Short Trade on FIL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 409.28 FIL at 0.847$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7977 (5.78 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8662 (2.32 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 20:11:52
hyperliquid
FIL
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 20:11
→ 02:25
· 6 hours
Position
Entry 0.8466$
Qty 409.2765 FIL
Size 346.4975$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7977 (+5.78%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.8662 (-2.32%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-2.32%
/ -8.02$
MAE -3.01%
MFE +2.59%
1.1R
expires
04 Nov 08:11
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#49 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#49 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 65
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.88×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
771,357 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 20:00
03/11 20:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7772
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
14.3%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.695
Δ 4h
▼-0.294
Δ 12h
▼-0.727
Δ 24h
▼-0.420
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 73.8% |
| 1h | 2.4% |
| 4h | 4.8% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 78.6% | +0.12% |
| 4h | 16.7% | -1.62% |
| 24h | 50.0% | +0.01% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
28.6%
Expansion
28.6%
Tail ↑
+0.33
Tail ↓
+0.53
Dispersion :
0.090
Universe :
42
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 20:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3163
Score SMA
0.3109
Rank
#30
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5469
Rank Norm SMA
0.3643
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2343 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.75% · r3d: 0.60% · ema21_slope: -0.9725% · dist_ema21: -8.000% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4888 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.19% · rs_3d: 1.28% · beta_24h: 2.470 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1751 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.785 · trend: -35.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5916 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.881% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.315%
(0.0196)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.712% | 0.3R | -0.442% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.592% | 1.1R | -0.442% | 0.2R | 5.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.592% | 1.1R | -0.595% | 0.3R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.592% | 1.1R | -2.900% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.592% | 1.1R | -3.012% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.592% | 1.1R | -6.781% | 2.9R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.592% | 1.1R | -6.781% | 2.9R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.356% | 3.6R | -6.781% | 2.9R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.356% | 3.6R | -6.781% | 2.9R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 108 min
MAE in 843 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.8
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.97 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 1h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489587
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.521 | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 22b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.55 | 69% | ↓ -0.49 | above_value | +0.70 | — | #230408 | 0.61 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.97 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:22
|
| 4h | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1h anchor | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 5.154×ATR | p79 | -1.229×ATR | p76 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7336
- reason: down_bo width=1.78×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.86615669
- tp_price: 0.79774327
- atr:
- score: 0.7336453583904
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T13:11:44.858337
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7336453583904
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.004
- obi_top10 : 0.0261
- micro_price : 0.84718218
- spread_pct : 0.011805
- mid_price : 0.84715
- bid_wall_price : 0.841
- bid_wall_size : 532337.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.849
- ask_wall_size : 471935.48
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0283
- obi_top5_std : 0.0201
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6984
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.87316
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.857385
- balance_zone_mid:
0.8652725
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793599200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793754000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7841
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7336
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793750400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.857385
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7273
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2186
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00884193 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.7273
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2186
Signaux confirmants (17)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:11 | 0.84661000 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 20:18 | 0.84661000 | +0.001% |
| 3 | 20:24 | 0.84661000 | +0.001% |
| 4 | 20:32 | 0.84661000 | +0.001% |
| 5 | 21:07 | 0.84493000 | -0.197% |
| 6 | 21:15 | 0.84493000 | -0.197% |
| 7 | 21:22 | 0.84493000 | -0.197% |
| 8 | 21:29 | 0.84493000 | -0.197% |
| 9 | 00:10 | 0.85057000 | +0.469% |
| 10 | 00:16 | 0.85057000 | +0.469% |
| 11 | 00:23 | 0.85057000 | +0.469% |
| 12 | 00:29 | 0.85057000 | +0.469% |
| 13 | 00:37 | 0.85083000 | +0.5% |
| 14 | 00:43 | 0.85083000 | +0.5% |
| 15 | 00:49 | 0.85083000 | +0.5% |
| 16 | 00:55 | 0.85083000 | +0.5% |
| 17 | 01:04 | 0.85083000 | +0.5% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6984ms
Confidence avant OB :
73%
→
73%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.004
avg -0.028
± 0.020
OBI Top 10
0.026
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.8472
Micro Price
0.8472
Spread
0.0118%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.8410
Size
532,337.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.8490
Size
471,935.48
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8466 | 0.8662 | 0.7977 | 2.49 | 0.6105 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8466
- Stop Loss: 0.8662
- Take Profit: 0.7977
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8662 - 0.8466 = 0.0196
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8466 - 0.7977 = 0.0489
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0489 / 0.0196 = 2.4949
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 346.4975 | 100 | 409.2765 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0196
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0196 = 408.16
Taille de position USD = 408.16 x 0.8466 = 345.55
Donc, tu peux acheter 408.16 avec un stoploss a 0.8662
Avec un position size USD de 345.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 408.16 x 0.0196 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 408.16 x 0.0489 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position 408.16
- Taille de position USD 345.55
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4949
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.78 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.32 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -2.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6506 % | 114.49 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8466 | 0.8662 | 0.7977 | 2.49 | 0.6105 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8466
- Stop Loss: 0.8662
- Take Profit: 0.7977
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8662 - 0.8466 = 0.0196
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8466 - 0.7977 = 0.0489
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0489 / 0.0196 = 2.4949
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.315%
(0.0196)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.712% | 0.3R | -0.442% | 0.2R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.592% | 1.1R | -0.442% | 0.2R | 5.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.592% | 1.1R | -0.595% | 0.3R | 4.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.592% | 1.1R | -2.900% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.592% | 1.1R | -3.012% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.592% | 1.1R | -6.781% | 2.9R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.592% | 1.1R | -6.781% | 2.9R | 0.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.356% | 3.6R | -6.781% | 2.9R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.356% | 3.6R | -6.781% | 2.9R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 108 min
MAE in 843 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.