Short Trade on XTEN (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 320.88 XTEN at 0.237$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2314 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2623 (10.49 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 09:15:10
hyperliquid
XTEN
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 09:15
→ 15:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2374$
Qty 320.8791 XTEN
Size 76.1703$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2314 (+2.53%)
TP $ 1.93$
SL 0.2623 (-10.49%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.24
Status
loss
PnL
-4.30%
/ -3.27$
MAE -7.64%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
03 Nov 15:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243186)
#62 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 09:00
score du 03/11/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3733
Quality Score
0.356
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#62 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#62 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.12×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.92
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 09:03
03/11 09:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 03/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 08:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7728
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
84.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.029
Δ 4h
▲+0.306
Δ 12h
▲+0.667
Δ 24h
▲+0.530
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 37.0% |
| 1h | 73.9% |
| 4h | 91.3% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 37.0% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 71.7% | +1.92% |
| 24h | 54.4% | +0.02% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
50.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
50.0%
Tail ↑
+0.96
Tail ↓
+0.92
Dispersion :
0.183
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 09:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.3557
Score SMA
0.4820
Rank
#62
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3733
Rank Norm SMA
0.4268
Calculé le
03/11/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2997 | r1h: 1.607% · r4h: -0.280% · r1d: -17.63% · r3d: -18.75% · ema21_slope: -0.7257% · dist_ema21: -3.159% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3042 | rs_1h: 1.657% · rs_4h: -0.710% · rs_1d: -16.90% · rs_3d: -18.60% · beta_24h: -0.710 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2748 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.365 · trend: 24.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7788 | ADX: 39.8 (trend) · Chop: 44.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5777 | ATR%: 4.267% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4046
Score SMA
0.4538
Rank
#58
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1840
Rank Norm SMA
0.3310
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2677 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 10.250% · r1d: -18.14% · r3d: -19.08% · ema21_slope: -0.6181% · dist_ema21: -11.334% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2935 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 9.882% · rs_1d: -17.15% · rs_3d: -18.43% · beta_24h: 3.356 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7178 | rvol_20: 5.71× · zscore_50: 0.000 · trend: 38.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7155 | ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.786% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -10.489%
(0.0249)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.705% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.144% | 0.2R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.033% | 0.3R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high_confirmed |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.43% | -0.98 | 03/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | — | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.89 | 03/11 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | -0.07 | range_low | +0.25% | -0.41 | 03/11 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
4h
#493863
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high_confirmed |
38%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 9b -1.8ATR | — | — | 5.71 | 89% | ↑ +0.82 | below_value | -4.57 | — | #232205 | — | bear_high | -3.43% | -0.98 |
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 07:19
|
|
1h
anchor #494528
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.422 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 4b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.19 | 50% | ↑ +0.27 | below_value | -5.46 | — | #232532 | — | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.89 |
03/11 08:00
upd 03/11 09:12
|
|
15m
#494460
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.411 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 11b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.06 | 32% | ↓ -0.68 | below_value | -5.24 | — | #232404 | -0.07 | range_low | +0.25% | -0.41 |
03/11 08:45
upd 03/11 09:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 3.081×ATR | p75 | -1.788×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.126×ATR | p5 | -0.709×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.115×ATR | p25 | +0.026×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.26231151
- tp_price: 0.2314455
- atr: 0.0099726
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T20:15:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 63
- total: 65
- score: 0.2399
- delta_2h: -0.013
- extension_atr: 0.29
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3692
- confidence: 0.969
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2374 | 0.2623 | 0.2314 | 0.24 | 0.1993 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2374
- Stop Loss: 0.2623
- Take Profit: 0.2314
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2623 - 0.2374 = 0.0249
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2374 - 0.2314 = 0.006
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.006 / 0.0249 = 0.241
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76.1703 | 76.1703 | 320.8791 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0249
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0249 = 321.29
Taille de position USD = 321.29 x 0.2374 = 76.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 321.29 avec un stoploss a 0.2623
Avec un position size USD de 76.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 321.29 x 0.0249 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 321.29 x 0.006 = 1.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.93$
Résumé
- Taille de position 321.29
- Taille de position USD 76.27
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.93
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.241
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.53 % | 1.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.49 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.27 $ | -4.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -7.6369 % | 72.81 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2374 | 0.2623 | 0.2314 | 0.24 | 0.1993 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2374
- Stop Loss: 0.2623
- Take Profit: 0.2314
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2623 - 0.2374 = 0.0249
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2374 - 0.2314 = 0.006
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.006 / 0.0249 = 0.241
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -10.489%
(0.0249)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.705% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.144% | 0.2R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.033% | 0.3R | -7.637% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.