Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on INIT

Previous Trade Next Trade
03 Nov 2026 at 02:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 748.43 INIT at 0.13$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1271 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1411 (8.21 %)

INIT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 02:15 → 08:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1304$

Qty 748.4288 INIT

Size 97.6026$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1271 (+2.53%)

TP $ 2.47$

SL 0.1411 (-8.21%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.31

Status win PnL +0.31% / +0.31$ MAE -6.14% MFE +2.06% 0.3R expires 03 Nov 08:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 242589)
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.293
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#64 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.50×ATR
4h near 0.29×ATR
1d near 0.24×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 02:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 19:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/11 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7700
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 46.9%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.010
Δ 1h
▲+0.136
Δ 4h
▲+0.216
Δ 12h
▲+0.365
Δ 24h
▲+0.284

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 38.8%
1h 46.9%
4h 65.3%
24h 14.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 24.5% -0.02%
4h 61.2% +0.12%
24h 20.4% -2.98%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.0%
Tail ↑
+0.37
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion : 0.100
Universe : 49 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 02:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5082
Score SMA
0.7476
Rank
#6 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9219
Rank Norm SMA
0.9872
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5642 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -28.10% · r3d: -28.81% · ema21_slope: 2.7666% · dist_ema21: -13.815%
Force Relative 25% 0.3037 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -26.16% · rs_3d: -28.12% · beta_24h: 2.459
Volume 20% 0.5990 rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: 1.031 · trend: 95.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9549 ADX: 54.6 (trend) · Chop: 22.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 21.925% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.2933
Score SMA
0.4993
Rank
#64 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4566
Calculé le
03/11/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0906 r1h: -1.077% · r4h: -1.309% · r1d: -19.53% · r3d: -28.34% · ema21_slope: -0.8971% · dist_ema21: -7.237%
Force Relative 25% 0.1863 rs_1h: -0.968% · rs_4h: -1.120% · rs_1d: -17.50% · rs_3d: -27.31% · beta_24h: -0.021
Volume 20% 0.1589 rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.616 · trend: -65.30%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5142 ADX: 34.9 (trend) · Chop: 72.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.8365 ATR%: 3.490% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.2080
Score SMA
0.5293
Rank
#64 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0078
Rank Norm SMA
0.6154
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1308 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.735% · r1d: -26.95% · r3d: -28.56% · ema21_slope: -0.9099% · dist_ema21: -21.573%
Force Relative 25% 0.1248 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.880% · rs_1d: -24.81% · rs_3d: -28.30% · beta_24h: -1.139
Volume 20% 0.1889 rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.657 · trend: -28.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6655 ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 44.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.248% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.206% (0.0107)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.894% 0.2R -3.482% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +1.894% 0.2R -6.135% 0.8R 0.3× 24
4h +1.894% 0.2R -6.135% 0.8R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +2.063% 0.3R -6.135% 0.8R 0.3× 72
8h +2.063% 0.3R -6.135% 0.8R 0.3× 96
12h +2.669% 0.3R -6.135% 0.8R 0.4× 144
24h +7.124% 0.9R -6.135% 0.8R 1.2× 288
48h +7.124% 0.9R -13.911% 1.7R 0.5× 576
72h +7.124% 0.9R -16.795% 2.1R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1044 min MAE in 94 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.48
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 33% mid near 0.2ATR — 0.34 bear_high -1.23% +0.92 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 49% late near 0.3ATR — 0.18 bear_high -3.78% -1.00 02/11 19:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 45% late near 0.5ATR — 0.13 bear_medium -1.77% -0.79 03/11 01:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.04 bear_low -0.89% +0.05 03/11 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489630
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.682 expansion_after_compression bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 33% mid 5b -0.6ATR near 0.2ATR — 1.35 97% ↑ +0.88 below_value -14.68 — #230426 0.34 bear_high -1.23% +0.92
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
4h
#490996
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.599 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 49% late 9b -2.6ATR near 0.3ATR — 0.52 71% ↑ +0.55 below_value -16.73 — #231017 0.18 bear_high -3.78% -1.00
02/11 19:00
upd 02/11 23:17
1h anchor
#492010
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.455 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 45% late 19b -3.1ATR near 0.5ATR — 0.16 8% ↓ -0.89 below_value -19.06 — #231472 0.13 bear_medium -1.77% -0.79
03/11 01:00
upd 03/11 02:10
15m
#491943
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.525 compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 37% early 11b -0.9ATR — — 0.07 1% ↓ -0.44 below_value -18.12 — #231342 0.04 bear_low -0.89% +0.05
03/11 01:45
upd 03/11 02:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 4.217×ATR p72 -0.601×ATR p37
4h ↓ down late 9b — 4.913×ATR p72 -2.62×ATR p93
1h ↓ down late 19b — 7.203×ATR p98 -3.121×ATR p96
15m ↑ up early 11b — 0.868×ATR p3 -0.851×ATR p42

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.14109906
  2. tp_price: 0.12714975
  3. atr: 0.00427562
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-03T13:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 65
  2. total: 65
  3. score: 0.1311
  4. delta_2h: -0.0092
  5. extension_atr: -2.01
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1304 0.1411 0.1271 0.31 0.09376
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1304
  • Stop Loss: 0.1411
  • Take Profit: 0.1271

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1411 - 0.1304 = 0.0107

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1304 - 0.1271 = 0.0033

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0033 / 0.0107 = 0.3084

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
97.6026 97.6026 748.4288 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0107

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0107 = 747.66

Taille de position USD = 747.66 x 0.1304 = 97.49

Donc, tu peux acheter 747.66 avec un stoploss a 0.1411

Avec un position size USD de 97.49$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 747.66 x 0.0107 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 747.66 x 0.0033 = 2.47

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.47$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 747.66
  • Taille de position USD 97.49
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.47
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3084

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.53 % 2.47 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.21 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
0.31 $ 0.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-6.135 % 74.77 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1304 0.1411 0.1271 0.31 0.09376
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1304
  • Stop Loss: 0.1411
  • Take Profit: 0.1271

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1411 - 0.1304 = 0.0107

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1304 - 0.1271 = 0.0033

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0033 / 0.0107 = 0.3084

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.206% (0.0107)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.894% 0.2R -3.482% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +1.894% 0.2R -6.135% 0.8R 0.3× 24
4h +1.894% 0.2R -6.135% 0.8R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +2.063% 0.3R -6.135% 0.8R 0.3× 72
8h +2.063% 0.3R -6.135% 0.8R 0.3× 96
12h +2.669% 0.3R -6.135% 0.8R 0.4× 144
24h +7.124% 0.9R -6.135% 0.8R 1.2× 288
48h +7.124% 0.9R -13.911% 1.7R 0.5× 576
72h +7.124% 0.9R -16.795% 2.1R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1044 min MAE in 94 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.