28 Jul 2026 at 12:10:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2.71 AAVE at 100.45$ per unit. Take profit: 102.9613 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 97.4971 (2.94 %)

AAVE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Jul 2026 12:10 → 18:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 100.45$

Qty 2.7092 AAVE

Size 272.1375$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 102.9613 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.8$

SL 97.4971 (-2.94%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.85

Status win PnL +0.42% / +1.14$ MAE -0.58% MFE +1.43% 0.5R expires 28 Jul 18:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 51170)
#7 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/07/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7339

Quality Score
0.670
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#7 / 56
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.16×ATR
4h near -1.05×ATR
1d near -0.54×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-1
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
11.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/07 12:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

28/07 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

28/07 11:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1120
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_bound
Strategic range

—

range

0

Operational range

—

compression

0

Tactical bear

—

transition

-1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 28/07 12:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 28/07/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6700
Score SMA
0.5565
Rank
#7 / 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7339
Rank Norm SMA
0.7663
Calculé le
28/07/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6625 r1h: 0.869% · r4h: 3.572% · r1d: 1.32% · r3d: 9.14% · ema21_slope: -0.0426% · dist_ema21: 2.016%
Force Relative 25% 0.6782 rs_1h: 0.172% · rs_4h: 2.940% · rs_1d: 2.36% · rs_3d: 9.63% · beta_24h: 1.478
Volume 20% 0.5327 rvol_20: 1.70× · zscore_50: 0.269 · trend: 42.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6342 ADX: 27.7 (trend) · Chop: 50.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.215% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.940% (2.9529)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.394% 0.5R -0.070% 0.0R 20.0× 12
2h +1.394% 0.5R -0.578% 0.2R 2.4× 24
4h +1.434% 0.5R -0.578% 0.2R 2.5× 48
6h ★ +1.434% 0.5R -0.578% 0.2R 2.5× 72
8h +1.434% 0.5R -0.881% 0.3R 1.6× 96
12h +1.643% 0.6R -2.692% 0.9R 0.6× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.78
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 43% early near 0.3ATR near -0.5ATR 0.72 bear_high -6.19% +0.62 27/07 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 43% early — near -1.0ATR 0.58 bear_high -1.58% +0.75 28/07 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 34% late — near 0.2ATR 0.50 bear_medium -0.88% +0.23 28/07 11:00
15m ↑ up range range strong fading volatile_reversal bull_medium
55%
noisy_chop 52% mid — — 0.56 range_low +0.06% +0.26 28/07 11:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 10b — 1.85×ATR p0 +0.224×ATR p22
4h ↓ down early 8b — 1.559×ATR p0 +0.43×ATR p42
1h ↑ up late 6b — 3.102×ATR p61 +1.64×ATR p92
15m ↓ down mid 7b — 0×ATR p0 +1.132×ATR p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 97.49708127
  2. tp_price: 102.96125
  3. atr: 1.18116749
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-28T22:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 58
  3. score: 0.6625
  4. delta_2h: 0.1896
  5. extension_atr: 1.69
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7339
  9. confidence: 0.98

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
100.45 97.4971 102.9613 0.85 107.46
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 100.45
  • Stop Loss: 97.4971
  • Take Profit: 102.9613

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 97.4971 - 100.45 = -2.9529

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 100.45 - 102.9613 = -2.5113

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.5113 / -2.9529 = 0.8505

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
272.1375 100 2.7092 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -2.9529

Taille de position = 8 / -2.9529 = -2.71

Taille de position USD = -2.71 x 100.45 = -272.22

Donc, tu peux acheter -2.71 avec un stoploss a 97.4971

Avec un position size USD de -272.22$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2.71 x -2.9529 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2.71 x -2.5113 = 6.81

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.81$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2.71
  • Taille de position USD -272.22
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.81
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8505

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.8 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.94 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1.14 $ 0.42
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5784 % 19.68 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
100.45 97.4971 102.9613 0.85 107.46
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 100.45
  • Stop Loss: 97.4971
  • Take Profit: 102.9613

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 97.4971 - 100.45 = -2.9529

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 100.45 - 102.9613 = -2.5113

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.5113 / -2.9529 = 0.8505

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.940% (2.9529)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.394% 0.5R -0.070% 0.0R 20.0× 12
2h +1.394% 0.5R -0.578% 0.2R 2.4× 24
4h +1.434% 0.5R -0.578% 0.2R 2.5× 48
6h ★ +1.434% 0.5R -0.578% 0.2R 2.5× 72
8h +1.434% 0.5R -0.881% 0.3R 1.6× 96
12h +1.643% 0.6R -2.692% 0.9R 0.6× 144

computed 3 months ago

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