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Long Trade on LIT

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03 Nov 2026 at 08:18:50 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 73.34 LIT at 3.19$ per unit. Take profit: 3.4626 (8.55 %) & Stop Loss: 3.0808 (3.42 %)

LIT LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 08:18 → 10:55 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 3.1899$

Qty 73.3379 LIT

Size 233.9406$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.4626 (+8.55%)

TP $ 20$

SL 3.0808 (-3.42%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status win PnL +8.55% / +20$ MAE -0.13% MFE +8.82% 2.6R expires 03 Nov 20:18

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 243115)
#11 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7637

Quality Score
0.645
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#11 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#11 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.24×ATR
4h near 0.16×ATR
1d clear 1.91×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
24.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 08:17
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

03/11 03:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/11 07:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7725
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

-1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) -4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 84.1%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→-0.029
Δ 1h
▲+0.109
Δ 4h
▲+0.320
Δ 12h
▲+0.625
Δ 24h
▲+0.449

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 17.4%
1h 13.0%
4h 89.1%
24h 32.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 23.9% -0.20%
4h 76.1% +1.30%
24h 54.4% -0.59%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
28.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
28.3%
Tail ↑
+1.14
Tail ↓
+0.61
Dispersion : 0.157
Universe : 46 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 08:16 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3865
Score SMA
0.3193
Rank
#15 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7813
Rank Norm SMA
0.4062
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3009 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.36% · r3d: 11.22% · ema21_slope: -0.8259% · dist_ema21: -3.766%
Force Relative 25% 0.6161 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.41% · rs_3d: 11.91% · beta_24h: 2.736
Volume 20% 0.3127 rvol_20: 0.98× · zscore_50: -0.400 · trend: -2.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5310 ADX: 13.6 (weak) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.541% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6446
Score SMA
0.5338
Rank
#11 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7637
Rank Norm SMA
0.5104
Calculé le
03/11/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7816 r1h: 2.821% · r4h: 5.315% · r1d: 4.93% · r3d: 17.87% · ema21_slope: 0.0369% · dist_ema21: 3.885%
Force Relative 25% 0.8829 rs_1h: 2.415% · rs_4h: 4.281% · rs_1d: 5.44% · rs_3d: 18.01% · beta_24h: 2.120
Volume 20% 0.4943 rvol_20: 1.78× · zscore_50: 0.529 · trend: -9.68%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5257 ADX: 13.3 (weak) · Chop: 48.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.850% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.5655
Score SMA
0.4501
Rank
#7 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8341
Rank Norm SMA
0.4446
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7024 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.210% · r1d: 1.72% · r3d: 15.43% · ema21_slope: 0.2536% · dist_ema21: 2.343%
Force Relative 25% 0.7736 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.842% · rs_1d: 2.72% · rs_3d: 16.07% · beta_24h: 2.029
Volume 20% 0.1832 rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.490 · trend: -41.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4145 ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 68.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.6260 ATR%: 4.122% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.420% (0.1091)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +5.834% 1.7R -0.132% 0.0R 44.3× 12
2h +5.834% 1.7R -0.132% 0.0R 44.3× 24
4h +8.815% 2.6R -0.132% 0.0R 66.9× 48
8h +8.815% 2.6R -0.132% 0.0R 66.9× 96
12h ★ +8.815% 2.6R -0.132% 0.0R 66.9× 144
24h +11.029% 3.2R -2.458% 0.7R 4.5× 288
36h +12.116% 3.5R -2.458% 0.7R 4.9× 432
48h +12.116% 3.5R -2.458% 0.7R 4.9× 576
72h +12.116% 3.5R -2.458% 0.7R 4.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1551 min MAE in 826 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 7.03
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.42 bear_high -1.23% -0.03 01/11 19:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression range_high
48%
noisy_chop 41% early — near 0.2ATR 0.50 bear_high -3.43% +0.88 03/11 03:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 35% late — near -0.2ATR 0.45 range_medium -0.54% +0.48 03/11 07:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 49% mid — — 0.54 range_low +0.22% +0.32 03/11 08:00
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489653
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.503 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 35% early 12b -0.3ATR — — 0.98 60% ↑ +0.18 above_value -0.44 — #230436 0.42 bear_high -1.23% -0.03
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
4h
#493839
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.705 compression range_high
48%
noisy_chop 41% early 11b 0.6ATR — near 0.2ATR 0.53 45% ↓ -0.16 above_value +0.56 — #232197 0.50 bear_high -3.43% +0.88
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 07:18
1h anchor
#494173
 ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.524 expansion bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 35% late 5b 2.2ATR — near -0.2ATR 1.78 78% ↓ -0.38 value +1.90 — #232396 0.45 range_medium -0.54% +0.48
03/11 07:00
upd 03/11 08:11
15m
#494241
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive 0.710 expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 49% mid 1b 1.3ATR — — 1.00 58% ↑ +0.41 value +1.90 — #232396 0.54 range_low +0.22% +0.32
03/11 08:00
upd 03/11 08:18
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 12b — 2.531×ATR p0 -0.328×ATR p17
4h ↓ down early 11b — 1.36×ATR p0 +0.604×ATR p34
1h ↑ up late 5b — 3.452×ATR p72 +2.152×ATR p87
15m ↓ down mid 1b — 1.95×ATR p14 +1.307×ATR p77

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7757
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.81×ATR dur=26b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 3.08081591
  5. tp_price: 3.46261023
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.77570259768184
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-04T01:18:42.189993
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.77570259768184
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : -0.1426
  10. obi_top10 : 0.026
  11. micro_price : 3.20171429
  12. spread_pct : 0.06248
  13. mid_price : 3.202
  14. bid_wall_price : 3.12
  15. bid_wall_size : 14060.8
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 3.26
  18. ask_wall_size : 11334
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : -0.1404
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0062
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 7032
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    3.1405
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    3.033
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    3.08675
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1793620800
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1793710800
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    1.8116
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    26
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: forming
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.7757
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1793696400
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    3.1405
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.8077
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    4
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.8325
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    8
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    5
  54. regime : bull_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.05934091
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
26
inside_close_ratio
0.8077
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8325

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 08:18 3.18990000 0%
2 08:25 3.18990000 0%
3 08:33 3.18990000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7032ms Confidence avant OB : 78% → 78%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.143
avg -0.140 ± 0.006
OBI Top 10 0.026

Microstructure

Mid Price
3.2020
Micro Price
3.2017
Spread
0.0625%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
3.1200
Size
14,060.80

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
3.2600
Size
11,334.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.1899 3.0808 3.4626 2.5 2.9808
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.1899
  • Stop Loss: 3.0808
  • Take Profit: 3.4626

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.0808 - 3.1899 = -0.1091

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.1899 - 3.4626 = -0.2727

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2727 / -0.1091 = 2.4995

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
233.9406 100 73.3379 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1091

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1091 = -73.33

Taille de position USD = -73.33 x 3.1899 = -233.92

Donc, tu peux acheter -73.33 avec un stoploss a 3.0808

Avec un position size USD de -233.92$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -73.33 x -0.1091 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -73.33 x -0.2727 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -73.33
  • Taille de position USD -233.92
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4995

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
8.55 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.42 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
20 $ 8.55
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1317 % 3.85 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.1899 3.0808 3.4626 2.5 2.9808
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.1899
  • Stop Loss: 3.0808
  • Take Profit: 3.4626

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.0808 - 3.1899 = -0.1091

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.1899 - 3.4626 = -0.2727

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2727 / -0.1091 = 2.4995

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.4081
            [stop_loss] => 3.0808
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 15:50:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.46265
            [stop_loss] => 3.0808
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 15:55:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.420% (0.1091)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +5.834% 1.7R -0.132% 0.0R 44.3× 12
2h +5.834% 1.7R -0.132% 0.0R 44.3× 24
4h +8.815% 2.6R -0.132% 0.0R 66.9× 48
8h +8.815% 2.6R -0.132% 0.0R 66.9× 96
12h ★ +8.815% 2.6R -0.132% 0.0R 66.9× 144
24h +11.029% 3.2R -2.458% 0.7R 4.5× 288
36h +12.116% 3.5R -2.458% 0.7R 4.9× 432
48h +12.116% 3.5R -2.458% 0.7R 4.9× 576
72h +12.116% 3.5R -2.458% 0.7R 4.9× 864
⏱ MFE in 1551 min MAE in 826 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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