Short Trade on XTEN (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 331.4 XTEN at 0.225$ per unit. Take profit: 0.219 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2487 (10.73 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 08:15:09
hyperliquid
XTEN
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 08:15
→ 10:25
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.2246$
Qty 331.4044 XTEN
Size 74.4301$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.219 (+2.49%)
TP $ 1.86$
SL 0.2487 (-10.73%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.23
Status
loss
PnL
-10.73%
/ -7.99$
MAE -13.77%
MFE +0.70%
0.1R
expires
03 Nov 14:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243123)
#64 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 08:00
score du 03/11/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4237
Quality Score
0.308
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#64 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.68×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
2.22
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 08:02
03/11 08:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 03/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 07:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7724
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
87.0%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.109
Δ 4h
▲+0.675
Δ 12h
▲+0.307
Δ 24h
▲+0.571
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 47.8% |
| 1h | 93.5% |
| 4h | 95.7% |
| 24h | 45.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | -0.00% |
| 4h | 78.3% | +2.22% |
| 24h | 56.5% | -0.10% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
56.5%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
56.5%
Tail ↑
+0.98
Tail ↓
+0.86
Dispersion :
0.195
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 08:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3082
Score SMA
0.4847
Rank
#64
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4237
Rank Norm SMA
0.4352
Calculé le
03/11/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1290 | r1h: -1.871% · r4h: -4.295% · r1d: -19.39% · r3d: -20.41% · ema21_slope: -0.7791% · dist_ema21: -4.991% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0441 | rs_1h: -2.277% · rs_4h: -5.328% · rs_1d: -18.88% · rs_3d: -20.26% · beta_24h: -0.640 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4243 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: 0.386 · trend: 67.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7966 | ADX: 41.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4990 | ATR%: 4.503% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4046
Score SMA
0.4538
Rank
#58
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1840
Rank Norm SMA
0.3310
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2677 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 10.250% · r1d: -18.14% · r3d: -19.08% · ema21_slope: -0.6181% · dist_ema21: -11.334% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2935 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 9.882% · rs_1d: -17.15% · rs_3d: -18.43% · beta_24h: 3.356 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7178 | rvol_20: 5.71× · zscore_50: 0.000 · trend: 38.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7155 | ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.786% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -10.730%
(0.0241)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -7.453% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -10.672% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 164 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high_confirmed |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.43% | -0.98 | 03/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | — | range_medium | -0.54% | -0.97 | 03/11 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | -0.07 | range_low | +0.32% | +0.56 | 03/11 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
4h
#493863
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high_confirmed |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 9b -1.8ATR | — | — | 5.71 | 89% | ↑ +0.82 | below_value | -4.57 | — | #232205 | — | bear_high | -3.43% | -0.98 |
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 07:19
|
|
1h
anchor #494181
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.416 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 3b -1.1ATR | — | — | 0.76 | 78% | ↑ +0.36 | below_value | -5.24 | — | #232404 | — | range_medium | -0.54% | -0.97 |
03/11 07:00
upd 03/11 08:11
|
|
15m
#494114
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.513 | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 7b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.08 | 51% | ↓ -0.63 | below_value | -4.57 | — | #232205 | -0.07 | range_low | +0.32% | +0.56 |
03/11 07:45
upd 03/11 08:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 3.081×ATR | p75 | -1.788×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.441×ATR | p10 | -1.11×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.555×ATR | p50 | -0.754×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.24872969
- tp_price: 0.21897525
- atr: 0.00965587
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T19:15:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 64
- total: 65
- score: 0.1556
- delta_2h: -0.1053
- extension_atr: -0.97
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4237
- confidence: 0.984
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2246 | 0.2487 | 0.219 | 0.23 | 0.2 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2246
- Stop Loss: 0.2487
- Take Profit: 0.219
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2487 - 0.2246 = 0.0241
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2246 - 0.219 = 0.0056
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0056 / 0.0241 = 0.2324
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74.4301 | 74.4301 | 331.4044 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0241
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0241 = 331.95
Taille de position USD = 331.95 x 0.2246 = 74.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 331.95 avec un stoploss a 0.2487
Avec un position size USD de 74.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 331.95 x 0.0241 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 331.95 x 0.0056 = 1.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.86$
Résumé
- Taille de position 331.95
- Taille de position USD 74.56
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.86
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2324
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 1.86 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.73 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -10.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -10.8638 % | 101.25 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2246 | 0.2487 | 0.219 | 0.23 | 0.2 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2246
- Stop Loss: 0.2487
- Take Profit: 0.219
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2487 - 0.2246 = 0.0241
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2246 - 0.219 = 0.0056
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0056 / 0.0241 = 0.2324
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.219
[entry_price] => 0.2246
[stop_loss] => 0.25111
[rr_ratio] => 0.21
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 15:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.219
[entry_price] => 0.2246
[stop_loss] => 0.25352
[rr_ratio] => 0.19
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 15:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -10.730%
(0.0241)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -7.453% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -10.672% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.704% | 0.1R | -13.771% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 4 min
MAE in 164 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.