Short Trade on VIRTUAL (BosPullback)
With 1356.48 VIRTUAL at 0.566$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5508 (2.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5715 (1.04 %)
Short Trade on VIRTUAL (BosPullback)
With 1356.48 VIRTUAL at 0.566$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5508 (2.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5715 (1.04 %)
Position
Entry 0.5656$
Qty 1356.484 VIRTUAL
Size 767.1731$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5508 (+2.62%)
TP $ 20.08$
SL 0.5715 (-1.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.51
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3092
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.76×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.47×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4185 | r1h: 1.417% · r4h: 0.036% · r1d: -4.76% · r3d: -2.56% · ema21_slope: -0.1934% · dist_ema21: -1.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5029 | rs_1h: 1.021% · rs_4h: 0.212% · rs_1d: -2.71% · rs_3d: -1.22% · beta_24h: 1.905 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3879 | rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: -0.134 · trend: 7.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6883 | ADX: 42.2 (trend) · Chop: 58.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.086% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.215% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 11 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.215% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 23 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.215% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 47 |
| 8h | +0.113% | 0.1R | -2.215% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 95 |
| 12h | +1.264% | 1.2R | -2.215% | 2.1R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -6.19% | +0.48 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -1.77% | -0.21 | 28/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.68% | -0.21 | 28/07 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.78 | range_low | -0.64% | -0.03 | 28/07 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.209×ATR | p36 | -0.763×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 4.398×ATR | p58 | -1.107×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.969×ATR | p18 | -0.012×ATR | p1 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 4.182×ATR | p69 | +0.569×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.55196
148
0.2534
0.5872
0.3202
0.2736
0.3583
1
0.6026
0.2956
0.3203
0.3872
0.6052
0.1833
-0.1651
-0.1269
0
-0.9845
-2.5908
0.5
0.5
-1
1
0.9474
0.5054
0.3938
5.4224
0.6
1.5572
2.7747
-2.5908
0.7612
0.2858
0.62
-0.2772
0.4916
0.4976
0.9207
0.1833
-8.8064
1.9759
1
0
0
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0.55196
0.57088
0.57088
0.55196
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5656 | 0.5715 | 0.5508 | 2.51 | 0.4412 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5715 - 0.5656 = 0.0059
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5656 - 0.5508 = 0.0148
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0148 / 0.0059 = 2.5085
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 767.1731 | 100 | 1356.484 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0059 = 1355.93
Taille de position USD = 1355.93 x 0.5656 = 766.91
Donc, tu peux acheter 1355.93 avec un stoploss a 0.5715
Avec un position size USD de 766.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0059 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1355.93 x 0.0148 = 20.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.07$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.62 % | 20.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8953 % | 181.7 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5656 | 0.5715 | 0.5508 | 2.51 | 0.4412 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5715 - 0.5656 = 0.0059
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5656 - 0.5508 = 0.0148
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0148 / 0.0059 = 2.5085
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.215% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 11 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.215% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 23 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.215% | 2.1R | 0.0× | 47 |
| 8h | +0.113% | 0.1R | -2.215% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 95 |
| 12h | +1.264% | 1.2R | -2.215% | 2.1R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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