Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 10081.03 2Z at 0.0225$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02197 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02333 (3.55 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 05:15:05
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 05:15
→ 11:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.02253$
Qty 10081.0262 2Z
Size 227.1558$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02197 (+2.49%)
TP $ 5.65$
SL 0.02333 (-3.55%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR 0.7
Status
win
PnL
+1.79%
/ +4.07$
MAE -2.00%
MFE +2.07%
0.6R
expires
03 Nov 11:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242850)
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 05:00
score du 03/11/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2913
Quality Score
0.408
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#62 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.09×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.42
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 05:02
03/11 05:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7712
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
53.5%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.340
Δ 4h
▲+0.201
Δ 12h
▲+0.248
Δ 24h
▲+0.394
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 62.5% |
| 1h | 89.6% |
| 4h | 72.9% |
| 24h | 16.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.2% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 56.3% | +0.42% |
| 24h | 27.1% | -2.41% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.1%
Down ≥1σ
2.1%
Expansion
4.2%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.45
Dispersion :
0.114
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 05:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2493
Score SMA
0.4397
Rank
#48
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2656
Rank Norm SMA
0.2730
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0237 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.62% · r3d: -13.95% · ema21_slope: -1.5912% · dist_ema21: -22.991% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1148 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.68% · rs_3d: -13.26% · beta_24h: 1.985 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5969 | rvol_20: 2.53× · zscore_50: 0.154 · trend: -3.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6272 | ADX: 33.5 (trend) · Chop: 57.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.399% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.4082
Score SMA
0.4419
Rank
#62
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2913
Rank Norm SMA
0.2264
Calculé le
03/11/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2447 | r1h: -0.315% · r4h: -0.390% · r1d: -8.23% · r3d: -15.08% · ema21_slope: -0.3539% · dist_ema21: -3.238% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2370 | rs_1h: -0.867% · rs_4h: -0.903% · rs_1d: -6.93% · rs_3d: -14.57% · beta_24h: 0.361 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1705 | rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.835 · trend: -30.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9633 | ADX: 55.6 (trend) · Chop: 34.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.493% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.4370
Score SMA
0.4028
Rank
#28
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5635
Rank Norm SMA
0.2527
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1723 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.319% · r1d: -7.81% · r3d: -13.56% · ema21_slope: -0.5794% · dist_ema21: -8.431% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2621 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.462% · rs_1d: -6.18% · rs_3d: -12.89% · beta_24h: 0.775 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5097 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: 0.440 · trend: 102.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7994 | ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 33.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9795 | ATR%: 3.062% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.551%
(0.0008)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.817% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.230% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.207% | 0.3R | -1.997% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.073% | 0.6R | -1.997% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.983% | 0.8R | -1.997% | 0.6R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.983% | 0.8R | -6.227% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.983% | 0.8R | -8.362% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.983% | 0.8R | -10.994% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.198% | 2.3R | -10.994% | 3.1R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 429 min
MAE in 754 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.83
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 53% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.94 | 02/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | bear_trend | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.07% | -0.64 | 03/11 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.15% | -0.08 | 03/11 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489640
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.445 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 37b -3.2ATR | — | — | 2.53 | 94% | ↑ +0.19 | below_value | -6.16 | — | #230431 | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#492414
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.507 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 53% | late 19b -3.5ATR | — | — | 1.00 | 78% | ↑ +0.71 | below_value | -7.17 | — | #231607 | 0.53 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.94 |
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:16
|
|
1h
anchor #493082
|
↓ down | range | bear_trend | strong | explosive | 0.531 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 2b -2.2ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.10 | 14% | ↓ -0.57 | below_value | -8.54 | — | #231929 | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.07% | -0.64 |
03/11 04:00
upd 03/11 05:12
|
|
15m
#493017
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.442 | compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 8b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.01 | 1% | ↓ -0.60 | below_value | -7.92 | — | #231800 | 0.49 | range_low | -0.15% | -0.08 |
03/11 04:45
upd 03/11 05:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 20.973×ATR | p100 | -3.183×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 6.686×ATR | p90 | -3.545×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.574×ATR | p2 | -2.17×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.983×ATR | p81 | -1.156×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.02332657
- tp_price: 0.02196968
- atr: 0.00031743
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T16:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 63
- total: 65
- score: 0.2414
- delta_2h: -0.1119
- extension_atr: -1.86
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2894
- confidence: 0.969
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02253 | 0.02333 | 0.02197 | 0.7 | 0.0156 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02253
- Stop Loss: 0.02333
- Take Profit: 0.02197
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02333 - 0.02253 = 0.0008
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02253 - 0.02197 = 0.00056
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00056 / 0.0008 = 0.7
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 227.1558 | 100 | 10081.0262 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0008
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0008 = 10000
Taille de position USD = 10000 x 0.02253 = 225.3
Donc, tu peux acheter 10000 avec un stoploss a 0.02333
Avec un position size USD de 225.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10000 x 0.0008 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10000 x 0.00056 = 5.6
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.6$
Résumé
- Taille de position 10000
- Taille de position USD 225.3
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.6
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 5.65 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.55 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.07 $ | 1.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9973 % | 56.25 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02253 | 0.02333 | 0.02197 | 0.7 | 0.0156 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02253
- Stop Loss: 0.02333
- Take Profit: 0.02197
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02333 - 0.02253 = 0.0008
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02253 - 0.02197 = 0.00056
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00056 / 0.0008 = 0.7
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.551%
(0.0008)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.817% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.230% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.207% | 0.3R | -1.997% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.073% | 0.6R | -1.997% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.983% | 0.8R | -1.997% | 0.6R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.983% | 0.8R | -6.227% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.983% | 0.8R | -8.362% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.983% | 0.8R | -10.994% | 3.1R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.198% | 2.3R | -10.994% | 3.1R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 429 min
MAE in 754 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.