Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 640.65 PONS at 0.197$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1918 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2092 (6.35 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 02:15:05
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 02:15
→ 02:35
· 19 minutes
Position
Entry 0.1967$
Qty 640.654 PONS
Size 126.0102$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1918 (+2.49%)
TP $ 3.14$
SL 0.2092 (-6.35%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.39
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +3.14$
MAE -3.22%
MFE +4.93%
0.8R
expires
03 Nov 08:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242604)
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 02:00
score du 03/11/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1323
Quality Score
0.371
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#63 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 02:02
03/11 02:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 19:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7700
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
46.9%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.010
Δ 1h
▲+0.136
Δ 4h
▲+0.216
Δ 12h
▲+0.365
Δ 24h
▲+0.284
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 38.8% |
| 1h | 46.9% |
| 4h | 65.3% |
| 24h | 14.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 24.5% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 61.2% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 20.4% | -2.98% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.0%
Tail ↑
+0.37
Tail ↓
+0.32
Dispersion :
0.100
Universe :
49
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 02:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1217
Score SMA
0.2486
Rank
#65
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1948
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0254 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.91% · r3d: -12.02% · ema21_slope: -1.7825% · dist_ema21: -25.558% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0807 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.97% · rs_3d: -11.33% · beta_24h: 4.327 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1503 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.935 · trend: -73.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4254 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 72.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.439% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.3710
Score SMA
0.5190
Rank
#63
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1323
Rank Norm SMA
0.4460
Calculé le
03/11/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0911 | r1h: -1.524% · r4h: -3.706% · r1d: -14.76% · r3d: -12.12% · ema21_slope: -0.6209% · dist_ema21: -6.653% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1504 | rs_1h: -1.414% · rs_4h: -3.517% · rs_1d: -12.73% · rs_3d: -11.09% · beta_24h: 4.372 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3084 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: 0.142 · trend: -6.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8191 | ADX: 38.3 (trend) · Chop: 35.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.582% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.2867
Score SMA
0.4375
Rank
#61
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0394
Rank Norm SMA
0.3409
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1434 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.995% · r1d: -15.98% · r3d: -12.03% · ema21_slope: -0.3914% · dist_ema21: -11.591% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1811 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.140% · rs_1d: -13.84% · rs_3d: -11.77% · beta_24h: 2.606 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4471 | rvol_20: 1.69× · zscore_50: -0.002 · trend: -6.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5800 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 44.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2196 | ATR%: 5.341% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.355%
(0.0125)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -2.933% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.931% | 0.8R | -3.218% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -3.406% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -4.952% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -11.439% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -18.272% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.466% | 1.5R | -18.272% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 24 min
MAE in 1434 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.89
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high | -3.78% | -0.90 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.77% | -0.85 | 03/11 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | weak | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.59 | bear_low | -0.89% | -0.40 | 03/11 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489663
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | 0.58 | 9% | ↓ -0.37 | below_value | -5.76 | inside | #230441 | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
|
|
4h
#491040
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.717 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 21b -2.7ATR | — | — | 1.69 | 50% | ↔ +0.11 | below_value | -6.13 | inside | #231032 | 0.41 | bear_high | -3.78% | -0.90 |
02/11 19:00
upd 02/11 23:19
|
|
1h
anchor #492025
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.550 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 17b -2.3ATR | — | — | 0.76 | 58% | ↓ -0.18 | below_value | -7.06 | inside | #231487 | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.77% | -0.85 |
03/11 01:00
upd 03/11 02:11
|
|
15m
#491958
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | weak | fading | 0.261 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 8b -2.7ATR | — | — | 2.48 | 95% | ↓ -0.47 | below_value | -6.47 | — | #231357 | 0.59 | bear_low | -0.89% | -0.40 |
03/11 01:45
upd 03/11 02:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 4.084×ATR | p63 | -2.706×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 7.877×ATR | p98 | -2.341×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.244×ATR | p91 | -2.712×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.20917724
- tp_price: 0.19177275
- atr: 0.0049949
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T13:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 61
- total: 65
- score: 0.1662
- delta_2h: -0.0485
- extension_atr: -2.9
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1323
- confidence: 0.938
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1967 | 0.2092 | 0.1918 | 0.39 | 0.1166 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1967
- Stop Loss: 0.2092
- Take Profit: 0.1918
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2092 - 0.1967 = 0.0125
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1967 - 0.1918 = 0.0049
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0049 / 0.0125 = 0.392
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126.0102 | 100 | 640.654 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0125
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0125 = 640
Taille de position USD = 640 x 0.1967 = 125.89
Donc, tu peux acheter 640 avec un stoploss a 0.2092
Avec un position size USD de 125.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 640 x 0.0125 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 640 x 0.0049 = 3.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.14$
Résumé
- Taille de position 640
- Taille de position USD 125.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.14
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.392
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 3.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.35 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.14 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1967 | 0.2092 | 0.1918 | 0.39 | 0.1166 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1967
- Stop Loss: 0.2092
- Take Profit: 0.1918
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2092 - 0.1967 = 0.0125
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1967 - 0.1918 = 0.0049
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0049 / 0.0125 = 0.392
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.355%
(0.0125)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -2.933% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.931% | 0.8R | -3.218% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -3.406% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -4.952% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -11.439% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.931% | 0.8R | -18.272% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.466% | 1.5R | -18.272% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 24 min
MAE in 1434 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.