Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on VVV

Previous Trade Next Trade
03 Nov 2026 at 04:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_score)

With 8.41 VVV at 20.688$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 21.6388 (4.6 %)

VVV SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 04:15 → 06:45 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 20.688$

Qty 8.4142 VVV

Size 174.072$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 174.07$

SL 21.6388 (-4.6%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -4.60% / -8$ MAE -6.15% MFE +1.10% 0.2R expires 03 Nov 07:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 242780)
#12 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3447

Quality Score
0.514
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#12 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#12 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -2.39×ATR
1d near -1.47×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.81
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
8.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 04:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 23:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

03/11 03:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7708
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 19.4%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.159
Δ 4h
▼-0.125
Δ 12h
→+0.045
Δ 24h
→+0.023

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 62.5%
1h 10.4%
4h 14.6%
24h 10.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 64.6% +0.06%
4h 35.4% -0.81%
24h 18.8% -4.24%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.1%
Down ≥1σ
4.2%
Expansion
6.3%
Tail ↑
+0.65
Tail ↓
+0.30
Dispersion : 0.132
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 04:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2220
Score SMA
0.3316
Rank
#56 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1406
Rank Norm SMA
0.4039
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1967 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.81% · r3d: -5.90% · ema21_slope: -0.3596% · dist_ema21: -11.088%
Force Relative 25% 0.2638 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.87% · rs_3d: -5.21% · beta_24h: 2.149
Volume 20% 0.1249 rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -1.126 · trend: -55.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4805 ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 59.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.762% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5138
Score SMA
0.4958
Rank
#12 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3447
Rank Norm SMA
0.4023
Calculé le
03/11/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1792 r1h: -2.522% · r4h: -4.911% · r1d: -8.20% · r3d: -7.19% · ema21_slope: -0.1879% · dist_ema21: -4.385%
Force Relative 25% 0.1827 rs_1h: -2.267% · rs_4h: -4.492% · rs_1d: -6.16% · rs_3d: -6.28% · beta_24h: 2.550
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 7.09× · zscore_50: 6.115 · trend: 242.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6699 ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 42.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.576% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3807
Score SMA
0.4267
Rank
#56 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1825
Rank Norm SMA
0.2849
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2403 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.771% · r1d: -5.57% · r3d: -5.22% · ema21_slope: -0.3221% · dist_ema21: -5.702%
Force Relative 25% 0.3119 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.628% · rs_1d: -3.94% · rs_3d: -4.56% · beta_24h: 2.086
Volume 20% 0.2748 rvol_20: 1.15× · zscore_50: -0.522 · trend: -45.42%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5488 ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 48.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9333 ATR%: 3.200% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.596% (0.9508)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.102% 0.2R -0.773% 0.2R 1.4× 12
2h +1.102% 0.2R -2.992% 0.7R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +1.102% 0.2R -6.153% 1.3R 0.2× 36
4h +1.102% 0.2R -6.632% 1.4R 0.2× 48
8h +1.102% 0.2R -9.121% 2.0R 0.1× 96
12h +1.102% 0.2R -10.441% 2.3R 0.1× 144
24h +1.102% 0.2R -19.374% 4.2R 0.1× 288
48h +1.102% 0.2R -19.374% 4.2R 0.1× 576
72h +3.867% 0.8R -19.374% 4.2R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 54 min MAE in 1429 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.44
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression range_high
40%
noisy_chop 40% mid near -1.5ATR — 0.39 bear_high -1.23% +0.15 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% late near -2.4ATR — 0.55 bear_high -3.85% -0.57 02/11 23:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.57 bear_medium -1.63% -0.54 03/11 03:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 49% late near 0.4ATR — 0.70 range_low -0.71% -0.37 03/11 03:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489625
 ↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.532 compression range_high
40%
noisy_chop 40% mid 11b -1.2ATR near -1.5ATR — 0.38 32% ↓ -0.47 below_value -14.73 — #230424 0.39 bear_high -1.23% +0.15
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:23
4h
#492393
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.763 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% late 13b -2.3ATR near -2.4ATR — 1.15 22% ↔ +0.04 below_value -15.01 inside #231600 0.55 bear_high -3.85% -0.57
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:15
1h anchor
#492744
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.500 expansion bear_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 46% late 7b -3.1ATR — — 7.09 99% ↓ -0.22 below_value -15.70 inside #231793 0.57 bear_medium -1.63% -0.54
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 04:10
15m
#492678
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.390 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 49% late 2b -2.7ATR near 0.4ATR — 0.94 93% ↑ +0.96 below_value -15.01 — #231600 0.70 range_low -0.71% -0.37
03/11 03:45
upd 03/11 04:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 11b — 3.05×ATR p25 -1.222×ATR p66
4h ↓ down late 13b — 4.239×ATR p75 -2.294×ATR p94
1h ↓ down late 7b — 3.94×ATR p77 -3.142×ATR p100
15m ↑ up late 2b — 0.751×ATR p7 -2.696×ATR p95

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 21.63877884
  2. atr: 0.31692628
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T12:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 63
  2. total: 64
  3. score: 0.1867
  4. confidence: 0.984

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
20.688 21.6388 17.155
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 20.688
  • Stop Loss: 21.6388
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 21.6388 - 20.688 = 0.9508

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 20.688 - = 20.688

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 20.688 / 0.9508 = 21.7585

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
174.072 100 8.4142 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.9508

Taille de position = 8 / 0.9508 = 8.41

Taille de position USD = 8.41 x 20.688 = 173.99

Donc, tu peux acheter 8.41 avec un stoploss a 21.6388

Avec un position size USD de 173.99$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8.41 x 0.9508 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8.41 x 20.688 = 173.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 173.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8.41
  • Taille de position USD 173.99
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 173.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 21.7585

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 174.07 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.6 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -4.60
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.6935 % 102.12 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
20.688 21.6388 17.155
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 20.688
  • Stop Loss: 21.6388
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 21.6388 - 20.688 = 0.9508

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 20.688 - = 20.688

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 20.688 / 0.9508 = 21.7585

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 20.688
            [stop_loss] => 21.73388
            [rr_ratio] => 19.78
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 11:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 20.688
            [stop_loss] => 21.82896
            [rr_ratio] => 18.13
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 12:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 20.688
            [stop_loss] => 21.92404
            [rr_ratio] => 16.74
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 12:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 20.688
            [stop_loss] => 22.1142
            [rr_ratio] => 14.51
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 13:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.596% (0.9508)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.102% 0.2R -0.773% 0.2R 1.4× 12
2h +1.102% 0.2R -2.992% 0.7R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +1.102% 0.2R -6.153% 1.3R 0.2× 36
4h +1.102% 0.2R -6.632% 1.4R 0.2× 48
8h +1.102% 0.2R -9.121% 2.0R 0.1× 96
12h +1.102% 0.2R -10.441% 2.3R 0.1× 144
24h +1.102% 0.2R -19.374% 4.2R 0.1× 288
48h +1.102% 0.2R -19.374% 4.2R 0.1× 576
72h +3.867% 0.8R -19.374% 4.2R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 54 min MAE in 1429 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.