Short Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 2923.45 ETHFI at 0.422$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4165 (1.3 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4247 (0.64 %)
Short Trade on ETHFI (CatchTheWave)
With 2923.45 ETHFI at 0.422$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4165 (1.3 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4247 (0.64 %)
Position
Entry 0.422$
Qty 2923.453 ETHFI
Size 1233.6972$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4165 (+1.3%)
TP $ 16.08$
SL 0.4247 (-0.64%)
SL $ 7.89$
RR 2.04
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2653
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.66×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.87×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 28/07 11:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.769813 15m : 0.472515 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5255 | r1h: 1.348% · r4h: 1.177% · r1d: -0.12% · r3d: -0.04% · ema21_slope: -0.0548% · dist_ema21: -0.138% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6029 | rs_1h: 0.952% · rs_4h: 1.353% · rs_1d: 1.94% · rs_3d: 1.30% · beta_24h: 1.226 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5089 | rvol_20: 1.62× · zscore_50: 0.767 · trend: 9.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5603 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 50.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.373% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.642% | 2.6R | -0.100% | 0.2R | 16.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.315% | 3.6R | -0.100% | 0.2R | 23.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.337% | 3.7R | -0.100% | 0.2R | 23.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.337% | 3.7R | -0.100% | 0.2R | 23.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.154% | 9.6R | -1.185% | 1.9R | 5.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -6.19% | +0.36 | 27/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -1.58% | +0.20 | 28/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.37 | bear_medium | -0.88% | +0.44 | 28/07 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | — | range_low | +0.06% | +0.24 | 28/07 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.367×ATR | p0 | -0.529×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.24×ATR | p10 | -0.029×ATR | p6 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 3.055×ATR | p65 | +1.412×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 6.027×ATR | p83 | +1.778×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63428.9
0.00652719
63843
0.769813
63756.2
0.00136031
63843
0.472515
64327.7
-0.00755145
63842
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3.036
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:48 | 0.42200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:54 | 0.42123000 | -0.182% |
| 3 | 12:00 | 0.42218000 | +0.043% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 08:35:00 | 0.41015 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 08:50:00 | 0.41174 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 10:10:00 | 0.4079 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 10:20:00 | 0.41047 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 11:05:00 | 0.40666 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 11:20:00 | 0.41091 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 12:05:00 | 0.40782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 12:25:00 | 0.41459 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:35:00 | 0.40332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:45:00 | 0.4225 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 16:30:00 | 0.41453 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 18:30:00 | 0.40416 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 21:45:00 | 0.42132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 23:00:00 | 0.40559 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 01:15:00 | 0.40544 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 04:45:00 | 0.42508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 11:00:00 | 0.40666 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 12:15:00 | 0.41459 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:30:00 | 0.40332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:45:00 | 0.4225 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 05:00:00 | 0.40238 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 16:00:00 | 0.43452 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-26 22:00:00 | 0.43357 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 07:00:00 | 0.43995 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 18:00:00 | 0.40416 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 21:00:00 | 0.42132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 01:00:00 | 0.40544 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 04:00:00 | 0.42508 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 0.40332 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 0.4225 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.422 | 0.4247 | 0.4165 | 2.04 | 0.4951 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4247 - 0.422 = 0.0027
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.422 - 0.4165 = 0.0055
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0055 / 0.0027 = 2.037
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1233.6972 | 100 | 2923.453 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0027 = 2962.96
Taille de position USD = 2962.96 x 0.422 = 1250.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 2962.96 avec un stoploss a 0.4247
Avec un position size USD de 1250.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2962.96 x 0.0027 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2962.96 x 0.0055 = 16.3
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.3$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.3 % | 16.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 7.89 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.08 $ | 1.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0995 % | 15.55 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.422 | 0.4247 | 0.4165 | 2.04 | 0.4951 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4247 - 0.422 = 0.0027
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.422 - 0.4165 = 0.0055
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0055 / 0.0027 = 2.037
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.642% | 2.6R | -0.100% | 0.2R | 16.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.315% | 3.6R | -0.100% | 0.2R | 23.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.337% | 3.7R | -0.100% | 0.2R | 23.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.337% | 3.7R | -0.100% | 0.2R | 23.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.154% | 9.6R | -1.185% | 1.9R | 5.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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