Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 11925.7 2Z at 0.0231$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02254 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02379 (2.9 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 21:15:07
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 21:15
→ 22:00
· 44 minutes
Position
Entry 0.02312$
Qty 11925.7029 2Z
Size 275.6984$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02254 (+2.51%)
TP $ 6.92$
SL 0.02379 (-2.9%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.87
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +6.92$
MAE -0.80%
MFE +4.84%
1.7R
expires
03 Nov 03:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242210)
#60 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 21:00
score du 02/11/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4161
Quality Score
0.399
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#60 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.31
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 21:02
02/11 21:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7680
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
17.4%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.389
Δ 4h
▼-0.113
Δ 12h
▼-0.137
Δ 24h
▼-0.398
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 29.2% |
| 1h | 47.9% |
| 4h | 25.0% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 31.3% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 8.3% | -0.31% |
| 24h | 22.9% | -3.50% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.1%
Expansion
2.1%
Tail ↑
+0.20
Tail ↓
+0.53
Dispersion :
0.094
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 21:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2493
Score SMA
0.4397
Rank
#48
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2656
Rank Norm SMA
0.2730
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0237 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.62% · r3d: -13.95% · ema21_slope: -1.5912% · dist_ema21: -22.991% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1148 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.68% · rs_3d: -13.26% · beta_24h: 1.985 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5969 | rvol_20: 2.53× · zscore_50: 0.154 · trend: -3.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6272 | ADX: 33.5 (trend) · Chop: 57.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.399% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.3988
Score SMA
0.4471
Rank
#60
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4161
Rank Norm SMA
0.2440
Calculé le
02/11/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2258 | r1h: -0.331% · r4h: -2.023% · r1d: -7.70% · r3d: -14.15% · ema21_slope: -0.2982% · dist_ema21: -3.188% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2460 | rs_1h: -0.328% · rs_4h: -2.372% · rs_1d: -6.08% · rs_3d: -13.80% · beta_24h: 0.770 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5358 | rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 1.464 · trend: 28.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9059 | ADX: 48.7 (trend) · Chop: 34.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.202% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4568
Score SMA
0.4116
Rank
#32
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5356
Rank Norm SMA
0.2656
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1401 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.392% · r1d: -7.62% · r3d: -13.95% · ema21_slope: -0.5086% · dist_ema21: -7.588% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2390 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.039% · rs_1d: -5.68% · rs_3d: -13.26% · beta_24h: 1.058 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7278 | rvol_20: 1.86× · zscore_50: 1.723 · trend: 97.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7299 | ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 41.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.709% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.898%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.459% | 1.9R | -5.597% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.459% | 1.9R | -8.162% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.541% | 3.6R | -8.162% | 2.8R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 909 min
MAE in 1234 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.67
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -4.00% | -0.85 | 02/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.64 | bear_medium | -1.21% | -0.50 | 02/11 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.45% | -0.15 | 02/11 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489640
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.445 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 37b -3.2ATR | — | — | 2.53 | 94% | ↑ +0.19 | below_value | -6.16 | — | #230431 | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#489522
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.507 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 50% | late 17b -3.8ATR | — | — | 1.86 | 85% | ↑ +0.66 | below_value | -6.16 | — | #230431 | 0.53 | bear_high | -4.00% | -0.85 |
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 19:18
|
|
1h
anchor #490268
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.613 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 4b -2.4ATR | — | — | 1.34 | 96% | ↔ +0.15 | below_value | -8.07 | — | #230762 | 0.64 | bear_medium | -1.21% | -0.50 |
02/11 20:00
upd 02/11 21:12
|
|
15m
#490201
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.768 | compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 17b -1.2ATR | — | — | 3.11 | 97% | ↑ +0.19 | below_value | -6.67 | — | #230630 | 0.56 | range_low | -0.45% | -0.15 |
02/11 20:45
upd 02/11 21:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 20.973×ATR | p100 | -3.183×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 6.335×ATR | p90 | -3.779×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 1.994×ATR | p27 | -2.354×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 3.76×ATR | p85 | -1.233×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.02378882
- tp_price: 0.02254005
- atr: 0.00026833
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T08:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 62
- total: 65
- score: 0.2123
- delta_2h: -0.0381
- extension_atr: -2.74
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3477
- confidence: 0.953
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02312 | 0.02379 | 0.02254 | 0.87 | 0.01695 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02312
- Stop Loss: 0.02379
- Take Profit: 0.02254
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02379 - 0.02312 = 0.00067
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02312 - 0.02254 = 0.00058
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00058 / 0.00067 = 0.8657
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 275.6984 | 100 | 11925.7029 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00067
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00067 = 11940.3
Taille de position USD = 11940.3 x 0.02312 = 276.06
Donc, tu peux acheter 11940.3 avec un stoploss a 0.02379
Avec un position size USD de 276.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 11940.3 x 0.00067 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 11940.3 x 0.00058 = 6.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.93$
Résumé
- Taille de position 11940.3
- Taille de position USD 276.06
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.93
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8657
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 6.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.9 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.92 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8002 % | 27.61 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02312 | 0.02379 | 0.02254 | 0.87 | 0.01695 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02312
- Stop Loss: 0.02379
- Take Profit: 0.02254
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02379 - 0.02312 = 0.00067
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02312 - 0.02254 = 0.00058
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00058 / 0.00067 = 0.8657
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.898%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.844% | 1.7R | -0.800% | 0.3R | 6.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.459% | 1.9R | -5.597% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.459% | 1.9R | -8.162% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.541% | 3.6R | -8.162% | 2.8R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 909 min
MAE in 1234 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.