Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 472.73 JTO at 0.558$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5445 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5754 (3.04 %)
Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 472.73 JTO at 0.558$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5445 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5754 (3.04 %)
Position
Entry 0.5584$
Qty 472.7255 JTO
Size 263.9936$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5445 (+2.49%)
TP $ 6.57$
SL 0.5754 (-3.04%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 0.82
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2915
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.30×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.12×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 06:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2662 | r1h: -0.667% · r4h: -1.164% · r1d: -11.07% · r3d: -5.67% · ema21_slope: -0.2797% · dist_ema21: -2.263% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2998 | rs_1h: -0.864% · rs_4h: -0.972% · rs_1d: -8.30% · rs_3d: -4.81% · beta_24h: 1.402 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4717 | rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: 0.275 · trend: 12.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6199 | ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 55.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.275% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.748% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.748% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.459% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.459% | 0.8R | -0.652% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.470% | 0.8R | -0.652% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.717% | 1.6R | -0.652% | 0.2R | 7.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_high |
32%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -6.29% | -0.88 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.33 | bear_high | -1.65% | -0.56 | 28/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.27 | bear_medium | -1.57% | -0.43 | 28/07 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bear_low | -0.77% | -0.04 | 28/07 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 32b | — | 5.899×ATR | p56 | -0.574×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 4.388×ATR | p68 | -0.962×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.828×ATR | p10 | -0.647×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.999×ATR | p33 | -0.565×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5584 | 0.5754 | 0.5445 | 0.82 | 0.2678 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5754 - 0.5584 = 0.017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5584 - 0.5445 = 0.0139
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0139 / 0.017 = 0.8176
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 263.9936 | 100 | 472.7255 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.017 = 470.59
Taille de position USD = 470.59 x 0.5584 = 262.78
Donc, tu peux acheter 470.59 avec un stoploss a 0.5754
Avec un position size USD de 262.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 470.59 x 0.017 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 470.59 x 0.0139 = 6.54
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.54$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 6.57 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.04 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.95 $ | 0.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6519 % | 21.41 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5584 | 0.5754 | 0.5445 | 0.82 | 0.2678 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5754 - 0.5584 = 0.017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5584 - 0.5445 = 0.0139
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0139 / 0.017 = 0.8176
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.748% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.748% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.459% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.459% | 0.8R | -0.652% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.470% | 0.8R | -0.652% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.717% | 1.6R | -0.652% | 0.2R | 7.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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