Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 12486.15 MON at 0.0171$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01671 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01778 (3.73 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 09:15:10
hyperliquid
MON
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 09:15
→ 11:30
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.01714$
Qty 12486.1482 MON
Size 213.9876$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01671 (+2.51%)
TP $ 5.37$
SL 0.01778 (-3.73%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.67
Status
loss
PnL
-3.73%
/ -7.99$
MAE -5.82%
MFE +0.67%
0.2R
expires
03 Nov 15:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243175)
#57 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 09:00
score du 03/11/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3648
Quality Score
0.447
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#57 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#57 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.53×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.60×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.92
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 09:02
03/11 09:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 03/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7728
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
84.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.029
Δ 4h
▲+0.306
Δ 12h
▲+0.667
Δ 24h
▲+0.530
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 37.0% |
| 1h | 73.9% |
| 4h | 91.3% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 37.0% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 71.7% | +1.92% |
| 24h | 54.4% | +0.02% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
50.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
50.0%
Tail ↑
+0.96
Tail ↓
+0.92
Dispersion :
0.183
Universe :
46
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 09:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1426
Score SMA
0.2291
Rank
#64
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0156
Rank Norm SMA
0.0729
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0238 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.50% · r3d: -10.71% · ema21_slope: -1.0128% · dist_ema21: -17.912% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1143 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.56% · rs_3d: -10.02% · beta_24h: 2.162 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1417 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.874 · trend: -71.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5237 | ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 62.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.324% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.4472
Score SMA
0.4872
Rank
#57
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3648
Rank Norm SMA
0.3501
Calculé le
03/11/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2808 | r1h: -0.740% · r4h: -0.893% · r1d: -6.25% · r3d: -9.79% · ema21_slope: -0.2808% · dist_ema21: -1.176% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2944 | rs_1h: -0.691% · rs_4h: -1.323% · rs_1d: -5.52% · rs_3d: -9.63% · beta_24h: 0.854 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2809 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: 0.075 · trend: -15.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8120 | ADX: 45.1 (trend) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.514% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4581
Score SMA
0.4369
Rank
#46
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3548
Rank Norm SMA
0.3079
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2299 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.929% · r1d: -6.79% · r3d: -10.58% · ema21_slope: -0.5180% · dist_ema21: -7.278% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2752 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.560% · rs_1d: -5.79% · rs_3d: -9.93% · beta_24h: 2.267 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5147 | rvol_20: 1.81× · zscore_50: 0.146 · trend: 21.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8124 | ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 34.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9552 | ATR%: 3.134% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.734%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.613% | 0.2R | -0.829% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -3.641% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -4.376% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.665% | 0.2R | -5.823% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -6.768% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -6.768% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -11.138% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -11.138% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.372% | 0.9R | -11.138% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 64 min
MAE in 1104 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.99 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -3.43% | -0.85 | 03/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.68 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.42 | 03/11 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.1ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.59 | range_low | +0.25% | -0.07 | 03/11 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489645
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.540 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 31b -2.6ATR | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.43 | 22% | ↓ -0.67 | below_value | -17.50 | inside | #230433 | 0.60 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.99 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#493830
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.393 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 25b -2.9ATR | — | — | 1.81 | 46% | ↑ +0.64 | below_value | -17.80 | inside | #232194 | 0.60 | bear_high | -3.43% | -0.85 |
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 07:18
|
|
1h
anchor #494517
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.737 | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early 2b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.69 | 66% | ↓ -0.36 | below_value | -16.00 | — | #232521 | 0.68 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.42 |
03/11 08:00
upd 03/11 09:12
|
|
15m
#494449
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.606 | normal | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 2b 0.3ATR | near 0.1ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.09 | 4% | ↓ -0.26 | below_value | -16.36 | — | #232393 | 0.59 | range_low | +0.25% | -0.07 |
03/11 08:45
upd 03/11 09:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 31b | — | 10.117×ATR | p100 | -2.572×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 25b | — | 5.715×ATR | p90 | -2.865×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.58×ATR | p0 | -0.765×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.906×ATR | p4 | +0.3×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.01777871
- tp_price: 0.01670955
- atr: 0.00025628
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T20:15:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 60
- total: 65
- score: 0.3156
- delta_2h: -0.0211
- extension_atr: -1.27
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3688
- confidence: 0.922
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:15 | 0.01713800 | -0.012% |
| 2 | 10:15 | 0.01713600 | -0.023% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01714 | 0.01778 | 0.01671 | 0.67 | 0.01592 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01714
- Stop Loss: 0.01778
- Take Profit: 0.01671
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01778 - 0.01714 = 0.00064
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01714 - 0.01671 = 0.00043
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00043 / 0.00064 = 0.6719
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 213.9876 | 100 | 12486.1482 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00064
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00064 = 12500
Taille de position USD = 12500 x 0.01714 = 214.25
Donc, tu peux acheter 12500 avec un stoploss a 0.01778
Avec un position size USD de 214.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 12500 x 0.00064 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 12500 x 0.00043 = 5.38
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.38$
Résumé
- Taille de position 12500
- Taille de position USD 214.25
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.38
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6719
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 5.37 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.73 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -3.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.734 % | 100 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01714 | 0.01778 | 0.01671 | 0.67 | 0.01592 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01714
- Stop Loss: 0.01778
- Take Profit: 0.01671
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01778 - 0.01714 = 0.00064
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01714 - 0.01671 = 0.00043
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00043 / 0.00064 = 0.6719
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01671
[entry_price] => 0.01714
[stop_loss] => 0.017844
[rr_ratio] => 0.61
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 17:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01671
[entry_price] => 0.01714
[stop_loss] => 0.017908
[rr_ratio] => 0.56
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 19:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01671
[entry_price] => 0.01714
[stop_loss] => 0.017972
[rr_ratio] => 0.52
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 19:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01671
[entry_price] => 0.01714
[stop_loss] => 0.0181
[rr_ratio] => 0.45
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 19:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.734%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.613% | 0.2R | -0.829% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -3.641% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -4.376% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.665% | 0.2R | -5.823% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -6.768% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -6.768% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -11.138% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.665% | 0.2R | -11.138% | 3.0R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.372% | 0.9R | -11.138% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 64 min
MAE in 1104 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.