Short Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 18178.93 ARB at 0.0795$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07862 (1.11 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07994 (0.55 %)
Short Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 18178.93 ARB at 0.0795$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07862 (1.11 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07994 (0.55 %)
Position
Entry 0.0795$
Qty 18178.9261 ARB
Size 1445.2246$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07862 (+1.11%)
TP $ 16$
SL 0.07994 (-0.55%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3363
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.11×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.35×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/07 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.810265 15m : 0.736581 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4561 | r1h: 0.965% · r4h: 1.135% · r1d: -1.67% · r3d: -5.17% · ema21_slope: -0.1075% · dist_ema21: 0.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5239 | rs_1h: 0.569% · rs_4h: 1.311% · rs_1d: 0.39% · rs_3d: -3.84% · beta_24h: 1.410 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4639 | rvol_20: 1.78× · zscore_50: 0.077 · trend: -9.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6319 | ADX: 36.6 (trend) · Chop: 59.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.909% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.893% | 1.6R | -0.113% | 0.2R | 7.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.371% | 2.5R | -0.113% | 0.2R | 12.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.673% | 3.0R | -0.113% | 0.2R | 14.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.000% | 3.6R | -0.113% | 0.2R | 17.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.478% | 4.5R | -0.113% | 0.2R | 21.9× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_high | -6.19% | -0.08 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -1.58% | -0.40 | 28/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.61 | bear_medium | -1.52% | +0.16 | 28/07 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | — | range_low | -0.09% | +0.23 | 28/07 11:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 4.941×ATR | p75 | -1.2×ATR | p85 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 9.47×ATR | p100 | -0.386×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 2.316×ATR | p31 | +1.247×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 5.457×ATR | p91 | +2.094×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63410.3
0.00646012
63820
0.810265
63748.9
0.000315119
63769
0.736581
64327.1
-0.00805437
63809
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0.76
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0.525
0.5102
0.7744
0.2745
-9.2292
3.4921
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:38 | 0.07950000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:44 | 0.07948000 | -0.025% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 09:25:00 | 0.0773 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 09:40:00 | 0.07769 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 09:55:00 | 0.07735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 10:20:00 | 0.0777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 10:25:00 | 0.07744 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 11:10:00 | 0.07735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 11:20:00 | 0.07793 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 12:45:00 | 0.07874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:45:00 | 0.07717 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:20:00 | 0.07973 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 00:15:00 | 0.07771 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 01:00:00 | 0.07668 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 03:00:00 | 0.0778 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 04:30:00 | 0.07731 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 07:00:00 | 0.07812 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 09:15:00 | 0.0773 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 11:00:00 | 0.07735 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 12:45:00 | 0.07874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:45:00 | 0.07717 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:15:00 | 0.07973 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 02:00:00 | 0.08195 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 10:00:00 | 0.08216 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 11:00:00 | 0.08335 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-26 23:00:00 | 0.08369 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 01:00:00 | 0.08169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 06:00:00 | 0.08272 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 15:00:00 | 0.07873 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 23:00:00 | 0.07645 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 0.07717 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 0.07973 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0795 | 0.07994 | 0.07862 | 2 | 0.1345 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07994 - 0.0795 = 0.00044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0795 - 0.07862 = 0.00088000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00088000000000001 / 0.00044 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1445.2246 | 100 | 18178.9261 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00044 = 18181.82
Taille de position USD = 18181.82 x 0.0795 = 1445.45
Donc, tu peux acheter 18181.82 avec un stoploss a 0.07994
Avec un position size USD de 1445.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 18181.82 x 0.00044 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 18181.82 x 0.00088000000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.11 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1132 % | 20.45 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0795 | 0.07994 | 0.07862 | 2 | 0.1345 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07994 - 0.0795 = 0.00044
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0795 - 0.07862 = 0.00088000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00088000000000001 / 0.00044 = 2
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(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.893% | 1.6R | -0.113% | 0.2R | 7.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.371% | 2.5R | -0.113% | 0.2R | 12.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.673% | 3.0R | -0.113% | 0.2R | 14.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.000% | 3.6R | -0.113% | 0.2R | 17.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.478% | 4.5R | -0.113% | 0.2R | 21.9× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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