 | range_low | -0.45% | -0.24 |
02/11 20:45
upd 02/11 21:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 4.217×ATR | p72 | -0.601×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.46×ATR | p69 | -2.563×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.874×ATR | p96 | -2.934×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.685×ATR | p52 | -1.861×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.14469731
- tp_price: 0.1285635
- atr: 0.00513493
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T08:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 65
- total: 65
- score: 0.1082
- delta_2h: -0.0167
- extension_atr: -2.39
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:15 | 0.13186000 | -0.03% |
| 2 | 22:15 | 0.13093000 | -0.735% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1319 | 0.1447 | 0.1286 | 0.26 | 0.09624 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1319
- Stop Loss: 0.1447
- Take Profit: 0.1286
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1447 - 0.1319 = 0.0128
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1319 - 0.1286 = 0.0033
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0033 / 0.0128 = 0.2578
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82.173 | 82.173 | 623.1835 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0128
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0128 = 625
Taille de position USD = 625 x 0.1319 = 82.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 625 avec un stoploss a 0.1447
Avec un position size USD de 82.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 625 x 0.0128 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 625 x 0.0033 = 2.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position 625
- Taille de position USD 82.44
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2578
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.7 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.06 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.903 % | 19.61 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1319 | 0.1447 | 0.1286 | 0.26 | 0.09624 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1319
- Stop Loss: 0.1447
- Take Profit: 0.1286
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1447 - 0.1319 = 0.0128
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1319 - 0.1286 = 0.0033
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0033 / 0.0128 = 0.2578
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.704%
(0.0128)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.864% | 0.1R | -1.903% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.372% | 0.1R | -1.903% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.372% | 0.1R | -1.903% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.010% | 0.3R | -2.305% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.010% | 0.3R | -4.928% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.177% | 0.3R | -4.928% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.180% | 0.8R | -4.928% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.180% | 0.8R | -12.616% | 1.3R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.180% | 0.8R | -15.466% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1344 min
MAE in 394 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.