Short Trade on INIT (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1612.9 INIT at 0.133$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1287 (3.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1384 (3.75 %)
Short Trade on INIT (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 1612.9 INIT at 0.133$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1287 (3.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1384 (3.75 %)
Position
Entry 0.1334$
Qty 1612.9032 INIT
Size 215.2258$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1287 (+3.52%)
TP $ 7.58$
SL 0.1384 (-3.75%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR 0.94
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0176
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.49×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.29×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.24×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 03:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 64.6% |
| 1h | 79.2% |
| 4h | 64.6% |
| 24h | 14.6% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 70.8% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 62.5% | +0.22% |
| 24h | 25.0% | -2.56% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5642 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -28.10% · r3d: -28.81% · ema21_slope: 2.7666% · dist_ema21: -13.815% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3037 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -26.16% · rs_3d: -28.12% · beta_24h: 2.459 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5990 | rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: 1.031 · trend: 95.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9549 | ADX: 54.6 (trend) · Chop: 22.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.925% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2835 | r1h: 3.466% · r4h: 2.196% · r1d: -13.93% · r3d: -26.48% · ema21_slope: -0.7815% · dist_ema21: -3.064% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4295 | rs_1h: 3.721% · rs_4h: 2.616% · rs_1d: -11.89% · rs_3d: -25.57% · beta_24h: -0.028 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4041 | rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: 0.092 · trend: -30.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4911 | ADX: 34.7 (trend) · Chop: 75.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8187 | ATR%: 3.544% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1734 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.054% · r1d: -18.62% · r3d: -29.34% · ema21_slope: -1.0213% · dist_ema21: -20.044% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1854 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.089% · rs_1d: -16.99% · rs_3d: -28.68% · beta_24h: -1.171 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1684 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.670 · trend: -40.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6912 | ADX: 27.0 (trend) · Chop: 42.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.246% | 0.9R | -1.132% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.235% | 1.1R | -1.132% | 0.3R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.265% | 1.1R | -1.132% | 0.3R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.265% | 1.1R | -1.717% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.166% | 1.9R | -1.717% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.213% | 2.5R | -1.717% | 0.5R | 5.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.213% | 2.5R | -11.349% | 3.0R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.213% | 2.5R | -14.168% | 3.8R | 0.7× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.34 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.92 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.18 | bear_high | -3.85% | -1.00 | 02/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.13 | bear_medium | -1.63% | -0.82 | 03/11 03:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.02 | range_low | -0.35% | +0.12 | 03/11 04:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489630
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.682 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid 5b -0.6ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 1.35 | 97% | ↑ +0.88 | below_value | -14.68 | — | #230426 | 0.34 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.92 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#492399
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.605 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 10b -2.5ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.49 | 69% | ↑ +0.44 | below_value | -19.70 | — | #231602 | 0.18 | bear_high | -3.85% | -1.00 |
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:15
|
|
1h
anchor #492746
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.750 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 1b -1.3ATR | — | — | 1.57 | 65% | ↓ -0.60 | below_value | -17.26 | — | #231795 | 0.13 | bear_medium | -1.63% | -0.82 |
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 04:10
|
|
15m
#492878
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.643 | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 2b 0.5ATR | — | — | 0.02 | 1% | ↑ +0.26 | below_value | -17.26 | — | #231795 | 0.02 | range_low | -0.35% | +0.12 |
03/11 04:15
upd 03/11 04:32
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 4.217×ATR | p72 | -0.601×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.141×ATR | p75 | -2.464×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.468×ATR | p2 | -1.257×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.259×ATR | p53 | +0.527×ATR | p22 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 10:30:00
[1] => 0.14733
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 11:30:00
[1] => 0.16317
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 17:00:00
[1] => 0.13619
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 17:45:00
[1] => 0.14204
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 22:15:00
[1] => 0.13267
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 22:45:00
[1] => 0.13632
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-03 00:45:00
[1] => 0.13618
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-03 04:00:00
[1] => 0.13009
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-03 07:15:00
[1] => 0.12793
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-03 08:45:00
[1] => 0.1384
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.5838150289017
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3070429140937
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.1841632142578
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-30 16:00:00
[1] => 0.17391
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 07:00:00
[1] => 0.18742
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 16:00:00
[1] => 0.16644
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 01:00:00
[1] => 0.18764
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 03:00:00
[1] => 0.1654
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00
[1] => 0.20261
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 16:00:00
[1] => 0.18052
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 01:00:00
[1] => 0.19113
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-03 07:00:00
[1] => 0.12793
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-03 08:00:00
[1] => 0.1384
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.2225433526012
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6978816540296
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.1841632142578
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 10:30:00 | 0.14733 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 11:30:00 | 0.16317 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 17:00:00 | 0.13619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 17:45:00 | 0.14204 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 22:15:00 | 0.13267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 22:45:00 | 0.13632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-03 00:45:00 | 0.13618 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-03 04:00:00 | 0.13009 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-03 07:15:00 | 0.12793 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-03 08:45:00 | 0.1384 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 16:00:00 | 0.17391 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 07:00:00 | 0.18742 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 16:00:00 | 0.16644 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-01 01:00:00 | 0.18764 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 03:00:00 | 0.1654 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-01 12:00:00 | 0.20261 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 16:00:00 | 0.18052 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 01:00:00 | 0.19113 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-03 07:00:00 | 0.12793 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-03 08:00:00 | 0.1384 | ↑ High |
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1334 | 0.1384 | 0.1287 | 0.94 | 0.0977 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1384 - 0.1334 = 0.005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1334 - 0.1287 = 0.0047
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0047 / 0.005 = 0.94
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 215.2258 | 100 | 1612.9032 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.005 = 1600
Taille de position USD = 1600 x 0.1334 = 213.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 1600 avec un stoploss a 0.1384
Avec un position size USD de 213.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1600 x 0.005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1600 x 0.0047 = 7.52
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.52$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.52 % | 7.58 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.75 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.58 $ | 3.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1319 % | 30.2 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1334 | 0.1384 | 0.1287 | 0.94 | 0.0977 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1384 - 0.1334 = 0.005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1334 - 0.1287 = 0.0047
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0047 / 0.005 = 0.94
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.246% | 0.9R | -1.132% | 0.3R | 2.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.235% | 1.1R | -1.132% | 0.3R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.265% | 1.1R | -1.132% | 0.3R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.265% | 1.1R | -1.717% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.166% | 1.9R | -1.717% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.213% | 2.5R | -1.717% | 0.5R | 5.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.213% | 2.5R | -11.349% | 3.0R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.213% | 2.5R | -14.168% | 3.8R | 0.7× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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