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Long Trade on MEGA

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03 Nov 2026 at 04:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2083.83 MEGA at 0.0456$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04179 (8.42 %)

MEGA LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 04:15 → 07:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.04563$

Qty 2083.8326 MEGA

Size 95.0874$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 95.09$

SL 0.04179 (-8.42%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -3.87% / -3.68$ MAE -4.20% MFE +1.31% 0.2R expires 03 Nov 07:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 242789)
#3 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8658

Quality Score
0.596
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.43×ATR
4h near -1.12×ATR
1d clear 1.24×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-4
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.81
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 04:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/11 23:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/11 03:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7708
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) -4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 19.4%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.159
Δ 4h
▼-0.125
Δ 12h
→+0.045
Δ 24h
→+0.023

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 62.5%
1h 10.4%
4h 14.6%
24h 10.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 64.6% +0.06%
4h 35.4% -0.81%
24h 18.8% -4.24%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.1%
Down ≥1σ
4.2%
Expansion
6.3%
Tail ↑
+0.65
Tail ↓
+0.30
Dispersion : 0.132
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 04:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5895
Score SMA
0.5466
Rank
#1 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.8307
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5549 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.75% · r3d: -1.25% · ema21_slope: 0.2023% · dist_ema21: -0.716%
Force Relative 25% 0.5549 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 4.70% · rs_3d: -0.56% · beta_24h: 1.690
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.69× · zscore_50: 3.524 · trend: 107.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5618 ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.492% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5959
Score SMA
0.5428
Rank
#3 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8658
Rank Norm SMA
0.6039
Calculé le
03/11/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7349 r1h: -0.308% · r4h: 4.769% · r1d: 14.27% · r3d: 4.78% · ema21_slope: 0.1655% · dist_ema21: 2.816%
Force Relative 25% 0.7783 rs_1h: -0.053% · rs_4h: 5.188% · rs_1d: 16.32% · rs_3d: 5.69% · beta_24h: 0.354
Volume 20% 0.2411 rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.349 · trend: -1.73%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4901 ADX: 12.8 (weak) · Chop: 52.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.590% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.6852
Score SMA
0.5613
Rank
#2 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9841
Rank Norm SMA
0.7158
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6075 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.010% · r1d: 8.45% · r3d: 5.07% · ema21_slope: -0.1378% · dist_ema21: 3.051%
Force Relative 25% 0.7986 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.153% · rs_1d: 10.08% · rs_3d: 5.73% · beta_24h: 0.465
Volume 20% 0.7464 rvol_20: 2.15× · zscore_50: 1.232 · trend: 122.54%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6717 ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 38.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5329 ATR%: 4.401% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.416% (0.0038)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.306% 0.2R -3.250% 0.4R 0.4× 12
2h +1.306% 0.2R -3.954% 0.5R 0.3× 24
3h ★ +1.306% 0.2R -4.197% 0.5R 0.3× 36
4h +1.306% 0.2R -4.197% 0.5R 0.3× 48
8h +1.306% 0.2R -4.335% 0.5R 0.3× 96
12h +1.306% 0.2R -4.335% 0.5R 0.3× 144
24h +6.892% 0.8R -4.335% 0.5R 1.6× 288
48h +8.617% 1.0R -4.335% 0.5R 2.0× 576
72h +8.738% 1.0R -4.335% 0.5R 2.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1439 min MAE in 359 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.45
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range weak grind expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 31% early near -0.4ATR — 0.40 bear_high -1.23% +0.74 01/11 19:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 35% mid — near -1.1ATR 0.43 bear_high -3.85% +0.15 02/11 23:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% mid near 0.4ATR near -0.4ATR 0.35 bear_medium -1.63% +0.47 03/11 03:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 44% early — near 0.4ATR 0.15 range_low -0.71% +0.29 03/11 03:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489647
 ↔ neutral range range weak grind 0.596 expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 31% early 5b -0.1ATR near -0.4ATR — 4.69 95% ↑ +0.26 above_value +0.01 — #230434 0.40 bear_high -1.23% +0.74
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
4h
#492423
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.639 expansion bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 35% mid 5b 0.7ATR — near -1.1ATR 2.15 98% ↑ +0.93 above_value +2.59 — #231610 0.43 bear_high -3.85% +0.15
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:17
1h anchor
#492754
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.725 compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% mid 1b 1.2ATR near 0.4ATR near -0.4ATR 0.40 76% ↓ -0.24 above_value +1.09 — #231803 0.35 bear_medium -1.63% +0.47
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 04:11
15m
#492688
 ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.649 volatile_reversal bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 44% early 5b 0.0ATR — near 0.4ATR 0.05 23% ↓ -0.68 above_value +2.59 — #231610 0.15 range_low -0.71% +0.29
03/11 03:45
upd 03/11 04:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 5b — 1.533×ATR p0 -0.078×ATR p7
4h ↑ up mid 5b — 3.346×ATR p53 +0.661×ATR p47
1h ↓ down mid 1b — 1.264×ATR p2 +1.203×ATR p69
15m ↓ down early 5b — 3.421×ATR p46 +0.044×ATR p3

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04179192
  2. atr: 0.00127969
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T12:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.6835
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04563 0.04179 0.04554
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04563
  • Stop Loss: 0.04179
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04179 - 0.04563 = -0.00384

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04563 - = 0.04563

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04563 / -0.00384 = -11.8828

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
95.0874 95.0874 2083.8326 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00384

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00384 = -2083.33

Taille de position USD = -2083.33 x 0.04563 = -95.06

Donc, tu peux acheter -2083.33 avec un stoploss a 0.04179

Avec un position size USD de -95.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2083.33 x -0.00384 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2083.33 x 0.04563 = -95.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -95.06$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2083.33
  • Taille de position USD -95.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -95.06
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -11.8828

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 95.09 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.42 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.68 $ -3.87
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.0938 % 48.65 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04563 0.04179 0.04554
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04563
  • Stop Loss: 0.04179
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04179 - 0.04563 = -0.00384

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04563 - = 0.04563

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04563 / -0.00384 = -11.8828

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.04563
            [stop_loss] => 0.041406
            [rr_ratio] => 10.8
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.04563
            [stop_loss] => 0.041022
            [rr_ratio] => 9.9
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.04563
            [stop_loss] => 0.040638
            [rr_ratio] => 9.14
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.04563
            [stop_loss] => 0.03987
            [rr_ratio] => 7.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 09:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.416% (0.0038)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.306% 0.2R -3.250% 0.4R 0.4× 12
2h +1.306% 0.2R -3.954% 0.5R 0.3× 24
3h ★ +1.306% 0.2R -4.197% 0.5R 0.3× 36
4h +1.306% 0.2R -4.197% 0.5R 0.3× 48
8h +1.306% 0.2R -4.335% 0.5R 0.3× 96
12h +1.306% 0.2R -4.335% 0.5R 0.3× 144
24h +6.892% 0.8R -4.335% 0.5R 1.6× 288
48h +8.617% 1.0R -4.335% 0.5R 2.0× 576
72h +8.738% 1.0R -4.335% 0.5R 2.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1439 min MAE in 359 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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