Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 636.86 PONS at 0.199$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1945 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.212 (6.27 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 09:15:10
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 09:15
→ 15:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.1995$
Qty 636.8621 PONS
Size 127.0412$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1945 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.18$
SL 0.212 (-6.27%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 0.4
Status
loss
PnL
-0.60%
/ -0.76$
MAE -3.48%
MFE +1.05%
0.2R
expires
03 Nov 15:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243184)
#60 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 09:00
score du 03/11/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1573
Quality Score
0.418
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#60 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.28×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.92
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
10.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 09:03
03/11 09:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 03/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7728
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
84.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.029
Δ 4h
▲+0.306
Δ 12h
▲+0.667
Δ 24h
▲+0.530
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 37.0% |
| 1h | 73.9% |
| 4h | 91.3% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 37.0% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 71.7% | +1.92% |
| 24h | 54.4% | +0.02% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
50.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
50.0%
Tail ↑
+0.96
Tail ↓
+0.92
Dispersion :
0.183
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 09:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1217
Score SMA
0.2486
Rank
#65
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1948
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0254 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.91% · r3d: -12.02% · ema21_slope: -1.7825% · dist_ema21: -25.558% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0807 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.97% · rs_3d: -11.33% · beta_24h: 4.327 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1503 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.935 · trend: -73.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4254 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 72.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.439% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.4179
Score SMA
0.5122
Rank
#60
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1573
Rank Norm SMA
0.4185
Calculé le
03/11/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2529 | r1h: -0.870% · r4h: 0.441% · r1d: -15.31% · r3d: -10.78% · ema21_slope: -0.4935% · dist_ema21: -2.856% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2525 | rs_1h: -0.821% · rs_4h: 0.011% · rs_1d: -14.58% · rs_3d: -10.63% · beta_24h: 3.642 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5487 | rvol_20: 1.56× · zscore_50: 0.838 · trend: 42.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8153 | ADX: 42.6 (trend) · Chop: 43.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.630% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3321
Score SMA
0.4300
Rank
#64
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0237
Rank Norm SMA
0.3140
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2166 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.588% · r1d: -13.09% · r3d: -11.86% · ema21_slope: -0.5925% · dist_ema21: -10.794% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2552 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.219% · rs_1d: -12.09% · rs_3d: -11.22% · beta_24h: 3.781 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4817 | rvol_20: 1.48× · zscore_50: 0.046 · trend: 40.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6593 | ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 34.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0807 | ATR%: 5.758% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.266%
(0.0125)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.053% | 0.2R | -1.243% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.053% | 0.2R | -1.664% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.053% | 0.2R | -2.431% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.053% | 0.2R | -3.479% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.053% | 0.2R | -4.186% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.053% | 0.2R | -4.186% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.181% | 0.7R | -13.263% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.181% | 0.7R | -16.612% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.737% | 1.7R | -16.612% | 2.7R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 769 min
MAE in 1294 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.67
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high | -3.43% | -0.89 | 03/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.60 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.63 | 03/11 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.55 | range_low | +0.25% | +0.23 | 03/11 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489663
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | 0.58 | 9% | ↓ -0.37 | below_value | -5.76 | inside | #230441 | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
|
|
4h
#493857
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.721 | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 23b -2.3ATR | — | — | 1.48 | 52% | ↑ +0.39 | below_value | -6.56 | inside | #232203 | 0.41 | bear_high | -3.43% | -0.89 |
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 07:19
|
|
1h
anchor #494526
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.396 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 6b -1.1ATR | — | — | 1.56 | 89% | ↑ +0.34 | below_value | -6.80 | — | #232530 | 0.60 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.63 |
03/11 08:00
upd 03/11 09:12
|
|
15m
#494458
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.373 | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 2b 0.0ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 3.22 | 96% | ↔ +0.11 | below_value | -6.40 | — | #232402 | 0.55 | range_low | +0.25% | +0.23 |
03/11 08:45
upd 03/11 09:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 4.14×ATR | p63 | -2.283×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.55×ATR | p52 | -1.124×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.163×ATR | p6 | +0.022×ATR | p2 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.21204159
- tp_price: 0.194493
- atr: 0.00502464
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T20:15:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 61
- total: 65
- score: 0.2614
- delta_2h: -0.0806
- extension_atr: -1.15
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1452
- confidence: 0.938
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:15 | 0.19948000 | -0.01% |
| 2 | 10:15 | 0.19901000 | -0.246% |
| 3 | 11:15 | 0.20130000 | +0.902% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1995 | 0.212 | 0.1945 | 0.4 | 0.1187 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1995
- Stop Loss: 0.212
- Take Profit: 0.1945
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.212 - 0.1995 = 0.0125
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1995 - 0.1945 = 0.005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.005 / 0.0125 = 0.4
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127.0412 | 100 | 636.8621 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0125
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0125 = 640
Taille de position USD = 640 x 0.1995 = 127.68
Donc, tu peux acheter 640 avec un stoploss a 0.212
Avec un position size USD de 127.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 640 x 0.0125 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 640 x 0.005 = 3.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.2$
Résumé
- Taille de position 640
- Taille de position USD 127.68
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.2
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.18 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.27 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.76 $ | -0.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4787 % | 55.52 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1995 | 0.212 | 0.1945 | 0.4 | 0.1187 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1995
- Stop Loss: 0.212
- Take Profit: 0.1945
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.212 - 0.1995 = 0.0125
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1995 - 0.1945 = 0.005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.005 / 0.0125 = 0.4
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.266%
(0.0125)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.053% | 0.2R | -1.243% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.053% | 0.2R | -1.664% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.053% | 0.2R | -2.431% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.053% | 0.2R | -3.479% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.053% | 0.2R | -4.186% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.053% | 0.2R | -4.186% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.181% | 0.7R | -13.263% | 2.1R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.181% | 0.7R | -16.612% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.737% | 1.7R | -16.612% | 2.7R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 769 min
MAE in 1294 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.