Short Trade on TRUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 139.67 TRUMP at 1.523$ per unit. Take profit: 1.4847 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.5801 (3.76 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 21:15:08
hyperliquid
TRUMP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 21:15
→ 21:40
· 24 minutes
Position
Entry 1.5228$
Qty 139.6721 TRUMP
Size 212.6927$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.4847 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.32$
SL 1.5801 (-3.76%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.66
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +5.32$
MAE -0.81%
MFE +3.07%
0.8R
expires
04 Nov 03:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 244128)
#52 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 21:00
score du 03/11/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3032
Quality Score
0.457
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#52 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#52 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.98×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.27×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.53×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.60
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 21:02
03/11 21:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 02/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7776
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
8.9%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.054
Δ 4h
▼-0.667
Δ 12h
▼-0.752
Δ 24h
▼-0.085
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 84.4% |
| 1h | 4.4% |
| 4h | 2.2% |
| 24h | 51.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 71.1% | +0.17% |
| 4h | 13.3% | -2.60% |
| 24h | 55.6% | +0.02% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
48.9%
Expansion
48.9%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.82
Dispersion :
0.124
Universe :
45
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 21:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3240
Score SMA
0.3480
Rank
#28
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5263
Rank Norm SMA
0.4930
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2149 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.96% · r3d: 0.73% · ema21_slope: -0.6847% · dist_ema21: -7.362% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4148 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.78% · rs_3d: 0.86% · beta_24h: 2.206 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3315 | rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: -0.295 · trend: -8.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5966 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 51.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.828% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.4571
Score SMA
0.5215
Rank
#52
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3032
Rank Norm SMA
0.4746
Calculé le
03/11/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3480 | r1h: -0.277% · r4h: -4.771% · r1d: -5.02% · r3d: -4.30% · ema21_slope: -0.1082% · dist_ema21: -4.092% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3337 | rs_1h: -0.007% · rs_4h: -3.658% · rs_1d: -4.90% · rs_3d: -3.43% · beta_24h: 1.618 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5951 | rvol_20: 1.93× · zscore_50: 0.375 · trend: 56.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6987 | ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 33.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.557% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4915
Score SMA
0.5233
Rank
#24
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5517
Rank Norm SMA
0.6214
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4169 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.616% · r1d: -0.96% · r3d: 0.73% · ema21_slope: -0.0956% · dist_ema21: -1.714% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4848 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.816% · rs_1d: -1.78% · rs_3d: 0.86% · beta_24h: 2.141 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2901 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: 0.071 · trend: -10.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5814 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 45.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.872% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.763%
(0.0573)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.073% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.073% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +3.073% | 0.8R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.073% | 0.8R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.874% | 1.0R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 4.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.749% | 2.1R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 9.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +20.226% | 5.4R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 24.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +27.062% | 7.2R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 33.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +27.062% | 7.2R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 33.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 934 min
MAE in 214 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | normal | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.48 | range_high | -0.41% | -0.82 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -2.83% | +0.02 | 03/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.62 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.45 | 03/11 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
ranging_calm 56% | late | — | — | 0.41 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.37 | 03/11 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#497950
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.577 | normal | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 66b -1.1ATR | — | — | 1.10 | 56% | ↑ +0.31 | above_value | +0.48 | — | #233850 | 0.48 | range_high | -0.41% | -0.82 |
02/11 19:00
upd 03/11 19:22
|
|
4h
#497830
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.483 | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 11b -0.6ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.70 | 83% | ↑ +0.71 | above_value | +0.48 | — | #233850 | 0.67 | bear_high | -2.83% | +0.02 |
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:14
|
|
1h
anchor #498529
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.753 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 2b -2.7ATR | — | — | 1.93 | 87% | ↑ +0.62 | below_value | -3.63 | inside | #234150 | 0.62 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.45 |
03/11 20:00
upd 03/11 21:11
|
|
15m
#498468
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.514 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
ranging_calm 56% | late 9b -3.5ATR | — | — | 0.12 | 19% | ↑ +0.19 | below_value | -3.02 | — | #234029 | 0.41 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.37 |
03/11 20:45
upd 03/11 21:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 66b | — | 11.95×ATR | p92 | -1.064×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.946×ATR | p66 | -0.559×ATR | p40 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 3.701×ATR | p66 | -2.746×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 7.799×ATR | p96 | -3.472×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.58007701
- tp_price: 1.48473
- atr: 0.0229108
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T08:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 56
- total: 60
- score: 0.3203
- delta_2h: -0.1515
- extension_atr: -2.22
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2672
- confidence: 0.932
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5228 | 1.5801 | 1.4847 | 0.66 | 0.9527 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.5228
- Stop Loss: 1.5801
- Take Profit: 1.4847
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.5801 - 1.5228 = 0.0573
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5228 - 1.4847 = 0.0381
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0381 / 0.0573 = 0.6649
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 212.6927 | 100 | 139.6721 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0573
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0573 = 139.62
Taille de position USD = 139.62 x 1.5228 = 212.61
Donc, tu peux acheter 139.62 avec un stoploss a 1.5801
Avec un position size USD de 212.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 139.62 x 0.0573 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 139.62 x 0.0381 = 5.32
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.32$
Résumé
- Taille de position 139.62
- Taille de position USD 212.61
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.32
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6649
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.32 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.76 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.32 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5228 | 1.5801 | 1.4847 | 0.66 | 0.9527 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.5228
- Stop Loss: 1.5801
- Take Profit: 1.4847
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.5801 - 1.5228 = 0.0573
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.5228 - 1.4847 = 0.0381
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0381 / 0.0573 = 0.6649
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.763%
(0.0573)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.073% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.073% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +3.073% | 0.8R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.073% | 0.8R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.874% | 1.0R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 4.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.749% | 2.1R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 9.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +20.226% | 5.4R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 24.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +27.062% | 7.2R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 33.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +27.062% | 7.2R | -0.814% | 0.2R | 33.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 934 min
MAE in 214 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.