Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 198.93 NEAR at 1.67$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6286 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7106 (2.41 %)
Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 198.93 NEAR at 1.67$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6286 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7106 (2.41 %)
Position
Entry 1.6704$
Qty 198.9287 NEAR
Size 332.2904$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6286 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.32$
SL 1.7106 (-2.41%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.04
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1901
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.20×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2777 | r1h: -0.263% · r4h: -0.161% · r1d: -9.28% · r3d: -6.43% · ema21_slope: -0.3350% · dist_ema21: -2.172% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3536 | rs_1h: -0.460% · rs_4h: 0.031% · rs_1d: -6.51% · rs_3d: -5.57% · beta_24h: 1.223 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1558 | rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.672 · trend: -49.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9619 | ADX: 59.7 (trend) · Chop: 42.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.017% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.383% | 0.6R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.383% | 0.6R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.957% | 1.2R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 5.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.957% | 1.2R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 5.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.957% | 1.2R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.957% | 1.2R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -6.29% | -0.91 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -1.65% | -0.60 | 28/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.50 | bear_medium | -1.57% | -0.42 | 28/07 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_low |
52%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.62 | bear_low | -0.77% | +0.09 | 28/07 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 4.091×ATR | p40 | -1.504×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 5.791×ATR | p82 | -1.605×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.011×ATR | p0 | -0.46×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.87×ATR | p18 | -0.328×ATR | p28 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:10 | 1.67040000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:10 | 1.65430000 | -0.964% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6704 | 1.7106 | 1.6286 | 1.04 | 3.1963 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7106 - 1.6704 = 0.0402
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6704 - 1.6286 = 0.0418
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0418 / 0.0402 = 1.0398
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 332.2904 | 100 | 198.9287 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0402 = 199
Taille de position USD = 199 x 1.6704 = 332.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 199 avec un stoploss a 1.7106
Avec un position size USD de 332.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 199 x 0.0402 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 199 x 0.0418 = 8.32
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.32$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.32 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.32 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5508 % | 22.89 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6704 | 1.7106 | 1.6286 | 1.04 | 3.1963 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7106 - 1.6704 = 0.0402
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6704 - 1.6286 = 0.0418
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0418 / 0.0402 = 1.0398
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.383% | 0.6R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.383% | 0.6R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.957% | 1.2R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 5.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.957% | 1.2R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 5.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.957% | 1.2R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 5.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.957% | 1.2R | -0.551% | 0.2R | 5.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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