Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 56.47 NEAR at 3.881$ per unit. Take profit: 3.7842 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.0229 (3.65 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 13:15:17
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 13:15
→ 19:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 3.8812$
Qty 56.4729 NEAR
Size 219.1827$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 3.7842 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.48$
SL 4.0229 (-3.65%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.68
Status
win
PnL
+0.99%
/ +2.17$
MAE -0.53%
MFE +1.83%
0.5R
expires
03 Nov 19:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243462)
#55 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 13:00
score du 03/11/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1078
Quality Score
0.415
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#55 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#55 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.44×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.05×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.19
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
112.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 13:00
03/11 13:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7744
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
46.5%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→+0.031
Δ 4h
▼-0.376
Δ 12h
▲+0.132
Δ 24h
▲+0.354
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 55.8% |
| 1h | 20.9% |
| 4h | 39.5% |
| 24h | 69.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 62.8% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 27.9% | -0.19% |
| 24h | 58.1% | +1.24% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.3%
Down ≥1σ
4.7%
Expansion
7.0%
Tail ↑
+0.41
Tail ↓
+0.67
Dispersion :
0.138
Universe :
43
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 13:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2482
Score SMA
0.3329
Rank
#49
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2500
Rank Norm SMA
0.4560
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2216 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.86% · r3d: -9.90% · ema21_slope: -0.6907% · dist_ema21: -15.184% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2162 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -7.91% · rs_3d: -9.21% · beta_24h: 3.403 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2306 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: -0.716 · trend: -29.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5437 | ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.214% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4149
Score SMA
0.5042
Rank
#55
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1078
Rank Norm SMA
0.4562
Calculé le
03/11/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3017 | r1h: -0.096% · r4h: -1.426% · r1d: -2.35% · r3d: -15.01% · ema21_slope: -0.1284% · dist_ema21: -1.025% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3014 | rs_1h: 0.016% · rs_4h: -1.776% · rs_1d: -3.00% · rs_3d: -14.96% · beta_24h: 1.598 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4616 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 0.463 · trend: -2.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6031 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.488% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3835
Score SMA
0.4326
Rank
#59
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0948
Rank Norm SMA
0.3010
Calculé le
03/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2234 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.436% · r1d: -3.87% · r3d: -13.78% · ema21_slope: -0.5559% · dist_ema21: -5.961% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2334 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.186% · rs_1d: -4.09% · rs_3d: -13.92% · beta_24h: 1.654 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3393 | rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: -0.176 · trend: -13.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6887 | ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 38.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8695 | ATR%: 3.392% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.651%
(0.1417)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.832% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.832% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.832% | 0.5R | -0.528% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.832% | 0.5R | -0.528% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -0.528% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.828% | 1.3R | -1.726% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.828% | 1.3R | -10.154% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.421% | 1.8R | -10.154% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.599% | 1.8R | -10.154% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 524 min
MAE in 1254 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.95 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.65% | -0.83 | 03/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.68 | range_medium | -0.21% | -0.29 | 03/11 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.66 | range_low | +0.47% | -0.21 | 03/11 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489585
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.643 | compression | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 21b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.82 | 78% | ↓ -0.39 | below_value | -7.13 | — | #230407 | 0.51 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.95 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:22
|
|
4h
#495189
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.496 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 17b -2.0ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 1.14 | 33% | ↑ +0.41 | below_value | -7.90 | — | #232751 | 0.54 | bear_high | -2.65% | -0.83 |
03/11 07:00
upd 03/11 11:14
|
|
1h
anchor #495866
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.365 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 4b -0.7ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 1.54 | 73% | ↑ +0.20 | below_value | -8.34 | — | #233062 | 0.68 | range_medium | -0.21% | -0.29 |
03/11 12:00
upd 03/11 13:10
|
|
15m
#495804
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.433 | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 4b -0.3ATR | — | — | 0.76 | 52% | ↔ -0.13 | below_value | -8.15 | — | #232940 | 0.66 | range_low | +0.47% | -0.21 |
03/11 12:45
upd 03/11 13:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 4.55×ATR | p55 | -1.606×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 5.409×ATR | p83 | -2.044×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.792×ATR | p19 | -0.706×ATR | p44 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.193×ATR | p0 | -0.25×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 4.02286081
- tp_price: 3.78417
- atr: 0.05666432
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T00:15:17+00:00
Details
- rank: 61
- total: 64
- score: 0.2717
- delta_2h: -0.0195
- extension_atr: 0.14
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1057
- confidence: 0.952
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8812 | 4.0229 | 3.7842 | 0.68 | 3.2051 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.8812
- Stop Loss: 4.0229
- Take Profit: 3.7842
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.0229 - 3.8812 = 0.1417
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.8812 - 3.7842 = 0.097
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.097 / 0.1417 = 0.6845
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 219.1827 | 100 | 56.4729 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1417
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1417 = 56.46
Taille de position USD = 56.46 x 3.8812 = 219.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 56.46 avec un stoploss a 4.0229
Avec un position size USD de 219.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 56.46 x 0.1417 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 56.46 x 0.097 = 5.48
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.48$
Résumé
- Taille de position 56.46
- Taille de position USD 219.13
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.48
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6845
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.48 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.65 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.17 $ | 0.99 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5282 % | 14.47 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8812 | 4.0229 | 3.7842 | 0.68 | 3.2051 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.8812
- Stop Loss: 4.0229
- Take Profit: 3.7842
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.0229 - 3.8812 = 0.1417
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.8812 - 3.7842 = 0.097
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.097 / 0.1417 = 0.6845
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.651%
(0.1417)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.832% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.832% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.832% | 0.5R | -0.528% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.832% | 0.5R | -0.528% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.339% | 0.9R | -0.528% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.828% | 1.3R | -1.726% | 0.5R | 2.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.828% | 1.3R | -10.154% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.421% | 1.8R | -10.154% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.599% | 1.8R | -10.154% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 524 min
MAE in 1254 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.