Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 10868.53 2Z at 0.0226$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02207 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02338 (3.27 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 07:15:13
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 07:15
→ 11:15
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.02264$
Qty 10868.5315 2Z
Size 246.0527$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02207 (+2.52%)
TP $ 6.2$
SL 0.02338 (-3.27%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 0.77
Status
win
PnL
+2.52%
/ +6.19$
MAE -1.50%
MFE +3.45%
1.1R
expires
03 Nov 13:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242980)
#64 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 07:00
score du 03/11/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2153
Quality Score
0.418
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#64 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.58×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.96
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 07:03
03/11 07:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7720
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
76.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.080
Δ 4h
▲+0.407
Δ 12h
▲+0.240
Δ 24h
▲+0.504
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 52.2% |
| 1h | 69.6% |
| 4h | 89.1% |
| 24h | 28.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 65.2% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 80.4% | +0.96% |
| 24h | 47.8% | -1.00% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
13.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.2%
Expansion
15.2%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.54
Dispersion :
0.162
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 07:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2493
Score SMA
0.4397
Rank
#48
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2656
Rank Norm SMA
0.2730
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0237 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.62% · r3d: -13.95% · ema21_slope: -1.5912% · dist_ema21: -22.991% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1148 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.68% · rs_3d: -13.26% · beta_24h: 1.985 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5969 | rvol_20: 2.53× · zscore_50: 0.154 · trend: -3.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6272 | ADX: 33.5 (trend) · Chop: 57.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.399% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4178
Score SMA
0.4407
Rank
#64
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2153
Rank Norm SMA
0.2182
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2394 | r1h: 0.084% · r4h: -0.396% · r1d: -7.20% · r3d: -14.18% · ema21_slope: -0.3432% · dist_ema21: -2.055% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2979 | rs_1h: 0.100% · rs_4h: -0.764% · rs_1d: -6.20% · rs_3d: -13.54% · beta_24h: 0.456 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1646 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: -47.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9543 | ADX: 54.5 (trend) · Chop: 36.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.370% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3967
Score SMA
0.3974
Rank
#58
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3326
Rank Norm SMA
0.2347
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1875 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.396% · r1d: -7.20% · r3d: -14.18% · ema21_slope: -0.6049% · dist_ema21: -8.058% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2081 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.764% · rs_1d: -6.20% · rs_3d: -13.54% · beta_24h: 1.315 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3183 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.361 · trend: 56.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8191 | ADX: 38.3 (trend) · Chop: 35.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.949% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.269%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.502% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.687% | 0.5R | -1.502% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.549% | 0.8R | -1.502% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.454% | 1.1R | -1.502% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.454% | 1.1R | -1.502% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.454% | 1.1R | -7.836% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.454% | 1.1R | -7.836% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.454% | 1.1R | -10.455% | 3.2R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.644% | 2.6R | -10.455% | 3.2R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 309 min
MAE in 634 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.24
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 53% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.94 | 02/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | bear_trend | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -0.96% | -0.54 | 03/11 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.06% | +0.09 | 03/11 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489640
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.445 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 37b -3.2ATR | — | — | 2.53 | 94% | ↑ +0.19 | below_value | -6.16 | — | #230431 | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#492414
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.507 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 53% | late 19b -3.5ATR | — | — | 1.00 | 78% | ↑ +0.71 | below_value | -7.17 | — | #231607 | 0.53 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.94 |
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:16
|
|
1h
anchor #493417
|
↓ down | range | bear_trend | strong | explosive | 0.533 | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid 3b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.24 | 50% | ↓ -0.63 | below_value | -8.25 | — | #232060 | 0.63 | bear_medium | -0.96% | -0.54 |
03/11 05:00
upd 03/11 06:11
|
|
15m
#493691
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.488 | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 8b 0.5ATR | — | — | 0.12 | 4% | ↓ -0.40 | below_value | -8.25 | — | #232060 | 0.49 | range_low | -0.06% | +0.09 |
03/11 06:45
upd 03/11 07:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 20.973×ATR | p100 | -3.183×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 6.686×ATR | p90 | -3.545×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.144×ATR | p0 | -1.594×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.018×ATR | p27 | +0.494×ATR | p23 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.02337507
- tp_price: 0.02207302
- atr: 0.00029443
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T18:15:13+00:00
Details
- rank: 64
- total: 65
- score: 0.2407
- delta_2h: -0.004
- extension_atr: -1.37
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2133
- confidence: 0.984
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02264 | 0.02338 | 0.02207 | 0.77 | 0.01625 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02264
- Stop Loss: 0.02338
- Take Profit: 0.02207
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02338 - 0.02264 = 0.00074
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02264 - 0.02207 = 0.00057
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00057 / 0.00074 = 0.7703
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246.0527 | 100 | 10868.5315 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00074
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00074 = 10810.81
Taille de position USD = 10810.81 x 0.02264 = 244.76
Donc, tu peux acheter 10810.81 avec un stoploss a 0.02338
Avec un position size USD de 244.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10810.81 x 0.00074 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10810.81 x 0.00057 = 6.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.16$
Résumé
- Taille de position 10810.81
- Taille de position USD 244.76
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.16
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7703
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 6.2 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.27 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.19 $ | 2.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5018 % | 45.95 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02264 | 0.02338 | 0.02207 | 0.77 | 0.01625 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02264
- Stop Loss: 0.02338
- Take Profit: 0.02207
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02338 - 0.02264 = 0.00074
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02264 - 0.02207 = 0.00057
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00057 / 0.00074 = 0.7703
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.269%
(0.0007)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.502% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.687% | 0.5R | -1.502% | 0.5R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.549% | 0.8R | -1.502% | 0.5R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.454% | 1.1R | -1.502% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.454% | 1.1R | -1.502% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.454% | 1.1R | -7.836% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.454% | 1.1R | -7.836% | 2.4R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.454% | 1.1R | -10.455% | 3.2R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.644% | 2.6R | -10.455% | 3.2R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 309 min
MAE in 634 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.