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Short Trade on INIT

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03 Nov 2026 at 06:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 701.63 INIT at 0.13$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1266 (2.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1413 (8.78 %)

INIT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 06:15 → 12:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1299$

Qty 701.6251 INIT

Size 91.1271$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1266 (+2.54%)

TP $ 2.32$

SL 0.1413 (-8.78%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.29

Status loss PnL -2.38% / -2.17$ MAE -4.46% MFE +1.69% 0.2R expires 03 Nov 12:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 242910)
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0176

Quality Score
0.244
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.57×ATR
4h near 0.29×ATR
1d near 0.24×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.98
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 06:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 23:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/11 05:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7716
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

+1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 68.1%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.146
Δ 4h
▲+0.212
Δ 12h
▲+0.341
Δ 24h
▲+0.382

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 21.7%
1h 50.0%
4h 87.0%
24h 17.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 21.7% -0.02%
4h 76.1% +0.98%
24h 43.5% -1.69%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
13.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
13.0%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.75
Dispersion : 0.130
Universe : 46 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 06:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5082
Score SMA
0.7476
Rank
#6 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9219
Rank Norm SMA
0.9872
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5642 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -28.10% · r3d: -28.81% · ema21_slope: 2.7666% · dist_ema21: -13.815%
Force Relative 25% 0.3037 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -26.16% · rs_3d: -28.12% · beta_24h: 2.459
Volume 20% 0.5990 rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: 1.031 · trend: 95.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9549 ADX: 54.6 (trend) · Chop: 22.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 21.925% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.2443
Score SMA
0.4957
Rank
#65 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0176
Rank Norm SMA
0.4505
Calculé le
03/11/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1473 r1h: -1.782% · r4h: 1.043% · r1d: -10.80% · r3d: -25.75% · ema21_slope: -0.6773% · dist_ema21: -4.610%
Force Relative 25% 0.1826 rs_1h: -1.870% · rs_4h: 0.331% · rs_1d: -9.71% · rs_3d: -25.39% · beta_24h: -0.421
Volume 20% 0.2344 rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.442 · trend: -38.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4953 ADX: 33.3 (trend) · Chop: 73.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.8100 ATR%: 3.570% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.2357
Score SMA
0.5251
Rank
#64 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6096
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1734 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.054% · r1d: -18.62% · r3d: -29.34% · ema21_slope: -1.0213% · dist_ema21: -20.044%
Force Relative 25% 0.1854 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.089% · rs_1d: -16.99% · rs_3d: -28.68% · beta_24h: -1.171
Volume 20% 0.1684 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.670 · trend: -40.23%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6912 ADX: 27.0 (trend) · Chop: 42.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.764% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.776% (0.0114)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.686% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.686% 0.2R -0.778% 0.1R 2.2× 24
4h +1.686% 0.2R -4.311% 0.5R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +1.686% 0.2R -4.457% 0.5R 0.4× 72
8h +2.294% 0.3R -4.457% 0.5R 0.5× 96
12h +5.019% 0.6R -4.457% 0.5R 1.1× 144
24h +6.767% 0.8R -4.457% 0.5R 1.5× 288
48h +6.767% 0.8R -17.244% 2.0R 0.4× 576
72h +6.767% 0.8R -17.244% 2.0R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 804 min MAE in 324 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.02
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 33% mid near 0.2ATR — 0.34 bear_high -1.23% +0.92 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 47% late near 0.3ATR — 0.18 bear_high -3.85% -1.00 02/11 23:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.12 bear_medium -0.96% -0.75 03/11 05:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% late near 0.5ATR — 0.02 range_low -0.05% -0.17 03/11 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489630
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.682 expansion_after_compression bull_high
70%
noisy_chop 33% mid 5b -0.6ATR near 0.2ATR — 1.35 97% ↑ +0.88 below_value -14.68 — #230426 0.34 bear_high -1.23% +0.92
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
4h
#492399
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.605 compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 47% late 10b -2.5ATR near 0.3ATR — 0.49 69% ↑ +0.44 below_value -19.70 — #231602 0.18 bear_high -3.85% -1.00
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:15
1h anchor
#493412
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.728 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 39% mid 2b -1.8ATR near -0.6ATR — 0.80 31% ↓ -0.35 below_value -18.23 — #232055 0.12 bear_medium -0.96% -0.75
03/11 05:00
upd 03/11 06:10
15m
#493346
 ↓ down early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.389 expansion bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% late 8b -0.7ATR near 0.5ATR — 0.51 21% ↑ +0.16 below_value -17.88 — #231924 0.02 range_low -0.05% -0.17
03/11 05:45
upd 03/11 06:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 4.217×ATR p72 -0.601×ATR p37
4h ↓ down late 10b — 5.141×ATR p75 -2.464×ATR p91
1h ↓ down mid 2b — 1.414×ATR p2 -1.834×ATR p78
15m ↓ down late 8b — 4.325×ATR p81 -0.73×ATR p34

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.1412821
  2. tp_price: 0.126633
  3. atr: 0.00456084
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-03T17:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 66
  2. total: 66
  3. score: 0.1128
  4. delta_2h: -0.1707
  5. extension_atr: -1.53
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0176
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1299 0.1413 0.1266 0.29 0.09885
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1299
  • Stop Loss: 0.1413
  • Take Profit: 0.1266

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1413 - 0.1299 = 0.0114

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1299 - 0.1266 = 0.0033

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0033 / 0.0114 = 0.2895

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
91.1271 91.1271 701.6251 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0114

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0114 = 701.75

Taille de position USD = 701.75 x 0.1299 = 91.16

Donc, tu peux acheter 701.75 avec un stoploss a 0.1413

Avec un position size USD de 91.16$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 701.75 x 0.0114 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 701.75 x 0.0033 = 2.32

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.32$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 701.75
  • Taille de position USD 91.16
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.32
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2895

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.54 % 2.32 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.78 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.17 $ -2.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.4573 % 50.79 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1299 0.1413 0.1266 0.29 0.09885
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1299
  • Stop Loss: 0.1413
  • Take Profit: 0.1266

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1413 - 0.1299 = 0.0114

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1299 - 0.1266 = 0.0033

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0033 / 0.0114 = 0.2895

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.776% (0.0114)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.686% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.686% 0.2R -0.778% 0.1R 2.2× 24
4h +1.686% 0.2R -4.311% 0.5R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +1.686% 0.2R -4.457% 0.5R 0.4× 72
8h +2.294% 0.3R -4.457% 0.5R 0.5× 96
12h +5.019% 0.6R -4.457% 0.5R 1.1× 144
24h +6.767% 0.8R -4.457% 0.5R 1.5× 288
48h +6.767% 0.8R -17.244% 2.0R 0.4× 576
72h +6.767% 0.8R -17.244% 2.0R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 804 min MAE in 324 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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