Short Trade on STX (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1263.64 STX at 0.319$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3028 (4.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.325 (1.98 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 02:12:02
hyperliquid
STX
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 02:12
→ 04:05
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.3187$
Qty 1263.6434 STX
Size 402.6726$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3028 (+4.99%)
TP $ 20.09$
SL 0.325 (-1.98%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.52
Status
loss
PnL
-1.98%
/ -7.96$
MAE -4.46%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
03 Nov 14:11
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#7 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 2.89×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
894,352 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 02:00
03/11 02:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/11 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7700
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
46.9%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.010
Δ 1h
▲+0.136
Δ 4h
▲+0.216
Δ 12h
▲+0.365
Δ 24h
▲+0.284
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 38.8% |
| 1h | 46.9% |
| 4h | 65.3% |
| 24h | 14.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 24.5% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 61.2% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 20.4% | -2.98% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.0%
Tail ↑
+0.37
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion :
0.100
Universe :
49
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 02:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.977%
(0.0063)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.678% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.617% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.456% | 2.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.456% | 2.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.456% | 2.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.132% | 0.1R | -8.924% | 4.5R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.132% | 0.1R | -14.387% | 7.3R | 0.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.132% | 0.1R | -14.387% | 7.3R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.132% | 0.1R | -14.387% | 7.3R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1187 min
MAE in 2062 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -4.00% | +0.90 | 02/11 15:00 |
| 1h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
4h
#489414
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.718 | normal | range_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 13b 0.6ATR | — | — | 0.40 | 40% | ↔ -0.09 | above_value | +0.53 | — | #230391 | 0.45 | bear_high | -4.00% | +0.90 |
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 19:13
|
| 1h anchor | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 1.284×ATR | p0 | +0.639×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7684
- reason: down_bo width=2.07×ATR dur=43b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.3249909
- tp_price: 0.30283276
- atr:
- score: 0.7684211230597
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T19:11:54.557017
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7684211230597
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0271
- obi_top10 : 0.0919
- micro_price : 0.31894798
- spread_pct : 0.094073
- mid_price : 0.31905
- bid_wall_price : 0.318
- bid_wall_size : 258686.98
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.32
- ask_wall_size : 222310.7
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0265
- obi_top5_std : 0.0008
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6949
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.32927
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.319795
- balance_zone_mid:
0.3245325
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793538000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793689200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.067
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
43
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7684
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793685600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.319795
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7907
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2476
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
14
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00458397 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
43
inside_close_ratio
0.7907
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2476
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:12 | 0.31866000 | -0.013% |
| 2 | 02:19 | 0.31866000 | -0.013% |
| 3 | 02:26 | 0.31866000 | -0.013% |
| 4 | 02:35 | 0.32018000 | +0.464% |
| 5 | 02:42 | 0.32018000 | +0.464% |
| 6 | 02:50 | 0.32018000 | +0.464% |
| 7 | 02:57 | 0.32018000 | +0.464% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6949ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.027
avg 0.027
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.092
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3191
Micro Price
0.3189
Spread
0.0941%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3180
Size
258,686.98
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3200
Size
222,310.70
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3187 | 0.325 | 0.3028 | 2.52 | 0.266 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3187
- Stop Loss: 0.325
- Take Profit: 0.3028
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.325 - 0.3187 = 0.0063
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3187 - 0.3028 = 0.0159
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0159 / 0.0063 = 2.5238
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 402.6726 | 100 | 1263.6434 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0063
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0063 = 1269.84
Taille de position USD = 1269.84 x 0.3187 = 404.7
Donc, tu peux acheter 1269.84 avec un stoploss a 0.325
Avec un position size USD de 404.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1269.84 x 0.0063 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1269.84 x 0.0159 = 20.19
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.19$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1269.84
- Taille de position USD 404.7
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.19
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5238
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.99 % | 20.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.98 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.96 $ | -1.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3313 % | 117.93 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3187 | 0.325 | 0.3028 | 2.52 | 0.266 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3187
- Stop Loss: 0.325
- Take Profit: 0.3028
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.325 - 0.3187 = 0.0063
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3187 - 0.3028 = 0.0159
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0159 / 0.0063 = 2.5238
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3028
[entry_price] => 0.3187
[stop_loss] => 0.32563
[rr_ratio] => 2.29
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 09:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3028
[entry_price] => 0.3187
[stop_loss] => 0.32626
[rr_ratio] => 2.1
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 09:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3028
[entry_price] => 0.3187
[stop_loss] => 0.32689
[rr_ratio] => 1.94
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 09:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3028
[entry_price] => 0.3187
[stop_loss] => 0.32815
[rr_ratio] => 1.68
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 09:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.977%
(0.0063)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.678% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.617% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.456% | 2.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.456% | 2.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.456% | 2.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.132% | 0.1R | -8.924% | 4.5R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.132% | 0.1R | -14.387% | 7.3R | 0.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.132% | 0.1R | -14.387% | 7.3R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.132% | 0.1R | -14.387% | 7.3R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1187 min
MAE in 2062 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.