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Short Trade on PONS

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03 Nov 2026 at 04:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_score)

With 503.52 PONS at 0.196$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2119 (8.11 %)

PONS SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 04:15 → 07:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.196$

Qty 503.5212 PONS

Size 98.6902$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 98.69$

SL 0.2119 (-8.11%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status loss PnL -2.25% / -2.22$ MAE -3.30% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 03 Nov 07:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 242796)
#61 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1465

Quality Score
0.370
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#61 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#61 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.03×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.81
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
9.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 04:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

02/11 23:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

03/11 03:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7708
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 19.4%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.159
Δ 4h
▼-0.125
Δ 12h
→+0.045
Δ 24h
→+0.023

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 62.5%
1h 10.4%
4h 14.6%
24h 10.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 64.6% +0.06%
4h 35.4% -0.81%
24h 18.8% -4.24%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.1%
Down ≥1σ
4.2%
Expansion
6.3%
Tail ↑
+0.65
Tail ↓
+0.30
Dispersion : 0.132
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 04:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1217
Score SMA
0.2486
Rank
#65 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1948
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0254 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.91% · r3d: -12.02% · ema21_slope: -1.7825% · dist_ema21: -25.558%
Force Relative 25% 0.0807 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.97% · rs_3d: -11.33% · beta_24h: 4.327
Volume 20% 0.1503 rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.935 · trend: -73.48%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4254 ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 72.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 21.439% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3702
Score SMA
0.5158
Rank
#61 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1465
Rank Norm SMA
0.4367
Calculé le
03/11/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0837 r1h: 0.077% · r4h: -5.902% · r1d: -16.32% · r3d: -13.98% · ema21_slope: -0.6066% · dist_ema21: -7.621%
Force Relative 25% 0.1657 rs_1h: 0.333% · rs_4h: -5.483% · rs_1d: -14.27% · rs_3d: -13.07% · beta_24h: 3.188
Volume 20% 0.5512 rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.613 · trend: 189.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8123 ADX: 42.6 (trend) · Chop: 43.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.875% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.2887
Score SMA
0.4329
Rank
#62 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0397
Rank Norm SMA
0.3251
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0230 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.040% · r1d: -16.49% · r3d: -13.65% · ema21_slope: -0.4989% · dist_ema21: -14.804%
Force Relative 25% 0.0482 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.896% · rs_1d: -14.86% · rs_3d: -12.99% · beta_24h: 2.682
Volume 20% 0.8625 rvol_20: 3.94× · zscore_50: 1.831 · trend: 55.33%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6450 ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 34.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0046 ATR%: 5.986% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.112% (0.0159)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.077% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.301% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.301% 0.4R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.587% 0.4R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -3.776% 0.5R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -5.327% 0.7R 0.0× 144
24h +2.469% 0.3R -13.378% 1.7R 0.2× 288
48h +2.469% 0.3R -18.694% 2.3R 0.1× 576
72h +9.143% 1.1R -18.694% 2.3R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1069 min MAE in 1364 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 44% — — — — bear_high -1.23% -1.00 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down range range strong fading normal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.41 bear_high -3.85% -0.95 02/11 23:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
choppy 51% late near 0.0ATR — 0.61 bear_medium -1.63% -0.93 03/11 03:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 47% mid — — 0.53 range_low -0.71% -0.43 03/11 03:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489663
 ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 44% — — — 0.58 9% ↓ -0.37 below_value -5.76 inside #230441 — bear_high -1.23% -1.00
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
4h
#492444
 ↓ down range range strong fading 0.720 normal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 43% late 22b -3.1ATR — — 3.94 86% ↑ +0.28 below_value -8.37 inside #231617 0.41 bear_high -3.85% -0.95
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:18
1h anchor
#492761
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.502 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
choppy 51% late 1b -3.0ATR near 0.0ATR — 1.19 81% ↔ +0.05 below_value -7.82 — #231810 0.61 bear_medium -1.63% -0.93
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 04:11
15m
#492695
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive 0.297 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 47% mid 5b -1.5ATR — — 0.38 87% ↑ +0.97 below_value -8.37 — #231617 0.53 range_low -0.71% -0.43
03/11 03:45
upd 03/11 04:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↓ down late 22b — 4.724×ATR p64 -3.093×ATR p98
1h ↑ up late 1b — 1.231×ATR p4 -2.961×ATR p93
15m ↑ up mid 5b — 2.476×ATR p62 -1.527×ATR p66

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.21188811
  2. atr: 0.00529604
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T12:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 64
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.0636
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.196 0.2119 0.1128
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.196
  • Stop Loss: 0.2119
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2119 - 0.196 = 0.0159

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.196 - = 0.196

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.196 / 0.0159 = 12.327

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
98.6902 98.6902 503.5212 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0159

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0159 = 503.14

Taille de position USD = 503.14 x 0.196 = 98.62

Donc, tu peux acheter 503.14 avec un stoploss a 0.2119

Avec un position size USD de 98.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 503.14 x 0.0159 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 503.14 x 0.196 = 98.62

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 98.62$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 503.14
  • Taille de position USD 98.62
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 98.62
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 12.327

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 98.69 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.11 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-2.22 $ -2.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.301 % 40.69 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.196 0.2119 0.1128
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.196
  • Stop Loss: 0.2119
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2119 - 0.196 = 0.0159

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.196 - = 0.196

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.196 / 0.0159 = 12.327

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.112% (0.0159)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.077% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.301% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.301% 0.4R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.587% 0.4R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -3.776% 0.5R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -5.327% 0.7R 0.0× 144
24h +2.469% 0.3R -13.378% 1.7R 0.2× 288
48h +2.469% 0.3R -18.694% 2.3R 0.1× 576
72h +9.143% 1.1R -18.694% 2.3R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1069 min MAE in 1364 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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