Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_score)
With 545.43 PONS at 0.202$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2172 (7.26 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 01:15:07
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 01:15
→ 04:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.2025$
Qty 545.4284 PONS
Size 110.4438$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 110.45$
SL 0.2172 (-7.26%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+2.98%
/ +3.29$
MAE -0.26%
MFE +7.65%
1.1R
expires
03 Nov 04:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242540)
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 01:00
score du 03/11/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1342
Quality Score
0.367
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.42
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 01:03
03/11 01:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 19:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7696
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
33.3%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.014
Δ 1h
→+0.014
Δ 4h
▲+0.160
Δ 12h
▲+0.222
Δ 24h
▼-0.176
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 25.0% |
| 1h | 10.4% |
| 4h | 25.0% |
| 24h | 8.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 25.0% | -0.06% |
| 4h | 64.6% | -0.42% |
| 24h | 18.8% | -3.69% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.31
Tail ↓
+0.28
Dispersion :
0.080
Universe :
48
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 01:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1217
Score SMA
0.2486
Rank
#65
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1948
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0254 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.91% · r3d: -12.02% · ema21_slope: -1.7825% · dist_ema21: -25.558% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0807 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.97% · rs_3d: -11.33% · beta_24h: 4.327 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1503 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.935 · trend: -73.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4254 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 72.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.439% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.3667
Score SMA
0.5200
Rank
#62
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1342
Rank Norm SMA
0.4511
Calculé le
03/11/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0933 | r1h: -1.893% · r4h: -3.334% · r1d: -14.75% · r3d: -9.58% · ema21_slope: -0.6454% · dist_ema21: -5.835% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1818 | rs_1h: -1.512% · rs_4h: -2.725% · rs_1d: -12.58% · rs_3d: -8.81% · beta_24h: 4.378 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2111 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.673 · trend: -8.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8064 | ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 33.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.580% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.2867
Score SMA
0.4375
Rank
#61
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0394
Rank Norm SMA
0.3409
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1434 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.995% · r1d: -15.98% · r3d: -12.03% · ema21_slope: -0.3914% · dist_ema21: -11.591% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1811 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.140% · rs_1d: -13.84% · rs_3d: -11.77% · beta_24h: 2.606 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4471 | rvol_20: 1.69× · zscore_50: -0.002 · trend: -6.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5800 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 44.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2196 | ATR%: 5.341% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -7.259%
(0.0147)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.622% | 0.6R | -0.262% | 0.0R | 17.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -0.262% | 0.0R | 29.3× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +7.654% | 1.1R | -0.262% | 0.0R | 29.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -0.262% | 0.0R | 29.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -0.444% | 0.1R | 17.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -0.914% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -5.951% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -14.884% | 2.1R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.059% | 1.7R | -14.884% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 84 min
MAE in 1424 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.42
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high | -3.78% | -0.90 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.69% | -0.81 | 03/11 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | weak | compressed | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.62 | bear_low | -0.85% | -0.27 | 03/11 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489663
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | 0.58 | 9% | ↓ -0.37 | below_value | -5.76 | inside | #230441 | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
|
|
4h
#491040
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.717 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 21b -2.7ATR | — | — | 1.69 | 50% | ↔ +0.11 | below_value | -6.13 | inside | #231032 | 0.41 | bear_high | -3.78% | -0.90 |
02/11 19:00
upd 02/11 23:19
|
|
1h
anchor #491689
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.549 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 16b -2.1ATR | — | — | 0.21 | 5% | ↔ -0.04 | below_value | -6.47 | inside | #231357 | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.69% | -0.81 |
03/11 00:00
upd 03/11 01:12
|
|
15m
#491623
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | weak | compressed | 0.225 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 4b -1.7ATR | — | — | 0.24 | 22% | ↓ -0.53 | below_value | -5.86 | — | #231227 | 0.62 | bear_low | -0.85% | -0.27 |
03/11 00:45
upd 03/11 01:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 4.084×ATR | p63 | -2.706×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 7.173×ATR | p94 | -2.055×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.574×ATR | p62 | -1.742×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2025 | 0.2172 | 0.117 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2025
- Stop Loss: 0.2172
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2172 - 0.2025 = 0.0147
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2025 - = 0.2025
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2025 / 0.0147 = 13.7755
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110.4438 | 100 | 545.4284 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0147
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0147 = 544.22
Taille de position USD = 544.22 x 0.2025 = 110.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 544.22 avec un stoploss a 0.2172
Avec un position size USD de 110.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 544.22 x 0.0147 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 544.22 x 0.2025 = 110.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 110.2$
Résumé
- Taille de position 544.22
- Taille de position USD 110.2
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 110.2
- Risk-Reward Ratio 13.7755
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 110.45 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.26 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.29 $ | 2.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2617 % | 3.61 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2025 | 0.2172 | 0.117 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2025
- Stop Loss: 0.2172
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2172 - 0.2025 = 0.0147
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2025 - = 0.2025
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2025 / 0.0147 = 13.7755
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -7.259%
(0.0147)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.622% | 0.6R | -0.262% | 0.0R | 17.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -0.262% | 0.0R | 29.3× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +7.654% | 1.1R | -0.262% | 0.0R | 29.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -0.262% | 0.0R | 29.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -0.444% | 0.1R | 17.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -0.914% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -5.951% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.654% | 1.1R | -14.884% | 2.1R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.059% | 1.7R | -14.884% | 2.1R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 84 min
MAE in 1424 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.