Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 12971.01 MON at 0.0173$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01685 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0179 (3.59 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 06:15:05
hyperliquid
MON
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 06:15
→ 12:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.01728$
Qty 12971.0098 MON
Size 224.139$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01685 (+2.49%)
TP $ 5.58$
SL 0.0179 (-3.59%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 0.69
Status
loss
PnL
-2.56%
/ -5.75$
MAE -3.53%
MFE +1.47%
0.4R
expires
03 Nov 12:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242917)
#56 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 06:00
score du 03/11/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5260
Quality Score
0.432
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#56 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#56 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.36×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.60×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.98
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 06:02
03/11 06:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7716
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
68.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.146
Δ 4h
▲+0.212
Δ 12h
▲+0.341
Δ 24h
▲+0.382
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 21.7% |
| 1h | 50.0% |
| 4h | 87.0% |
| 24h | 17.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 21.7% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 76.1% | +0.98% |
| 24h | 43.5% | -1.69% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
13.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
13.0%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.75
Dispersion :
0.130
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 06:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1426
Score SMA
0.2291
Rank
#64
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0156
Rank Norm SMA
0.0729
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0238 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.50% · r3d: -10.71% · ema21_slope: -1.0128% · dist_ema21: -17.912% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1143 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.56% · rs_3d: -10.02% · beta_24h: 2.162 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1417 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.874 · trend: -71.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5237 | ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 62.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.324% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.4321
Score SMA
0.4894
Rank
#56
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5260
Rank Norm SMA
0.3622
Calculé le
03/11/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2142 | r1h: -1.528% · r4h: 2.077% · r1d: -7.42% · r3d: -10.88% · ema21_slope: -0.3400% · dist_ema21: -2.159% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2943 | rs_1h: -1.617% · rs_4h: 1.365% · rs_1d: -6.33% · rs_3d: -10.52% · beta_24h: 0.636 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2433 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.798 · trend: 22.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9275 | ADX: 51.3 (trend) · Chop: 37.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.495% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.4198
Score SMA
0.4382
Rank
#38
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3492
Rank Norm SMA
0.3182
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0920 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.221% · r1d: -9.68% · r3d: -12.16% · ema21_slope: -0.4717% · dist_ema21: -9.689% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1474 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.078% · rs_1d: -8.05% · rs_3d: -11.50% · beta_24h: 1.412 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6909 | rvol_20: 2.71× · zscore_50: 0.598 · trend: 22.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8023 | ADX: 36.3 (trend) · Chop: 34.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9680 | ATR%: 3.096% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.588%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.683% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.683% | 0.2R | -1.291% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.418% | 0.4R | -1.661% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.470% | 0.4R | -3.530% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.470% | 0.4R | -4.745% | 1.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.470% | 0.4R | -5.903% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.470% | 0.4R | -10.237% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.470% | 0.4R | -10.237% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.155% | 1.2R | -10.237% | 2.9R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 244 min
MAE in 1284 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.71
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.99 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
choppy 55% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.90 | 02/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 53% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | bear_medium | -0.96% | -0.55 | 03/11 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.58 | range_low | -0.05% | +0.07 | 03/11 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489645
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.540 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 31b -2.6ATR | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.43 | 22% | ↓ -0.67 | below_value | -17.50 | inside | #230433 | 0.60 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.99 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#492420
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.389 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
choppy 55% | late 24b -4.0ATR | — | — | 2.71 | 57% | ↑ +0.59 | below_value | -20.85 | inside | #231609 | 0.60 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.90 |
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:17
|
|
1h
anchor #493419
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.741 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 53% | mid 3b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.16 | 10% | ↑ +0.19 | below_value | -17.14 | — | #232062 | 0.68 | bear_medium | -0.96% | -0.55 |
03/11 05:00
upd 03/11 06:11
|
|
15m
#493353
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.644 | normal | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 5b 0.1ATR | — | — | 0.00 | 1% | ↓ -0.84 | below_value | -16.53 | — | #231931 | 0.58 | range_low | -0.05% | +0.07 |
03/11 05:45
upd 03/11 06:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 31b | — | 10.117×ATR | p100 | -2.572×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 6.52×ATR | p93 | -4.02×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.761×ATR | p21 | -1.434×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.544×ATR | p33 | +0.076×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.01789676
- tp_price: 0.016848
- atr: 0.0002467
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T17:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 63
- total: 66
- score: 0.2268
- delta_2h: -0.0747
- extension_atr: -1.01
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5319
- confidence: 0.954
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01728 | 0.0179 | 0.01685 | 0.69 | 0.01516 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01728
- Stop Loss: 0.0179
- Take Profit: 0.01685
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0179 - 0.01728 = 0.00062
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01728 - 0.01685 = 0.00043
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00043 / 0.00062 = 0.6935
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 224.139 | 100 | 12971.0098 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00062
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00062 = 12903.23
Taille de position USD = 12903.23 x 0.01728 = 222.97
Donc, tu peux acheter 12903.23 avec un stoploss a 0.0179
Avec un position size USD de 222.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 12903.23 x 0.00062 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 12903.23 x 0.00043 = 5.55
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.55$
Résumé
- Taille de position 12903.23
- Taille de position USD 222.97
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.55
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6935
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 5.58 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.59 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.75 $ | -2.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5301 % | 98.39 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01728 | 0.0179 | 0.01685 | 0.69 | 0.01516 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01728
- Stop Loss: 0.0179
- Take Profit: 0.01685
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0179 - 0.01728 = 0.00062
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01728 - 0.01685 = 0.00043
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00043 / 0.00062 = 0.6935
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.588%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.683% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.683% | 0.2R | -1.291% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.418% | 0.4R | -1.661% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.470% | 0.4R | -3.530% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.470% | 0.4R | -4.745% | 1.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.470% | 0.4R | -5.903% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.470% | 0.4R | -10.237% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.470% | 0.4R | -10.237% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.155% | 1.2R | -10.237% | 2.9R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 244 min
MAE in 1284 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.