Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 684.93 PONS at 0.2$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1952 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2119 (5.84 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 20:15:06
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 20:15
→ 22:00
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.2002$
Qty 684.9251 PONS
Size 137.1014$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1952 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.42$
SL 0.2119 (-5.84%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.43
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.42$
MAE -9.49%
MFE +4.52%
0.8R
expires
04 Nov 02:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 244087)
#59 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 20:00
score du 03/11/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0619
Quality Score
0.328
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#59 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.77×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.62
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
8.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 20:02
03/11 20:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 02/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7772
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
14.3%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.695
Δ 4h
▼-0.294
Δ 12h
▼-0.727
Δ 24h
▼-0.420
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 73.8% |
| 1h | 2.4% |
| 4h | 4.8% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 78.6% | +0.12% |
| 4h | 16.7% | -1.62% |
| 24h | 50.0% | +0.01% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
28.6%
Expansion
28.6%
Tail ↑
+0.33
Tail ↓
+0.53
Dispersion :
0.090
Universe :
42
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 20:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1732
Score SMA
0.2231
Rank
#58
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1175
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0568 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.23% · r3d: -12.37% · ema21_slope: -1.7506% · dist_ema21: -24.662% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1244 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.05% · rs_3d: -12.24% · beta_24h: 4.166 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2647 | rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: -0.685 · trend: -68.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4807 | ADX: 24.6 (weak) · Chop: 66.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.000% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3282
Score SMA
0.4922
Rank
#59
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0619
Rank Norm SMA
0.3650
Calculé le
03/11/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3026 | r1h: -0.742% · r4h: -0.208% · r1d: -3.40% · r3d: -13.34% · ema21_slope: -0.1205% · dist_ema21: -0.951% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3410 | rs_1h: -0.475% · rs_4h: 0.574% · rs_1d: -3.55% · rs_3d: -12.81% · beta_24h: 2.068 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1761 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.358 · trend: -65.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4696 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 71.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.317% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3111
Score SMA
0.4099
Rank
#58
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0259
Rank Norm SMA
0.2681
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2607 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.113% · r1d: -1.23% · r3d: -12.37% · ema21_slope: -0.7600% · dist_ema21: -7.213% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2768 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.313% · rs_1d: -2.05% · rs_3d: -12.24% · beta_24h: 4.431 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1824 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.854 · trend: -20.49% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6849 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 36.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2451 | ATR%: 5.265% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.844%
(0.0117)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.099% | 0.2R | -2.063% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -2.063% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -2.063% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.516% | 0.8R | -9.491% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -10.999% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -12.867% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -15.999% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.049% | 1.9R | -16.204% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.049% | 1.9R | -16.204% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 109 min
MAE in 839 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.22
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | — | range_high | -0.41% | -1.00 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.83 | 03/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.61 | range_medium | -0.70% | -0.23 | 03/11 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.58 | range_low | -0.26% | +0.08 | 03/11 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#497988
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | 1.19 | 28% | ↔ -0.13 | value | -6.86 | inside | #233868 | — | range_high | -0.41% | -1.00 |
02/11 19:00
upd 03/11 19:23
|
|
4h
#497890
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.723 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 26b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 4% | ↑ +0.50 | value | -6.86 | inside | #233868 | 0.41 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.83 |
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:18
|
|
1h
anchor #498236
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.405 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 3b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.29 | 29% | ↓ -0.81 | value | -7.96 | — | #234047 | 0.61 | range_medium | -0.70% | -0.23 |
03/11 19:00
upd 03/11 20:10
|
|
15m
#498174
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.422 | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 1b -0.7ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.57 | 13% | ↑ +0.22 | value | -6.86 | — | #233868 | 0.58 | range_low | -0.26% | +0.08 |
03/11 19:45
upd 03/11 20:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 26b | — | 4.199×ATR | p59 | -1.529×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.252×ATR | p4 | -0.463×ATR | p26 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.914×ATR | p31 | -0.676×ATR | p34 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.21185011
- tp_price: 0.19516575
- atr: 0.00467204
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T07:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 60
- total: 61
- score: 0.2253
- delta_2h: -0.1448
- extension_atr: -0.68
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0619
- confidence: 0.983
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2002 | 0.2119 | 0.1952 | 0.43 | 0.12 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2002
- Stop Loss: 0.2119
- Take Profit: 0.1952
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2119 - 0.2002 = 0.0117
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2002 - 0.1952 = 0.005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.005 / 0.0117 = 0.4274
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137.1014 | 100 | 684.9251 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0117
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0117 = 683.76
Taille de position USD = 683.76 x 0.2002 = 136.89
Donc, tu peux acheter 683.76 avec un stoploss a 0.2119
Avec un position size USD de 136.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 683.76 x 0.0117 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 683.76 x 0.005 = 3.42
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.42$
Résumé
- Taille de position 683.76
- Taille de position USD 136.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.42
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4274
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.42 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.84 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.42 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0629 % | 35.3 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2002 | 0.2119 | 0.1952 | 0.43 | 0.12 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2002
- Stop Loss: 0.2119
- Take Profit: 0.1952
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2119 - 0.2002 = 0.0117
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2002 - 0.1952 = 0.005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.005 / 0.0117 = 0.4274
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1768
[stop_loss] => 0.2119
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.17095
[stop_loss] => 0.2119
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1651
[stop_loss] => 0.2119
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.15925
[stop_loss] => 0.2119
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1534
[stop_loss] => 0.2119
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.14755
[stop_loss] => 0.2119
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1417
[stop_loss] => 0.2119
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.13585
[stop_loss] => 0.2119
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.13
[stop_loss] => 0.2119
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.12415
[stop_loss] => 0.2119
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1183
[stop_loss] => 0.2119
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.844%
(0.0117)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.099% | 0.2R | -2.063% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -2.063% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -2.063% | 0.4R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.516% | 0.8R | -9.491% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -10.999% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -12.867% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.516% | 0.8R | -15.999% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.049% | 1.9R | -16.204% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.049% | 1.9R | -16.204% | 2.8R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 109 min
MAE in 839 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.