Short Trade on TIA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 590.56 TIA at 0.426$ per unit. Take profit: 0.415 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4392 (3.2 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 20:15:08
hyperliquid
TIA
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 20:15
→ 00:35
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.4256$
Qty 590.5619 TIA
Size 251.355$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.415 (+2.49%)
TP $ 6.26$
SL 0.4392 (-3.2%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.78
Status
loss
PnL
-3.20%
/ -8.03$
MAE -6.96%
MFE +1.05%
0.3R
expires
04 Nov 02:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 244052)
#44 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 20:00
score du 03/11/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3167
Quality Score
0.497
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 59
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.02×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.73×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.62
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 20:00
03/11 20:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 02/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7772
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
14.3%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.695
Δ 4h
▼-0.294
Δ 12h
▼-0.727
Δ 24h
▼-0.420
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 73.8% |
| 1h | 2.4% |
| 4h | 4.8% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 78.6% | +0.12% |
| 4h | 16.7% | -1.62% |
| 24h | 50.0% | +0.01% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
28.6%
Expansion
28.6%
Tail ↑
+0.33
Tail ↓
+0.53
Dispersion :
0.090
Universe :
42
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 20:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2765
Score SMA
0.3482
Rank
#48
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1754
Rank Norm SMA
0.4969
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2662 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.55% · r3d: -8.47% · ema21_slope: -0.7798% · dist_ema21: -15.491% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2980 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.37% · rs_3d: -8.34% · beta_24h: 2.076 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1593 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.610 · trend: -58.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6019 | ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.378% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4970
Score SMA
0.4782
Rank
#44
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3167
Rank Norm SMA
0.3151
Calculé le
03/11/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3456 | r1h: -0.856% · r4h: -0.079% · r1d: -3.05% · r3d: -9.38% · ema21_slope: -0.1473% · dist_ema21: -1.612% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3763 | rs_1h: -0.589% · rs_4h: 0.702% · rs_1d: -3.21% · rs_3d: -8.85% · beta_24h: 0.550 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4711 | rvol_20: 1.15× · zscore_50: 0.296 · trend: 60.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7000 | ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 38.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.267% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4452
Score SMA
0.3949
Rank
#43
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2094
Rank Norm SMA
0.1714
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2452 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.739% · r1d: -2.55% · r3d: -8.47% · ema21_slope: -0.4909% · dist_ema21: -5.001% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3141 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.939% · rs_1d: -3.37% · rs_3d: -8.34% · beta_24h: 1.451 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4675 | rvol_20: 1.96× · zscore_50: 0.116 · trend: -29.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6644 | ADX: 32.7 (trend) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.870% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.196%
(0.0136)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.592% | 0.2R | -1.403% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.046% | 0.3R | -1.403% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.046% | 0.3R | -2.129% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.046% | 0.3R | -6.960% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.046% | 0.3R | -6.960% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.046% | 0.3R | -6.960% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.046% | 0.3R | -10.566% | 3.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.096% | 1.6R | -10.566% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.096% | 1.6R | -10.566% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 104 min
MAE in 829 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.79
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.59 | range_high | -0.41% | -0.96 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.84 | 03/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.53 | range_medium | -0.70% | -0.27 | 03/11 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.58 | range_low | -0.26% | +0.03 | 03/11 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#497916
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.668 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 17b -2.0ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.20 | 58% | ↓ -0.87 | value | -8.19 | — | #233834 | 0.59 | range_high | -0.41% | -0.96 |
02/11 19:00
upd 03/11 19:20
|
|
4h
#497798
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.518 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 19b -2.2ATR | near -1.1ATR | — | 1.96 | 48% | ↔ -0.03 | value | -8.19 | — | #233834 | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.84 |
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:13
|
|
1h
anchor #498200
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.617 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 1b -1.2ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 1.15 | 65% | ↑ +0.79 | below_value | -8.16 | inside | #234012 | 0.53 | range_medium | -0.70% | -0.27 |
03/11 19:00
upd 03/11 20:09
|
|
15m
#498140
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.422 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 1b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.25 | 54% | ↑ +0.31 | value | -8.19 | — | #233834 | 0.58 | range_low | -0.26% | +0.03 |
03/11 19:45
upd 03/11 20:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 6.758×ATR | p92 | -2.019×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 4.663×ATR | p79 | -2.198×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.779×ATR | p18 | -1.176×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.805×ATR | p13 | -0.841×ATR | p37 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.43916642
- tp_price: 0.4149795
- atr: 0.00541857
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T07:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 57
- total: 61
- score: 0.3456
- delta_2h: -0.0126
- extension_atr: -1.8
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3339
- confidence: 0.933
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4256 | 0.4392 | 0.415 | 0.78 | 0.3587 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4256
- Stop Loss: 0.4392
- Take Profit: 0.415
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4392 - 0.4256 = 0.0136
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4256 - 0.415 = 0.0106
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0106 / 0.0136 = 0.7794
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 251.355 | 100 | 590.5619 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0136
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0136 = 588.24
Taille de position USD = 588.24 x 0.4256 = 250.35
Donc, tu peux acheter 588.24 avec un stoploss a 0.4392
Avec un position size USD de 250.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 588.24 x 0.0136 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 588.24 x 0.0106 = 6.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.24$
Résumé
- Taille de position 588.24
- Taille de position USD 250.35
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.24
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7794
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 6.26 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.2 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -3.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.2049 % | 100.29 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4256 | 0.4392 | 0.415 | 0.78 | 0.3587 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4256
- Stop Loss: 0.4392
- Take Profit: 0.415
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4392 - 0.4256 = 0.0136
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4256 - 0.415 = 0.0106
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0106 / 0.0136 = 0.7794
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.415
[entry_price] => 0.4256
[stop_loss] => 0.44056
[rr_ratio] => 0.71
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.415
[entry_price] => 0.4256
[stop_loss] => 0.44192
[rr_ratio] => 0.65
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.415
[entry_price] => 0.4256
[stop_loss] => 0.44328
[rr_ratio] => 0.6
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.415
[entry_price] => 0.4256
[stop_loss] => 0.446
[rr_ratio] => 0.52
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.196%
(0.0136)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.592% | 0.2R | -1.403% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.046% | 0.3R | -1.403% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.046% | 0.3R | -2.129% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.046% | 0.3R | -6.960% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.046% | 0.3R | -6.960% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.046% | 0.3R | -6.960% | 2.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.046% | 0.3R | -10.566% | 3.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.096% | 1.6R | -10.566% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.096% | 1.6R | -10.566% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 104 min
MAE in 829 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.