Long Trade on JUP

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28 Jul 2026 at 12:10:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on JUP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1387.33 JUP at 0.19$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1943 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1838 (3.06 %)

JUP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Jul 2026 12:10 → 15:15 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.1896$

Qty 1387.3257 JUP

Size 263.037$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1943 (+2.48%)

TP $ 6.52$

SL 0.1838 (-3.06%)

SL $ 8.05$

RR 0.81

Status loss PnL -0.56% / -1.48$ MAE -1.07% MFE +1.09% 0.4R expires 28 Jul 15:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=14 > threshold=10/56

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 51182)

#1 / 56

seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6690

Quality Score

0.791

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#1 / 56

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-5

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.06 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#1 / 56

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-5

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.06 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.67×ATR
4h	clear	0.53×ATR
1d	clear	4.81×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-1

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

N/A

attendu : alts_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : expanding / recovering

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-1

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bullish

Median return 4h

N/A

attendu : > 1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 12:01

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 27/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 28/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 28/07 11:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

27/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

28/07 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

28/07 11:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1120

Voir snapshot →

range ranging range_bound

Strategic	range —	range 0
Operational	range —	compression 0
Tactical	bear —	transition -1
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.73

Transition risk : 0.27

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.84

Snapshot évalué : 28/07 12:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/07/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.7914

Score SMA

0.5368

Rank

#1 / 56

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6690

Rank Norm SMA

0.6354

Calculé le

28/07/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6710	r1h: 2.333% · r4h: 4.294% · r1d: 2.14% · r3d: 2.21% · ema21_slope: -0.0371% · dist_ema21: 2.917%
Force Relative	25%	0.7067	rs_1h: 1.636% · rs_4h: 3.662% · rs_1d: 3.18% · rs_3d: 2.70% · beta_24h: 2.019
Volume	20%	0.9793	rvol_20: 3.11× · zscore_50: 2.690 · trend: 112.84%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7837	ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 33.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.250% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 3.2h) Initial Risk: -3.059% (0.0058)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.087%	0.4R	-0.090%	0.0R	12.1×	12
2h	+1.087%	0.4R	-0.881%	0.3R	1.2×	24
3.2h ★	+1.087%	0.4R	-1.065%	0.4R	1.0×	37
4h	+1.087%	0.4R	-1.065%	0.4R	1.0×	48
8h	+1.572%	0.5R	-1.065%	0.4R	1.5×	96
12h	+1.941%	0.6R	-1.181%	0.4R	1.6×	144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.72

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.67	bear_high	-6.19%	-0.95	27/07 20:00
4h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	expansion	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 34%	mid	near -1.0ATR	—	0.62	bear_high	-1.58%	+0.31	28/07 08:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 37%	late	—	—	0.64	bear_medium	-0.88%	+0.31	28/07 11:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_medium_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 56%	late	—	—	0.76	range_low	+0.06%	+0.32	28/07 11:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	26b	—	5.905×ATR	p65	-0.712×ATR	p62
4h	↑ up	mid	4b	—	2.909×ATR	p43	+0.753×ATR	p68
1h	↑ up	late	17b	—	5.275×ATR	p96	+2.521×ATR	p100
15m	↓ down	late	2b	—	1.69×ATR	p6	+1.377×ATR	p85

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.18383351
tp_price: 0.19434
atr: 0.0023066
expires_at: 2026-07-28T22:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 4
total: 58
score: 0.671
delta_2h: 0.282
extension_atr: 2.03
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.669
confidence: 0.997

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1896	0.1838	0.1943	0.81	0.2618

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1896
Stop Loss: 0.1838
Take Profit: 0.1943

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1838 - 0.1896 = -0.0058
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1896 - 0.1943 = -0.0047
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0047 / -0.0058 = 0.8103

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
263.037	100	1387.3257	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.0058

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0058 = -1379.31

Taille de position USD = -1379.31 x 0.1896 = -261.52

Donc, tu peux acheter -1379.31 avec un stoploss a 0.1838

Avec un position size USD de -261.52$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1379.31 x -0.0058 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1379.31 x -0.0047 = 6.48

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.48$

Résumé

Taille de position -1379.31
Taille de position USD -261.52
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 6.48
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8103

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.48 %	6.52 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.06 %	8.05 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.48 $	-0.56

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.0654 %	34.83 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1896	0.1838	0.1943	0.81	0.2618

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1896
Stop Loss: 0.1838
Take Profit: 0.1943

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1838 - 0.1896 = -0.0058
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1896 - 0.1943 = -0.0047
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0047 / -0.0058 = 0.8103

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 3.2h) Initial Risk: -3.059% (0.0058)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.087%	0.4R	-0.090%	0.0R	12.1×	12
2h	+1.087%	0.4R	-0.881%	0.3R	1.2×	24
3.2h ★	+1.087%	0.4R	-1.065%	0.4R	1.0×	37
4h	+1.087%	0.4R	-1.065%	0.4R	1.0×	48
8h	+1.572%	0.5R	-1.065%	0.4R	1.5×	96
12h	+1.941%	0.6R	-1.181%	0.4R	1.6×	144

computed 3 months ago

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