Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 278.93 GRASS at 0.554$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5406 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5832 (5.18 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 21:15:08
hyperliquid
GRASS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 21:15
→ 21:55
· 39 minutes
Position
Entry 0.5545$
Qty 278.9268 GRASS
Size 154.6593$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5406 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.88$
SL 0.5832 (-5.18%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.48
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +3.88$
MAE -9.40%
MFE +4.07%
0.8R
expires
04 Nov 03:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 244121)
#42 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 21:00
score du 03/11/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5330
Quality Score
0.486
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#42 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#42 / 60
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.29×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.75×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.59×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.60
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 21:02
03/11 21:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 02/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 20:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7776
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.57
Transition risk :
0.43
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
8.9%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.054
Δ 4h
▼-0.667
Δ 12h
▼-0.752
Δ 24h
▼-0.085
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 84.4% |
| 1h | 4.4% |
| 4h | 2.2% |
| 24h | 51.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 71.1% | +0.17% |
| 4h | 13.3% | -2.60% |
| 24h | 55.6% | +0.02% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
48.9%
Expansion
48.9%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.82
Dispersion :
0.124
Universe :
45
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.74
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 21:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2857
Score SMA
0.3909
Rank
#40
/ 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3158
Rank Norm SMA
0.5951
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3319 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.82% · r3d: -2.73% · ema21_slope: -0.2499% · dist_ema21: -9.799% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3192 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: -2.60% · beta_24h: 3.440 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1672 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.684 · trend: -46.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4859 | ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 60.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 13.059% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.4858
Score SMA
0.4917
Rank
#42
/ 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5330
Rank Norm SMA
0.3536
Calculé le
03/11/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3061 | r1h: -2.610% · r4h: -4.823% · r1d: -1.76% · r3d: -6.47% · ema21_slope: -0.0186% · dist_ema21: -3.434% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2579 | rs_1h: -2.341% · rs_4h: -3.710% · rs_1d: -1.65% · rs_3d: -5.60% · beta_24h: 2.889 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 3.38× · zscore_50: 3.619 · trend: 100.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6026 | ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 43.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.105% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3954
Score SMA
0.4216
Rank
#55
/ 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1379
Rank Norm SMA
0.2552
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2957 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.166% · r1d: 0.82% · r3d: -2.73% · ema21_slope: -0.3571% · dist_ema21: -2.359% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3541 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.034% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: -2.60% · beta_24h: 2.819 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3302 | rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: -0.281 · trend: -22.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5194 | ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7420 | ATR%: 3.774% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.176%
(0.0287)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -4.570% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.072% | 0.8R | -9.398% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -9.657% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -9.657% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -11.306% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +13.592% | 2.6R | -11.306% | 2.2R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.592% | 2.6R | -11.306% | 2.2R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 44 min
MAE in 799 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.48
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.44 | range_high | -0.41% | -0.40 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -2.8ATR | — | 0.40 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.40 | 03/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.59 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.23 | 03/11 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.58 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.24 | 03/11 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#497935
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.519 | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 6b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.55 | 61% | ↓ -0.23 | above_value | -1.75 | — | #233843 | 0.44 | range_high | -0.41% | -0.40 |
02/11 19:00
upd 03/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#497816
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.635 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 7b -0.6ATR | near -2.8ATR | — | 1.20 | 32% | ↑ +0.58 | above_value | -1.75 | — | #233843 | 0.40 | bear_high | -2.83% | -0.40 |
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:14
|
|
1h
anchor #498522
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.554 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 4b -1.6ATR | near -1.3ATR | — | 3.38 | 94% | ↑ +0.72 | value | -3.99 | inside | #234143 | 0.59 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.23 |
03/11 20:00
upd 03/11 21:11
|
|
15m
#498461
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.373 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 3b -2.4ATR | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.50 | 62% | ↑ +0.37 | value | -3.09 | — | #234022 | 0.58 | range_low | -0.48% | -0.24 |
03/11 20:45
upd 03/11 21:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.786×ATR | p19 | -0.853×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.095×ATR | p0 | -0.635×ATR | p34 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.842×ATR | p63 | -1.596×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.813×ATR | p62 | -2.432×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.58316136
- tp_price: 0.540618
- atr: 0.01147255
- expires_at: 2026-11-04T08:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 57
- total: 60
- score: 0.315
- delta_2h: -0.1185
- extension_atr: -0.79
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4906
- confidence: 0.949
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5545 | 0.5832 | 0.5406 | 0.48 | 0.4003 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5545
- Stop Loss: 0.5832
- Take Profit: 0.5406
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5832 - 0.5545 = 0.0287
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5545 - 0.5406 = 0.0139
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0139 / 0.0287 = 0.4843
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 154.6593 | 100 | 278.9268 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0287
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0287 = 278.75
Taille de position USD = 278.75 x 0.5545 = 154.57
Donc, tu peux acheter 278.75 avec un stoploss a 0.5832
Avec un position size USD de 154.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 278.75 x 0.0287 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 278.75 x 0.0139 = 3.87
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.87$
Résumé
- Taille de position 278.75
- Taille de position USD 154.57
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.87
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4843
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.88 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.18 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.88 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5545 | 0.5832 | 0.5406 | 0.48 | 0.4003 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5545
- Stop Loss: 0.5832
- Take Profit: 0.5406
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5832 - 0.5545 = 0.0287
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5545 - 0.5406 = 0.0139
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0139 / 0.0287 = 0.4843
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4971
[stop_loss] => 0.5832
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.48275
[stop_loss] => 0.5832
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4684
[stop_loss] => 0.5832
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.45405
[stop_loss] => 0.5832
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4397
[stop_loss] => 0.5832
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.42535
[stop_loss] => 0.5832
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.411
[stop_loss] => 0.5832
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.39665
[stop_loss] => 0.5832
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3823
[stop_loss] => 0.5832
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.36795
[stop_loss] => 0.5832
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3536
[stop_loss] => 0.5832
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-11-04 06:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.176%
(0.0287)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -4.570% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.072% | 0.8R | -9.398% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -9.657% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -9.657% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.072% | 0.8R | -11.306% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +13.592% | 2.6R | -11.306% | 2.2R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.592% | 2.6R | -11.306% | 2.2R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 44 min
MAE in 799 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.