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Short Trade on XPL

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03 Nov 2026 at 01:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2133.2 XPL at 0.0629$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06671 (5.97 %)

XPL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 01:15 → 04:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.06295$

Qty 2133.2025 XPL

Size 134.2958$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 134.29$

SL 0.06671 (-5.97%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR

Status loss PnL -2.00% / -2.69$ MAE -2.24% MFE +0.46% 0.1R expires 03 Nov 04:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 242527)
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1440

Quality Score
0.364
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near -0.91×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.42
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
30.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 01:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

02/11 19:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

03/11 00:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7696
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 33.3%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→-0.014
Δ 1h
→+0.014
Δ 4h
▲+0.160
Δ 12h
▲+0.222
Δ 24h
▼-0.176

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 25.0%
1h 10.4%
4h 25.0%
24h 8.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 25.0% -0.06%
4h 64.6% -0.42%
24h 18.8% -3.69%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.31
Tail ↓
+0.28
Dispersion : 0.080
Universe : 48 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 01:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2335
Score SMA
0.3587
Rank
#53 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1875
Rank Norm SMA
0.5074
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0918 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.51% · r3d: -18.28% · ema21_slope: -0.6516% · dist_ema21: -14.301%
Force Relative 25% 0.2013 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.57% · rs_3d: -17.59% · beta_24h: 1.708
Volume 20% 0.4264 rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: -0.260 · trend: 63.80%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4688 ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 60.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.374% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.3638
Score SMA
0.5447
Rank
#63 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1440
Rank Norm SMA
0.5940
Calculé le
03/11/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0620 r1h: -0.839% · r4h: -2.759% · r1d: -11.13% · r3d: -21.82% · ema21_slope: -0.4494% · dist_ema21: -5.510%
Force Relative 25% 0.1991 rs_1h: -0.458% · rs_4h: -2.151% · rs_1d: -8.96% · rs_3d: -21.05% · beta_24h: 1.504
Volume 20% 0.2726 rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.320 · trend: 20.48%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9404 ADX: 52.8 (trend) · Chop: 33.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.183% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.2987
Score SMA
0.5295
Rank
#60 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0630
Rank Norm SMA
0.6471
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0000 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.837% · r1d: -12.37% · r3d: -23.47% · ema21_slope: -0.7242% · dist_ema21: -13.302%
Force Relative 25% 0.0699 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.982% · rs_1d: -10.23% · rs_3d: -23.20% · beta_24h: -0.553
Volume 20% 0.6855 rvol_20: 2.21× · zscore_50: 1.203 · trend: 48.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7799 ADX: 33.6 (trend) · Chop: 25.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2709 ATR%: 5.187% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.973% (0.0038)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.461% 0.1R -1.276% 0.2R 0.4× 12
2h +0.461% 0.1R -2.245% 0.4R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.461% 0.1R -2.245% 0.4R 0.2× 36
4h +0.461% 0.1R -2.418% 0.4R 0.2× 48
8h +0.461% 0.1R -4.369% 0.7R 0.1× 96
12h +0.461% 0.1R -4.369% 0.7R 0.1× 144
24h +4.494% 0.8R -4.369% 0.7R 1.0× 288
48h +4.494% 0.8R -6.902% 1.2R 0.7× 576
72h +10.493% 1.8R -6.902% 1.2R 1.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1244 min MAE in 334 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 38% late near -0.9ATR — 0.54 bear_high -1.23% -0.88 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.54 bear_high -3.78% -0.99 02/11 19:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.49 bear_medium -1.69% -0.63 03/11 00:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 48% mid near -0.5ATR — 0.18 bear_low -0.85% -0.45 03/11 00:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489634
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.386 normal bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 38% late 38b -1.6ATR near -0.9ATR — 1.07 78% ↑ +0.35 below_value -5.79 — #230428 0.54 bear_high -1.23% -0.88
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
4h
#491002
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.375 normal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 45% late 11b -2.6ATR — — 2.21 98% ↑ +0.33 below_value -7.89 inside #231019 0.54 bear_high -3.78% -0.99
02/11 19:00
upd 02/11 23:17
1h anchor
#491676
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.635 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 47% late 14b -2.6ATR — — 0.33 52% ↑ +0.45 below_value -7.89 — #231344 0.49 bear_medium -1.69% -0.63
03/11 00:00
upd 03/11 01:12
15m
#491610
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.583 normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 48% mid 5b -1.5ATR near -0.5ATR — 0.06 9% ↓ -0.83 below_value -7.27 — #231214 0.18 bear_low -0.85% -0.45
03/11 00:45
upd 03/11 01:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 38b — 7.808×ATR p100 -1.572×ATR p89
4h ↓ down late 11b — 7.288×ATR p100 -2.565×ATR p99
1h ↓ down late 14b — 5.76×ATR p90 -2.623×ATR p94
15m ↓ down mid 5b — 1.431×ATR p3 -1.497×ATR p69

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.06670523
  2. atr: 0.00125008
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T09:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 64
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.0625
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06295 0.06671 0.04505
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06295
  • Stop Loss: 0.06671
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06671 - 0.06295 = 0.00376

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06295 - = 0.06295

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.06295 / 0.00376 = 16.742

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
134.2958 100 2133.2025 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00376

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00376 = 2127.66

Taille de position USD = 2127.66 x 0.06295 = 133.94

Donc, tu peux acheter 2127.66 avec un stoploss a 0.06671

Avec un position size USD de 133.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2127.66 x 0.00376 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2127.66 x 0.06295 = 133.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 133.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2127.66
  • Taille de position USD 133.94
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 133.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 16.742

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 134.29 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.97 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-2.69 $ -2.00
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2446 % 37.58 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06295 0.06671 0.04505
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06295
  • Stop Loss: 0.06671
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06671 - 0.06295 = 0.00376

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06295 - = 0.06295

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.06295 / 0.00376 = 16.742

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.973% (0.0038)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.461% 0.1R -1.276% 0.2R 0.4× 12
2h +0.461% 0.1R -2.245% 0.4R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.461% 0.1R -2.245% 0.4R 0.2× 36
4h +0.461% 0.1R -2.418% 0.4R 0.2× 48
8h +0.461% 0.1R -4.369% 0.7R 0.1× 96
12h +0.461% 0.1R -4.369% 0.7R 0.1× 144
24h +4.494% 0.8R -4.369% 0.7R 1.0× 288
48h +4.494% 0.8R -6.902% 1.2R 0.7× 576
72h +10.493% 1.8R -6.902% 1.2R 1.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1244 min MAE in 334 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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