Short Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 151.73 MORPHO at 2.105$ per unit. Take profit: 2.0524 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.1577 (2.5 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 06:15:05
hyperliquid
MORPHO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 06:15
→ 10:55
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 2.105$
Qty 151.7341 MORPHO
Size 319.4002$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 2.0524 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.98$
SL 2.1577 (-2.5%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1
Status
loss
PnL
-2.50%
/ -8$
MAE -4.50%
MFE +1.33%
0.5R
expires
03 Nov 12:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242907)
#9 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 06:00
score du 03/11/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6768
Quality Score
0.520
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#9 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.01×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.98
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 06:01
03/11 06:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 05:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7716
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
68.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.146
Δ 4h
▲+0.212
Δ 12h
▲+0.341
Δ 24h
▲+0.382
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 21.7% |
| 1h | 50.0% |
| 4h | 87.0% |
| 24h | 17.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 21.7% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 76.1% | +0.98% |
| 24h | 43.5% | -1.69% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
13.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
13.0%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.75
Dispersion :
0.130
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 06:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3716
Score SMA
0.3636
Rank
#21
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5189
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3362 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.47% · r3d: 4.73% · ema21_slope: -0.5916% · dist_ema21: -1.895% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4999 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.49% · rs_3d: 4.24% · beta_24h: 1.059 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3388 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: -0.362 · trend: 11.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5202 | ADX: 15.3 (weak) · Chop: 51.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.733% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5195
Score SMA
0.5632
Rank
#9
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6768
Rank Norm SMA
0.6623
Calculé le
03/11/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3513 | r1h: -0.328% · r4h: -0.715% · r1d: -6.10% · r3d: -1.69% · ema21_slope: -0.1834% · dist_ema21: -2.421% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3792 | rs_1h: -0.416% · rs_4h: -1.426% · rs_1d: -5.01% · rs_3d: -1.33% · beta_24h: 0.915 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6391 | rvol_20: 2.11× · zscore_50: 1.061 · trend: 33.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7592 | ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.068% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.4921
Score SMA
0.5449
Rank
#12
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8849
Rank Norm SMA
0.7431
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4160 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.010% · r1d: -3.91% · r3d: 0.38% · ema21_slope: -0.0356% · dist_ema21: -3.311% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4686 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.867% · rs_1d: -2.28% · rs_3d: 1.04% · beta_24h: 0.448 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2875 | rvol_20: 0.99× · zscore_50: -0.097 · trend: -38.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6177 | ADX: 17.7 (weak) · Chop: 41.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.711% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.504%
(0.0527)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -1.363% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -1.363% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.325% | 0.5R | -1.363% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.325% | 0.5R | -4.504% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.325% | 0.5R | -5.763% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.325% | 0.5R | -5.967% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.325% | 0.5R | -7.653% | 3.1R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.325% | 0.5R | -8.513% | 3.4R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.798% | 1.1R | -8.513% | 3.4R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 189 min
MAE in 1339 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.34
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -3.85% | +0.27 | 02/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_medium | -0.96% | -0.36 | 03/11 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.19 | 03/11 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
4h
#492387
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.461 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 15b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.99 | 68% | ↓ -0.42 | value | -1.65 | — | #231598 | 0.52 | bear_high | -3.85% | +0.27 |
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:15
|
|
1h
anchor #493408
|
↓ down | range | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.733 | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 3b -2.6ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 2.11 | 80% | ↑ +0.43 | value | -3.03 | — | #232051 | 0.54 | bear_medium | -0.96% | -0.36 |
03/11 05:00
upd 03/11 06:10
|
|
15m
#493342
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.552 | compression | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 12b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.19 | 45% | ↓ -0.26 | value | -2.56 | — | #231920 | 0.56 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.19 |
03/11 05:45
upd 03/11 06:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 5.22×ATR | p83 | -1.459×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.799×ATR | p24 | -2.61×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 3.908×ATR | p90 | -1.454×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.15772382
- tp_price: 2.052375
- atr: 0.02108953
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T17:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 58
- total: 66
- score: 0.3305
- delta_2h: -0.0093
- extension_atr: -1.86
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6807
- confidence: 0.877
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.105 | 2.1577 | 2.0524 | 1 | 1.7365 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.105
- Stop Loss: 2.1577
- Take Profit: 2.0524
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1577 - 2.105 = 0.0527
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.105 - 2.0524 = 0.0526
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0526 / 0.0527 = 0.9981
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 319.4002 | 100 | 151.7341 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0527
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0527 = 151.8
Taille de position USD = 151.8 x 2.105 = 319.54
Donc, tu peux acheter 151.8 avec un stoploss a 2.1577
Avec un position size USD de 319.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 151.8 x 0.0527 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 151.8 x 0.0526 = 7.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.98$
Résumé
- Taille de position 151.8
- Taille de position USD 319.54
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.98
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9981
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7458 % | 109.67 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.105 | 2.1577 | 2.0524 | 1 | 1.7365 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.105
- Stop Loss: 2.1577
- Take Profit: 2.0524
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.1577 - 2.105 = 0.0527
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.105 - 2.0524 = 0.0526
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0526 / 0.0527 = 0.9981
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.0524
[entry_price] => 2.105
[stop_loss] => 2.16297
[rr_ratio] => 0.91
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 16:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.0524
[entry_price] => 2.105
[stop_loss] => 2.16824
[rr_ratio] => 0.83
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 16:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.0524
[entry_price] => 2.105
[stop_loss] => 2.17351
[rr_ratio] => 0.77
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 16:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.0524
[entry_price] => 2.105
[stop_loss] => 2.18405
[rr_ratio] => 0.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 16:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.504%
(0.0527)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -1.363% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.062% | 0.0R | -1.363% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.325% | 0.5R | -1.363% | 0.5R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.325% | 0.5R | -4.504% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.325% | 0.5R | -5.763% | 2.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.325% | 0.5R | -5.967% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.325% | 0.5R | -7.653% | 3.1R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.325% | 0.5R | -8.513% | 3.4R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.798% | 1.1R | -8.513% | 3.4R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 189 min
MAE in 1339 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.