28 Jul 2026 at 07:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on FET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1810.61 FET at 0.14$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1369 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1448 (3.13 %)

FET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Jul 2026 07:10 → 07:15 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 0.1404$

Qty 1810.6061 FET

Size 254.1367$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1369 (+2.49%)

TP $ 6.34$

SL 0.1448 (-3.13%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.8

Status win PnL +0.10% / +0.25$ MAE -0.57% MFE +2.18% 0.7R expires 28 Jul 07:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=44 <= threshold=47/57

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 50895)
#44 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3922

Quality Score
0.455
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#44 / 57
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near -2.13×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 07:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

27/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

28/07 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/07 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1115
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

—

range

0

Operational bear

—

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.59
Snapshot évalué : 28/07 07:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 28/07/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4547
Score SMA
0.4667
Rank
#44 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3922
Rank Norm SMA
0.2170
Calculé le
28/07/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2565 r1h: 0.355% · r4h: -0.759% · r1d: -9.43% · r3d: -6.43% · ema21_slope: -0.3946% · dist_ema21: -2.685%
Force Relative 25% 0.3649 rs_1h: 0.158% · rs_4h: -0.567% · rs_1d: -6.67% · rs_3d: -5.58% · beta_24h: 2.045
Volume 20% 0.2170 rvol_20: 0.07× · zscore_50: -0.490 · trend: -12.78%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9544 ADX: 54.5 (trend) · Chop: 36.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.134% (0.0044)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.114% 0.0R -0.570% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.171% 0.1R -0.570% 0.2R 0.3× 24
4h ★ +2.180% 0.7R -0.570% 0.2R 3.8× 48
8h +2.180% 0.7R -1.831% 0.6R 1.2× 96
12h +2.180% 0.7R -1.831% 0.6R 1.2× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 41% late near -2.1ATR — 0.59 bear_high -6.29% -0.89 27/07 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 51% late — — 0.71 bear_high -1.65% -0.53 28/07 04:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.60 bear_medium -1.57% -0.46 28/07 06:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_medium
60%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.56 bear_low -0.77% -0.03 28/07 06:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 57b — 18×ATR p100 -1.635×ATR p96
4h ↓ down late 7b — 6.587×ATR p96 -2.043×ATR p99
1h ↓ down early 3b — 1.173×ATR p0 -0.391×ATR p38
15m ↓ down early 7b — 1.984×ATR p20 -0.111×ATR p8

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.14477841
  2. tp_price: 0.136851
  3. atr: 0.00176736
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-28T17:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 57
  2. total: 57
  3. score: 0.2565
  4. delta_2h: -0.0322
  5. extension_atr: -2.3
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3922
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1404 0.1448 0.1369 0.8 0.1329
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1404
  • Stop Loss: 0.1448
  • Take Profit: 0.1369

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1448 - 0.1404 = 0.0044

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1404 - 0.1369 = 0.0035

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0035 / 0.0044 = 0.7955

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
254.1367 100 1810.6061 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0044

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0044 = 1818.18

Taille de position USD = 1818.18 x 0.1404 = 255.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 1818.18 avec un stoploss a 0.1448

Avec un position size USD de 255.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0044 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0035 = 6.36

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.36$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1818.18
  • Taille de position USD 255.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.36
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7955

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 6.34 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.13 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
0.25 $ 0.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1404 0.1448 0.1369 0.8 0.1329
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1404
  • Stop Loss: 0.1448
  • Take Profit: 0.1369

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1448 - 0.1404 = 0.0044

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1404 - 0.1369 = 0.0035

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0035 / 0.0044 = 0.7955

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.134% (0.0044)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.114% 0.0R -0.570% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.171% 0.1R -0.570% 0.2R 0.3× 24
4h ★ +2.180% 0.7R -0.570% 0.2R 3.8× 48
8h +2.180% 0.7R -1.831% 0.6R 1.2× 96
12h +2.180% 0.7R -1.831% 0.6R 1.2× 144

computed 3 months ago

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