Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 369.09 ETHFI at 0.566$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5519 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5877 (3.82 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 20:15:07
hyperliquid
ETHFI
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 20:15
→ 02:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.5661$
Qty 369.0873 ETHFI
Size 208.9292$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5519 (+2.51%)
TP $ 5.24$
SL 0.5877 (-3.82%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.66
Status
loss
PnL
-3.44%
/ -7.19$
MAE -3.80%
MFE +2.24%
0.6R
expires
04 Nov 02:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 244060)
#49 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 20:00
score du 03/11/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3018
Quality Score
0.476
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#49 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 59
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.28×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.84×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.29×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.62
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 20:01
03/11 20:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 02/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7772
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
14.3%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.695
Δ 4h
▼-0.294
Δ 12h
▼-0.727
Δ 24h
▼-0.420
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 73.8% |
| 1h | 2.4% |
| 4h | 4.8% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 78.6% | +0.12% |
| 4h | 16.7% | -1.62% |
| 24h | 50.0% | +0.01% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
28.6%
Expansion
28.6%
Tail ↑
+0.33
Tail ↓
+0.53
Dispersion :
0.090
Universe :
42
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 20:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2318
Score SMA
0.2934
Rank
#56
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0351
Rank Norm SMA
0.2835
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1942 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.20% · r3d: -7.65% · ema21_slope: -0.5547% · dist_ema21: -10.084% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3212 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.62% · rs_3d: -7.52% · beta_24h: 2.573 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1376 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -1.085 · trend: -49.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4381 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 62.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.299% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4762
Score SMA
0.5233
Rank
#49
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3018
Rank Norm SMA
0.5715
Calculé le
03/11/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4020 | r1h: -0.899% · r4h: -0.267% · r1d: -0.87% · r3d: -8.56% · ema21_slope: -0.0339% · dist_ema21: -1.308% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4048 | rs_1h: -0.632% · rs_4h: 0.514% · rs_1d: -1.02% · rs_3d: -8.03% · beta_24h: 1.831 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6519 | rvol_20: 2.45× · zscore_50: 0.528 · trend: 28.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6341 | ADX: 20.7 (weak) · Chop: 42.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.527% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4335
Score SMA
0.4869
Rank
#47
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2083
Rank Norm SMA
0.5571
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2838 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.582% · r1d: 0.20% · r3d: -7.65% · ema21_slope: -0.3837% · dist_ema21: -3.174% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3892 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.782% · rs_1d: -0.62% · rs_3d: -7.52% · beta_24h: 1.773 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3295 | rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: -0.105 · trend: -19.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5678 | ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.791% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.816%
(0.0216)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.908% | 0.2R | -0.655% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.236% | 0.6R | -0.655% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.236% | 0.6R | -1.341% | 0.4R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.236% | 0.6R | -3.803% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.236% | 0.6R | -4.897% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.236% | 0.6R | -5.854% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.236% | 0.6R | -9.944% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.741% | 2.3R | -9.944% | 2.6R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.741% | 2.3R | -9.944% | 2.6R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 104 min
MAE in 839 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.15
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.56 | range_high | -0.41% | -0.46 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.76 | 03/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.71 | range_medium | -0.70% | -0.18 | 03/11 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | -0.26% | -0.05 | 03/11 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#497931
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.528 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 35b -1.4ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.55 | 40% | ↓ -0.35 | above_value | -4.36 | — | #233841 | 0.56 | range_high | -0.41% | -0.46 |
02/11 19:00
upd 03/11 19:20
|
|
4h
#497812
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.389 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 19b -1.3ATR | near -1.8ATR | — | 1.10 | 43% | ↑ +0.47 | above_value | -4.36 | inside | #233841 | 0.64 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.76 |
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:14
|
|
1h
anchor #498208
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.474 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 1b -0.8ATR | near -1.3ATR | — | 2.45 | 89% | ↑ +0.56 | value | -4.47 | — | #234020 | 0.71 | range_medium | -0.70% | -0.18 |
03/11 19:00
upd 03/11 20:09
|
|
15m
#498147
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.403 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 1b -1.7ATR | — | — | 0.07 | 11% | ↑ +0.20 | above_value | -4.36 | — | #233841 | 0.65 | range_low | -0.26% | -0.05 |
03/11 19:45
upd 03/11 20:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 35b | — | 4.565×ATR | p59 | -1.35×ATR | p76 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 19b | — | 4.316×ATR | p71 | -1.289×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.579×ATR | p8 | -0.776×ATR | p45 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.694×ATR | p12 | -1.71×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.58774509
- tp_price: 0.55191825
- atr: 0.00867004
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T07:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 58
- total: 61
- score: 0.3358
- delta_2h: -0.1076
- extension_atr: -1.37
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2759
- confidence: 0.95
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5661 | 0.5877 | 0.5519 | 0.66 | 0.4963 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5661
- Stop Loss: 0.5877
- Take Profit: 0.5519
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5877 - 0.5661 = 0.0216
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5661 - 0.5519 = 0.0142
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0142 / 0.0216 = 0.6574
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 208.9292 | 100 | 369.0873 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0216
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0216 = 370.37
Taille de position USD = 370.37 x 0.5661 = 209.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 370.37 avec un stoploss a 0.5877
Avec un position size USD de 209.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 370.37 x 0.0216 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 370.37 x 0.0142 = 5.26
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.26$
Résumé
- Taille de position 370.37
- Taille de position USD 209.67
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.26
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6574
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 5.24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.82 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.19 $ | -3.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8032 % | 99.68 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5661 | 0.5877 | 0.5519 | 0.66 | 0.4963 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5661
- Stop Loss: 0.5877
- Take Profit: 0.5519
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5877 - 0.5661 = 0.0216
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5661 - 0.5519 = 0.0142
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0142 / 0.0216 = 0.6574
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.816%
(0.0216)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.908% | 0.2R | -0.655% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.236% | 0.6R | -0.655% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.236% | 0.6R | -1.341% | 0.4R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.236% | 0.6R | -3.803% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.236% | 0.6R | -4.897% | 1.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.236% | 0.6R | -5.854% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.236% | 0.6R | -9.944% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.741% | 2.3R | -9.944% | 2.6R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.741% | 2.3R | -9.944% | 2.6R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 104 min
MAE in 839 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.