Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 803.62 INIT at 0.131$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1282 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1415 (7.6 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 13:15:18
hyperliquid
INIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 13:15
→ 13:55
· 39 minutes
Position
Entry 0.1315$
Qty 803.6171 INIT
Size 105.6998$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1282 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.65$
SL 0.1415 (-7.6%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 0.33
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +2.65$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +6.90%
0.9R
expires
03 Nov 19:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243479)
#59 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 13:00
score du 03/11/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0263
Quality Score
0.347
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#59 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.28×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.63×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.19
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 13:02
03/11 13:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7744
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
46.5%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.031
Δ 4h
▼-0.376
Δ 12h
▲+0.132
Δ 24h
▲+0.354
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 55.8% |
| 1h | 20.9% |
| 4h | 39.5% |
| 24h | 69.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 62.8% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 27.9% | -0.19% |
| 24h | 58.1% | +1.24% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.3%
Down ≥1σ
4.7%
Expansion
7.0%
Tail ↑
+0.41
Tail ↓
+0.67
Dispersion :
0.138
Universe :
43
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 13:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5082
Score SMA
0.7476
Rank
#6
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9219
Rank Norm SMA
0.9872
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5642 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -28.10% · r3d: -28.81% · ema21_slope: 2.7666% · dist_ema21: -13.815% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3037 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -26.16% · rs_3d: -28.12% · beta_24h: 2.459 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5990 | rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: 1.031 · trend: 95.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9549 | ADX: 54.6 (trend) · Chop: 22.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.925% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.3467
Score SMA
0.4880
Rank
#59
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0263
Rank Norm SMA
0.4227
Calculé le
03/11/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2128 | r1h: -1.988% · r4h: -0.031% · r1d: -8.01% · r3d: -23.30% · ema21_slope: -0.3967% · dist_ema21: -3.448% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1807 | rs_1h: -1.876% · rs_4h: -0.381% · rs_1d: -8.66% · rs_3d: -23.26% · beta_24h: 0.707 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1595 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.608 · trend: -53.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4850 | ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 67.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9217 | ATR%: 3.235% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3149
Score SMA
0.5111
Rank
#62
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0081
Rank Norm SMA
0.5656
Calculé le
03/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3154 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.333% · r1d: -4.97% · r3d: -19.40% · ema21_slope: -1.2796% · dist_ema21: -14.546% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3147 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.583% · rs_1d: -5.18% · rs_3d: -19.54% · beta_24h: 1.980 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1720 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.624 · trend: -47.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7150 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 40.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.917% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.605%
(0.0100)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.483% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.631% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.825% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.897% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +7.901% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +7.901% | 1.0R | -2.738% | 0.4R | 2.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.901% | 1.0R | -12.061% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.901% | 1.0R | -15.818% | 2.1R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.901% | 1.0R | -15.818% | 2.1R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 384 min
MAE in 1324 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.36
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.34 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.92 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.18 | bear_high | -2.65% | -1.00 | 03/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.13 | range_medium | -0.21% | -0.39 | 03/11 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.05 | range_low | +0.47% | +0.10 | 03/11 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489630
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.682 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid 5b -0.6ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 1.35 | 97% | ↑ +0.88 | below_value | -14.68 | — | #230426 | 0.34 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.92 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#495232
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.479 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 12b -1.9ATR | — | — | 0.57 | 72% | ↑ +0.24 | below_value | -19.20 | — | #232769 | 0.18 | bear_high | -2.65% | -1.00 |
03/11 07:00
upd 03/11 11:16
|
|
1h
anchor #495884
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.747 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 6b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.42 | 6% | ↔ -0.08 | below_value | -20.83 | — | #233080 | 0.13 | range_medium | -0.21% | -0.39 |
03/11 12:00
upd 03/11 13:11
|
|
15m
#495822
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.503 | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 5b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.02 | 1% | ↓ -0.66 | below_value | -19.83 | — | #232958 | 0.05 | range_low | +0.47% | +0.10 |
03/11 12:45
upd 03/11 13:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 4.217×ATR | p72 | -0.601×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 5.084×ATR | p75 | -1.916×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 0.589×ATR | p0 | -1.242×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.97×ATR | p79 | -1.031×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.14148499
- tp_price: 0.12824175
- atr: 0.003982
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T00:15:18+00:00
Details
- rank: 60
- total: 64
- score: 0.2721
- delta_2h: -0.1168
- extension_atr: -0.67
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0285
- confidence: 0.937
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1315 | 0.1415 | 0.1282 | 0.33 | 0.1253 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1315
- Stop Loss: 0.1415
- Take Profit: 0.1282
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1415 - 0.1315 = 0.01
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1315 - 0.1282 = 0.0033
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0033 / 0.01 = 0.33
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105.6998 | 100 | 803.6171 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.01
Taille de position = 8 / 0.01 = 800
Taille de position USD = 800 x 0.1315 = 105.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 800 avec un stoploss a 0.1415
Avec un position size USD de 105.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 800 x 0.01 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 800 x 0.0033 = 2.64
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.64$
Résumé
- Taille de position 800
- Taille de position USD 105.2
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.64
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.33
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.65 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.6 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.65 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1315 | 0.1415 | 0.1282 | 0.33 | 0.1253 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1315
- Stop Loss: 0.1415
- Take Profit: 0.1282
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1415 - 0.1315 = 0.01
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1315 - 0.1282 = 0.0033
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0033 / 0.01 = 0.33
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.605%
(0.0100)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.483% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.631% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.825% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.897% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +7.901% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +7.901% | 1.0R | -2.738% | 0.4R | 2.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.901% | 1.0R | -12.061% | 1.6R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.901% | 1.0R | -15.818% | 2.1R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.901% | 1.0R | -15.818% | 2.1R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 384 min
MAE in 1324 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.