Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2730.36 MEGA at 0.0459$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04705 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04297 (6.38 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 03:15:06
hyperliquid
MEGA
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 03:15
→ 09:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.0459$
Qty 2730.3568 MEGA
Size 125.3234$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04705 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.14$
SL 0.04297 (-6.38%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.39
Status
loss
PnL
-3.31%
/ -4.14$
MAE -4.76%
MFE +0.71%
0.1R
expires
03 Nov 09:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242661)
#2 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 03:00
score du 03/11/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8521
Quality Score
0.697
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-8
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-8
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.57×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.10
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 03:02
03/11 03:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 02/11 19:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 01:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7704
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
-4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
35.4%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.116
Δ 4h
▲+0.259
Δ 12h
▲+0.238
Δ 24h
▲+0.243
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 46.9% |
| 1h | 85.7% |
| 4h | 44.9% |
| 24h | 14.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 46.9% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 44.9% | -0.10% |
| 24h | 20.4% | -3.22% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.1%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.1%
Tail ↑
+0.46
Tail ↓
+0.45
Dispersion :
0.081
Universe :
49
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 03:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5895
Score SMA
0.5466
Rank
#1
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.8307
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5549 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.75% · r3d: -1.25% · ema21_slope: 0.2023% · dist_ema21: -0.716% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5549 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 4.70% · rs_3d: -0.56% · beta_24h: 1.690 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.69× · zscore_50: 3.524 · trend: 107.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5618 | ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.492% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.6971
Score SMA
0.5432
Rank
#2
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8521
Rank Norm SMA
0.6020
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7256 | r1h: -0.043% · r4h: 4.010% · r1d: 8.45% · r3d: 5.07% · ema21_slope: 0.1387% · dist_ema21: 3.424% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7439 | rs_1h: -0.370% · rs_4h: 4.153% · rs_1d: 10.08% · rs_3d: 5.73% · beta_24h: -0.770 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4026 | rvol_20: 1.08× · zscore_50: 0.192 · trend: 22.32% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4800 | ADX: 11.9 (weak) · Chop: 53.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.623% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.6909
Score SMA
0.5615
Rank
#1
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9841
Rank Norm SMA
0.7162
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6075 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.010% · r1d: 8.45% · r3d: 5.07% · ema21_slope: -0.1378% · dist_ema21: 3.051% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7986 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.153% · rs_1d: 10.08% · rs_3d: 5.73% · beta_24h: 0.465 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7464 | rvol_20: 2.15× · zscore_50: 1.232 · trend: 122.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6717 | ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 38.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5329 | ATR%: 4.401% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.383%
(0.0029)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.551% | 0.1R | -1.242% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.710% | 0.1R | -3.819% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.710% | 0.1R | -4.760% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.710% | 0.1R | -4.760% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.710% | 0.1R | -4.898% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.710% | 0.1R | -4.898% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.893% | 0.8R | -4.898% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.978% | 1.3R | -4.898% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.978% | 1.3R | -4.898% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1429 min
MAE in 419 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | grind | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.40 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.74 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.3ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.43 | bear_high | -3.78% | -0.17 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.35 | bear_medium | -1.77% | +0.62 | 03/11 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.15 | range_low | -0.52% | +0.42 | 03/11 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489647
|
↔ neutral | range | range | weak | grind | 0.596 | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 5b -0.1ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | 4.69 | 95% | ↑ +0.26 | above_value | +0.01 | — | #230434 | 0.40 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.74 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
|
|
4h
#491020
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.403 | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 4b -0.2ATR | near -0.3ATR | near -0.3ATR | 2.07 | 97% | ↑ +0.87 | above_value | -0.67 | — | #231025 | 0.43 | bear_high | -3.78% | -0.17 |
02/11 19:00
upd 02/11 23:18
|
|
1h
anchor #492018
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.587 | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 2b 1.7ATR | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.63 | 90% | ↓ -0.33 | above_value | +1.12 | — | #231480 | 0.35 | bear_medium | -1.77% | +0.62 |
03/11 01:00
upd 03/11 02:10
|
|
15m
#492288
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.737 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early 1b 1.1ATR | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.47 | 77% | ↓ -0.31 | above_value | +1.12 | — | #231480 | 0.15 | range_low | -0.52% | +0.42 |
03/11 02:45
upd 03/11 03:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.533×ATR | p0 | -0.078×ATR | p7 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.668×ATR | p32 | -0.152×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.242×ATR | p37 | +1.682×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.232×ATR | p15 | +1.059×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0459 | 0.04297 | 0.04705 | 0.39 | 0.04558 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0459
- Stop Loss: 0.04297
- Take Profit: 0.04705
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04297 - 0.0459 = -0.00293
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0459 - 0.04705 = -0.00115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00115 / -0.00293 = 0.3925
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125.3234 | 100 | 2730.3568 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00293
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00293 = -2730.38
Taille de position USD = -2730.38 x 0.0459 = -125.32
Donc, tu peux acheter -2730.38 avec un stoploss a 0.04297
Avec un position size USD de -125.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2730.38 x -0.00293 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2730.38 x -0.00115 = 3.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.14$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2730.38
- Taille de position USD -125.32
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.14
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3925
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.14 $ | -3.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.7603 % | 74.57 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0459 | 0.04297 | 0.04705 | 0.39 | 0.04558 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0459
- Stop Loss: 0.04297
- Take Profit: 0.04705
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04297 - 0.0459 = -0.00293
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0459 - 0.04705 = -0.00115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00115 / -0.00293 = 0.3925
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.383%
(0.0029)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.551% | 0.1R | -1.242% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.710% | 0.1R | -3.819% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.710% | 0.1R | -4.760% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.710% | 0.1R | -4.760% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.710% | 0.1R | -4.898% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.710% | 0.1R | -4.898% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.893% | 0.8R | -4.898% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.978% | 1.3R | -4.898% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.978% | 1.3R | -4.898% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1429 min
MAE in 419 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.